Economic Theories of Decision Making Underuncertainty:Implications for Policy Analysis

1991 ◽  
pp. 85-109 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. Kip Viscusi
1979 ◽  
Vol 73 (3) ◽  
pp. 711-723 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles W. Anderson

Any theory of policy evaluation has to address the problem of the choice of criteria for decision making. In most theories of policy rationality, derived from economic theories of the utility-maximizing individual and a positivist conception of valuation, such values are to be regarded as the “preferences” of the policy maker. The stipulation and ordering of standards of judgment is not considered to be part of policy rationality itself. This conception of rationality is not obligatory. Understanding rationality as having good reasons for an action, and policy judgment as a process of argument, enables us to stipulate certain standards at the metapolitical level which any system of policy evaluation must meet. It is possible to identify a logical sense in which such classic principles as authority, justice and efficiency can be understood as necessary considerations in any rationally defensible policy appraisal.


2020 ◽  
pp. 089443932098012
Author(s):  
Teresa M. Harrison ◽  
Luis Felipe Luna-Reyes

While there is growing consensus that the analytical and cognitive tools of artificial intelligence (AI) have the potential to transform government in positive ways, it is also clear that AI challenges traditional government decision-making processes and threatens the democratic values within which they are framed. These conditions argue for conservative approaches to AI that focus on cultivating and sustaining public trust. We use the extended Brunswik lens model as a framework to illustrate the distinctions between policy analysis and decision making as we have traditionally understood and practiced them and how they are evolving in the current AI context along with the challenges this poses for the use of trustworthy AI. We offer a set of recommendations for practices, processes, and governance structures in government to provide for trust in AI and suggest lines of research that support them.


2020 ◽  
pp. 187-202
Author(s):  
Paula Lorena Mora-Hernández ◽  
Juan David Gélvez-Ferreira ◽  
Michael Weintraub ◽  
Sebastián Bitar

2018 ◽  
pp. 131-152
Author(s):  
Karen Mossberger ◽  
David Swindell ◽  
Nicholet Deschine Parkhurst ◽  
Kuang-Ting Tai

Author(s):  
Valerie M. Hudson

This chapter traces the history and evolution of foreign policy analysis (FPA) as a subfield of international relations (IR) from its beginnings in the 1950s through its classical period until 1993. It begins with a discussion of three paradigmatic works that laid the foundation of FPA: Decision Making as an Approach to the Study of International Politics (1954), by Richard C. Snyder, H. W. Bruck, and Burton Sapin; ‘Pre-theories and Theories of Foreign Policy’ (1966), by James N. Rosenau; and Man–Milieu Relationship Hypotheses in the Context of International Politics (1956), by Harold and Margaret Sprout. These three works created three main threads of research in FPA: focusing on the decision making of small/large groups, comparative foreign policy, and psychological/sociological explanations of foreign policy. The chapter also reviews classic FPA scholarship during the period 1954–1993 and concludes with an assessment of contemporary FPA’s research agenda.


Author(s):  
Akif Argun Akdoğan ◽  
Göktuğ Morçöl ◽  
Gökhan Orhan ◽  
Mete Yıldız

This chapter summarizes the history of policy analysis in Turkey beginning with the Ottoman Empire and tracing the developments in the era of the Turkish Republic until the early 21st century. After a review of the history, the chapter assesses the current state of policy analysis education, research, and application in Turkey, before concluding that policy analysis and policy studies in Turkey have come a long way, but also have a long way to go. The chapter makes the observation that advanced theories and methods are not covered in most of the courses in policy analysis and policy studies, many of the publications are descriptive, and the legal requirements for public agencies to use analyses in their decision-making practices have not been implemented fully. The chapter recommends that Turkish governments should apply advanced analytical methods and all stakeholders should participate to public policymaking.


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