Background:
Backorders are an accepted abnormality affecting accumulation alternation and logistics, sales, chump service, and manufacturing, which generally leads to low sales and low chump satisfaction. A predictive archetypal can analyse which articles are best acceptable to acquaintance backorders giving the alignment advice and time to adjust, thereby demography accomplishes to aerate their profit.
Objective:
To address the issue of predicting backorders, this paper has proposed an un-supervised approach to backorder prediction using Deep Autoencoder.
Method:
In this paper, artificial intelligence paradigms are researched in order to introduce a predictive model for the present unbalanced data issues, where the number of products going on backorder is rare.
Result:
Un-supervised anomaly detection using deep auto encoders has shown better Area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic and precision-recall curves than supervised classification techniques employed with resampling techniques for imbalanced data problems.
Conclusion:
We demonstrated that Un-supervised anomaly detection methods specifically deep auto-encoders can be used to learn a good representation of the data. The method can be used as predictive model for inventory management and help to reduce bullwhip effect, raise customer satisfaction as well as improve operational management in the organization. This technology is expected to create the sentient supply chain of the future – able to feel, perceive and react to situations at an extraordinarily granular level
Research on Bullwhip Effect Management in Supply Chain Based on System Dynamics
