Flood Forecasting and Stream Flow Simulation of the Upper Awash River Basin, Ethiopia Using Geospatial Stream Flow Model (GeoSFM)

Author(s):  
Shimelis Behailu Dessu ◽  
Abdulkarim Hussein Seid ◽  
Anteneh Z. Abiy ◽  
Assefa M Melesse
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (19) ◽  
pp. 3916
Author(s):  
Sikandar Ali ◽  
Muhammad Jehanzeb Masud Cheema ◽  
Muhammad Mohsin Waqas ◽  
Muhammad Waseem ◽  
Megersa Kebede Leta ◽  
...  

Rapid and reliable flood information is crucial for minimizing post-event catastrophes in the complex river basins of the world. The Chenab River basin is one of the complex river basins of the world, facing adverse hydrometeorological conditions with unpredictable hydrologic response. Resultantly, many vicinities along the river undergo destructive inundation, resulting in huge life and economic losses. In this study, Hydrologic Engineering Centre–Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS) and HEC–River Analysis System (HEC-RAS) models were used for flood forecasting and inundation modeling of the Chenab River basin. The HEC-HMS model was used for peak flow simulation of 2014 flood event using Global Precipitation Mission (GMP) Integrated Multisatellite Retrievals-Final (IMERG-F), Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission_Real Time (TRMM_3B42RT), and Global Satellite Mapping of Precipitation_Near Real Time (GSMaP_NRT) precipitation products. The calibration and validation of the HEC-RAS model were carried out for flood events of 1992 and 2014, respectively. The comparison of observed and simulated flow at the outlet indicated that IMERG-F has good peak flow simulation results. The simulated inundation extent revealed an overall accuracy of more than 90% when compared with satellite imagery. The HEC-RAS model performed well at Manning’s n of 0.06 for the river and the floodplain. From the results, it can be concluded that remote sensing integrated with HEC-HMS and HEC-RAS models could be one of the workable solutions for flood forecasting, inundation modeling, and early warning. The concept of integrated flood management (IFM) has also been translated into practical implementation for joint Indo-Pak management for flood mitigation in the transboundary Chenab River basin.


2009 ◽  
Vol 6 (6) ◽  
pp. 7581-7609 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. W. Alansi ◽  
M. S. M. Amin ◽  
G. Abdul Halim ◽  
H. Z. M. Shafri ◽  
W. Aimrun

Abstract. The study was to evaluate SWAT model for flow simulation and forecasting in the Upper Bernam humid tropical river basin, which is the main source of irrigation water supply for a rice granary. Land use in the study area has rapidly changed from the year of 1984 until today. The study was conducted using 27 years of records (1981–2007). Calibration was performed for the period of 1981 through 2004 while, the period of 2005 through 2007 for the validation of both simulation and forecasting of flow. During calibration, the annual and monthly results were 0.82, 0.65, 0.81 and 0.62 for R2 and ENS, respectively and 0.99, 0.93, 0.98 and 0.92, respectively during validation. As for forecasting validation, were 0.88, 0.78, 0.86 and 0.74 for R2 and ENS, respectively. In general model shows good performance in flow simulating as well as forecasting. Five scenarios were performed to identify the individual effect of mixed land use change on stream flow. The scenarios results demonstrate, land use changes are responsible for an increase in the annual flow depth between 8% to 39% while 16% to 59% during high flow months and decreases between 3% to 32% during low flow months. Flow forecasting for the year 2020 using 30 forecasting cycles which found to be the optimal for the study area was performed. The results show decrease by 50% below the monthly irrigation water demand during low flow months, which emphasize the need to include structured best management practices (BMPs) such as ponds to the study area future land development plan to mitigate the future changes in land use on flow quantity. This study showed that SWAT was able to simulate and forecast flow in humid tropical condition successfully and can be used to study the effects of future land use changes on flow.


2013 ◽  
Vol 726-731 ◽  
pp. 3792-3798
Author(s):  
Wen Ju Zhao ◽  
Wei Sun ◽  
Zong Li Li ◽  
Yan Wei Fan ◽  
Jian Shu Song ◽  
...  

SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) model is one of distributed hydrological model, based on spatial data offered by GIS and RS. This article mainly introduces the SWAT model principle, structure, and it is the application of stream flow simulation in China and other countries, then points out the deficiency existing in the process of model research. In order to service in water resources management work better, experts and scholars further research the rate constant and uncertainty of the simplification of the model parameters, and the combination of RS and GIS to use, and hydrological scale problems.


2012 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 1121-1136 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. K. Shrestha ◽  
T. Goormans ◽  
P. Willems

This paper investigates the accuracy of rainfall estimates from C- and X-band weather radars and their application for stream flow simulation. Different adjustment procedures are applied to raw radar estimates using gauge readings from a network of 12 raingauges. The stream flow is simulated for the 48.17 km2 Molenbeek/Parkbeek catchment located in the Flemish region of Belgium based on a lumped conceptual model. Results showed that raw radar estimates can be greatly improved using adjustment procedures. The gauge-radar residuals however, remain large even after adjustments. The adjusted X-band radar estimates are observed to be better estimates than corresponding C-band estimates. Their application for stream flow simulation showed that raingauges and radars can simulate spatially more uniform winter storms with almost the same accuracy, whereas differences are more evident on summer events.


Author(s):  
Nura Boru Jilo ◽  
Megersa Adugna Gurara ◽  
Abebe Debele Tolche ◽  
Arus Edo Harka

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