Commentary: Price Volatility, International Market Links, and Their Implications for Regulatory Policies

Author(s):  
Daniel B. Nelson
2018 ◽  
Vol 47 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Takesure Taringana

This article examines coffee marketing in Zimbabwe amidst debates on the contribution of agricultural commodities to sustainable economic development in Africa. It uses the concept of linkages and declining terms-of-trade to reconnoitre these debates. The article argues that between 1980 and 2015, coffee production, and in particular marketing, faced a myriad of internal and external challenges, which limited its overall contribution to the economy. Among these constraints was the lack of a significant domestic market, which tied the sector to external markets. The externality of the coffee industry weakened the linkages between the sector and the rest of the local economy, thereby turning the sector into an enclave of external economies. This exposed the industry to risks on the international market—including price volatility. The setup perpetuated the unfair global division of labour, where Zimbabwe suffered declining terms-of-trade as an exporter of raw coffee and an importer of manufactured products. This article, therefore, contends that the externality of the coffee industry in Zimbabwe plunged the country into an exploitative dependency relationship with consuming countries. Failure to export processed coffee was mainly a function of the restrictive tariff policies in the consuming countries


2015 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 37 ◽  
Author(s):  
Meinar Fithria Rahayu ◽  
Wen-I Chang ◽  
Ratya Anindita

This study aims to analyze the best model to expect volatility of Indonesia’s coffee price using ARCH/GARCH model and to measure the coffee price volatility spillover of International market for Indonesia’s coffee price using EGARCH model. These models use different conditional variance specifications to catch up the asymmetry. The empirical results show that GARCH (1.1) model seems to better describe the Indonesia’s coffee price volatility. From the EGARCH analysis known that International coffee price has an asymmetric effect on Indonesia’s return coffee price and indicate that domestic coffee market is not efficient.


Author(s):  
Thomas Plieger ◽  
Thomas Grünhage ◽  
Éilish Duke ◽  
Martin Reuter

Abstract. Gender and personality traits influence risk proneness in the context of financial decisions. However, most studies on this topic have relied on either self-report data or on artificial measures of financial risk-taking behavior. Our study aimed to identify relevant trading behaviors and personal characteristics related to trading success. N = 108 Caucasians took part in a three-week stock market simulation paradigm, in which they traded shares of eight fictional companies that differed in issue price, volatility, and outcome. Participants also completed questionnaires measuring personality, risk-taking behavior, and life stress. Our model showed that being male and scoring high on self-directedness led to more risky financial behavior, which in turn positively predicted success in the stock market simulation. The total model explained 39% of the variance in trading success, indicating a role for other factors in influencing trading behavior. Future studies should try to enrich our model to get a more accurate impression of the associations between individual characteristics and financially successful behavior in context of stock trading.


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