Confidence, Trust and Empathy: Threat Perception and the Prospects for Peace in Korea and the South China Sea

2021 ◽  
pp. 257-279
Author(s):  
David A. Welch
2015 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 93-119 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeffrey Ordaniel

Lately, China’s assertiveness in the South China Sea has unsettled Southeast Asia. Beijing’s aggressive efforts to press its claim over 80% of the South China Sea have worried ASEAN. However, non-claimants have expressed interests in a peaceful resolution. Why is the United States so passionately involved? And why is Tokyo too worried? First, this paper traces the origins of the interests and threat perception of the U.S. and Japan towards the South China Sea. Second, this paper asserts that emerging strategies revolve around three concepts: internationalization, legalization and deterrence, which can be categorized as either soft or hard balancing. Finally, this paper argues that the U.S. and Japan employ both types of balancing against threats to their interests as complements.


Author(s):  
Paweł Paszak

This article aims to highlight security dynamics of the US–China competition in the Indo-Pacific associated with the Malacca Strait and the South China Sea through the prism of Balance of Threat Theory. It is argued that the control over strategic lines of communication is a significant factor in the process of constructing threat perception of East and Southeast Asian states as they remain heavily reliant on maritime transportation of commodities and energy resources. The US navy is the major security provider in the maritime domain which makes China vulnerable to a potential naval blockade. China faces a double dilemma as the status quo is interpreted as potentially detrimental to its interests, but any attempts to undermine it are likely to prompt Asian states to join US balancing efforts. China’s geographical proximity, its rising military power and revisionist tendencies make the US the more desirable security partner to the region.


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