Lake Eutrophication Evaluation and Diagnosis Based on Bayesian Method and SD Model

2010 ◽  
pp. 579-587 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kai Huang ◽  
Xulu Chen ◽  
Huaicheng Guo
Keyword(s):  
Bayesian Method ◽  
Lake Eutrophication ◽  
Sd Model

BAYESIAN METHOD FOR RAPID MULTI-WELL INTERPRETATION OF WELL LOGS AND CORE DATA IN UNCONVENTIONAL FORMATIONS

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tianqi Deng ◽  
◽  
Joaquín Ambía ◽  
Carlos Torres-Verdín ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Bayesian Method ◽  
Well Logs ◽  
Core Data

scholarly journals Age-specific cut-off levels of anti-Müllerian hormone can be used as diagnostic markers for polycystic ovary syndrome

2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Fahimeh Ramezani Tehrani ◽  
Maryam Rahmati ◽  
Fatemeh Mahboobifard ◽  
Faezeh Firouzi ◽  
Nazanin Hashemi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Bayesian Method ◽  
Polycystic Ovary ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Generalized Additive Models ◽  
Additive Models ◽  
Control Group ◽  
Age Group ◽  
Predictive Values ◽  
Pcos Group

Abstract Background The majority of available studies on the AMH thresholds were not age-specific and performed the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis, based on variations in sensitivity and specificity rather than positive and negative predictive values (PPV and NPV, respectively), which are more clinically applicable. Moreover, all of these studies used a pre-specified age categorization to report the age-specific cut-off values of AMH. Methods A total of 803 women, including 303 PCOS patients and 500 eumenorrheic non-hirsute control women, were enrolled in the present study. The PCOS group included PCOS women, aged 20–40 years, who were referred to the Reproductive Endocrinology Research Center, Tehran, Iran. The Rotterdam consensus criteria were used for diagnosis of PCOS. The control group was selected among women, aged 20–40 years, who participated in Tehran Lipid and Glucose cohort Study (TLGS). Generalized additive models (GAMs) were used to identify the optimal cut-off points for various age categories. The cut-off levels of AMH in different age categories were estimated, using the Bayesian method. Main results and the role of chance Two optimal cut-off levels of AMH (ng/ml) were identified at the age of 27 and 35 years, based on GAMs. The cut-off levels for the prediction of PCOS in the age categories of 20–27, 27–35, and 35–40 years were 5.7 (95 % CI: 5.48–6.19), 4.55 (95 % CI: 4.52–4.64), and 3.72 (95 % CI: 3.55–3.80), respectively. Based on the Bayesian method, the PPV and NPV of these cut-off levels were as follows: PPV = 0.98 (95 % CI: 0.96–0.99) and NPV = 0.40 (95 % CI: 0.30–0.51) for the age group of 20–27 years; PPV = 0.96 (95 % CI: 0.91–0.99) and NPV = 0.82 (95 % CI: 0.78–0.86) for the age group of 27–35 years; and PPV = 0.86 (95 % CI: 0.80–0.94) and NPV = 0.96 (95 % CI: 0.93–0.98) for the age group of 35–40 years. Conclusions Application of age-specific cut-off levels of AMH, according to the GAMs and Bayesian method, could elegantly assess the value of AMH in discriminating PCOS patients in all age categories.

scholarly journals Seasonal Succession of Bacterial Communities in Three Eutrophic Freshwater Lakes

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (13) ◽  
pp. 6950
Author(s):  
Bin Ji ◽  
Cheng Liu ◽  
Jiechao Liang ◽  
Jian Wang
Keyword(s):  
Water Quality ◽  
Surface Water ◽  
Water Temperature ◽  
Bacterial Communities ◽  
Seasonal Succession ◽  
Lake Eutrophication ◽  
Urban Lake ◽  
Freshwater Lakes ◽  
Functional Prediction ◽  
Bacterial Indicator

Urban freshwater lakes play an indispensable role in maintaining the urban environment and are suffering great threats of eutrophication. Until now, little has been known about the seasonal bacterial communities of the surface water of adjacent freshwater urban lakes. This study reported the bacterial communities of three adjacent freshwater lakes (i.e., Tangxun Lake, Yezhi Lake and Nan Lake) during the alternation of seasons. Nan Lake had the best water quality among the three lakes as reflected by the bacterial eutrophic index (BEI), bacterial indicator (Luteolibacter) and functional prediction analysis. It was found that Alphaproteobacteria had the lowest abundance in summer and the highest abundance in winter. Bacteroidetes had the lowest abundance in winter, while Planctomycetes had the highest abundance in summer. N/P ratio appeared to have some relationships with eutrophication. Tangxun Lake and Nan Lake with higher average N/P ratios (e.g., N/P = 20) tended to have a higher BEI in summer at a water temperature of 27 °C, while Yezhi Lake with a relatively lower average N/P ratio (e.g., N/P = 14) tended to have a higher BEI in spring and autumn at a water temperature of 9–20 °C. BEI and water temperature were identified as the key parameters in determining the bacterial communities of lake water. Phosphorus seemed to have slightly more impact on the bacterial communities than nitrogen. It is expected that this study will help to gain more knowledge on urban lake eutrophication.

scholarly journals A Novel Multi-Mode Bayesian Method for the Process Monitoring and Fault Diagnosis of Coal Mills

IEEE Access ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
pp. 22914-22926
Author(s):  
Wei Fan ◽  
Shaojun Ren ◽  
Qinqin Zhu ◽  
Zhijun Jia ◽  
Delong Bai ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Fault Diagnosis ◽  
Process Monitoring ◽  
Bayesian Method ◽  
Multi Mode

Usefulness of seroconversion rates for comparing infection pressures between countries

2010 ◽  
Vol 139 (4) ◽  
pp. 636-643 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. SIMONSEN ◽  
P. TEUNIS ◽  
W. VAN PELT ◽  
Y. VAN DUYNHOVEN ◽  
K. A. KROGFELT ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Bayesian Method ◽  
Healthy Population ◽  
Surveillance Systems ◽  
National Surveillance ◽  
Serum Samples ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Infection Pressure ◽  
Control Programmes ◽  
True Infection ◽  
Rate Ratios

SUMMARYSalmonella is a frequent cause of foodborne illness. However, since most symptomatic cases are not diagnosed, the true infection pressure is unknown. Furthermore, national surveillance systems have different sensitivities that limit inter-country comparisons. We have used recently developed methods for translating measurements of Salmonella antibodies into estimates of seroincidence: the frequency of infections including asymptomatic cases. This methodology was applied to cross-sectional collections of serum samples obtained from the general healthy population in three European countries. Denmark and The Netherlands had the lowest seroincidence (84169 infections/1000 person-years), whereas Poland had the highest seroincidence (547/1000 person-years). A Bayesian method for obtaining incidence rate ratios was developed; this showed a 6·3 (95% credibility interval 3·3–12·5) higher incidence in Poland than in Denmark which demonstrates that this methodology has a wider applicability for studies of surveillance systems and evaluation of control programmes.

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