scholarly journals Multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging can exclude prostate cancer progression in patients on active surveillance: a retrospective cohort study

2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (11) ◽  
pp. 6042-6051 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Ullrich ◽  
C. Arsov ◽  
M. Quentin ◽  
F. Mones ◽  
A. C. Westphalen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Tumor Progression ◽  
Active Surveillance ◽  
Gleason Score ◽  
Cancer Progression ◽  
Predictive Value ◽  
Transrectal Ultrasound ◽  
Minimum Interval ◽  
Sensitivity Specificity

Abstract Objectives To assess the ability of multiparametric MRI (mp-MRI) of the prostate to exclude prostate cancer (PCa) progression during monitoring patients on active surveillance (AS). Methods One hundred forty-seven consecutive patients on AS with mp-MRI (T2WI, DWI, DCE-MRI) at 3T were initially enrolled. Fifty-five received follow-up mp-MRI after a minimum interval of 12 months and subsequent targeted MR/US fusion-guided biopsy (FUS-GB) plus concurrent systematic transrectal ultrasound-guided (TRUS-GB) biopsy as reference standard. Primary endpoint was the negative predictive value (NPV) of the follow-up mp-MRI to exclude histopathologic tumor progression using PRECISE recommendations. Secondary endpoints were the positive predictive value (PPV), sensitivity, specificity, Gleason score (GS) upgrades, and comparison of biopsy method. Results Of 55 patients, 29 (53%) had a GS upgrade on re-biopsy. All 29 patients showed a tumor progression on follow-up mp-MRI. Fifteen of 55 patients (27%) displayed signs of tumor progression, but had stable GS on re-biopsy. None of the 11 patients (20%) without signs of progression on follow-up mp-MRI had a GS upgrade on re-biopsy. The NPV was 100%, PPV was 66%, sensitivity was 100%, and specificity 42%. FUS-GB resulted in GS upgrade significantly more often (n = 28; 51%) compared with TRUS-GB (n = 12; 22%; p < 0.001). Conclusions (Follow-up) Mp-MRI can reliably exclude PCa progression in patients on AS. Standard serial re-biopsies might be waived if follow-up mp-MRIs are stable. Over 60% of patients with signs of tumor progression on mp-MRI during AS had a GS upgrade on re-biopsy. Targeted re-biopsies should be performed if cancer progression or higher-grade PCa is suspected on mp-MRI. Key Points • None of the patients with unsuspicious mp-MRI had a GS upgrade in re-biopsy and mp-MRI might replace serial biopsies in these cases • More than 60% of patients with mp-MRI signs of tumor progression had subsequent Gleason score (GS) upgrades • Targeted re-biopsies should be performed in case of higher GS cancer suspicion on mp-MRI

scholarly journals Comparative performance of MRI-derived PRECISE scores and delta-radiomics models for the prediction of prostate cancer progression in patients on active surveillance

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nikita Sushentsev ◽  
Leonardo Rundo ◽  
Oleg Blyuss ◽  
Tatiana Nazarenko ◽  
Aleksandr Suvorov ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Active Surveillance ◽  
Cancer Progression ◽  
Predictive Value ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Superior Performance ◽  
Control Group ◽  
P Value ◽  
Lasso Regression

Abstract Objectives To compare the performance of the PRECISE scoring system against several MRI-derived delta-radiomics models for predicting histopathological prostate cancer (PCa) progression in patients on active surveillance (AS). Methods The study included AS patients with biopsy-proven PCa with a minimum follow-up of 2 years and at least one repeat targeted biopsy. Histopathological progression was defined as grade group progression from diagnostic biopsy. The control group included patients with both radiologically and histopathologically stable disease. PRECISE scores were applied prospectively by four uro-radiologists with 5–16 years’ experience. T2WI- and ADC-derived delta-radiomics features were computed using baseline and latest available MRI scans, with the predictive modelling performed using the parenclitic networks (PN), least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression, and random forests (RF) algorithms. Standard measures of discrimination and areas under the ROC curve (AUCs) were calculated, with AUCs compared using DeLong’s test. Results The study included 64 patients (27 progressors and 37 non-progressors) with a median follow-up of 46 months. PRECISE scores had the highest specificity (94.7%) and positive predictive value (90.9%), whilst RF had the highest sensitivity (92.6%) and negative predictive value (92.6%) for predicting disease progression. The AUC for PRECISE (84.4%) was non-significantly higher than AUCs of 81.5%, 78.0%, and 80.9% for PN, LASSO regression, and RF, respectively (p = 0.64, 0.43, and 0.57, respectively). No significant differences were observed between AUCs of the three delta-radiomics models (p-value range 0.34–0.77). Conclusions PRECISE and delta-radiomics models achieved comparably good performance for predicting PCa progression in AS patients. Key Points • The observed high specificity and PPV of PRECISE are complemented by the high sensitivity and NPV of delta-radiomics, suggesting a possible synergy between the two image assessment approaches. • The comparable performance of delta-radiomics to PRECISE scores applied by expert readers highlights the prospective use of the former as an objective and standardisable quantitative tool for MRI-guided AS follow-up. • The marginally superior performance of parenclitic networks compared to conventional machine learning algorithms warrants its further use in radiomics research.

Multiparametric prostate MRI and MRI/ultrasound fusion biopsy as tools to follow prostate cancer progression for men on active surveillance.

2014 ◽  
Vol 32 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 63-63 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nabeel Shakir ◽  
Annerleim Walton-Diaz ◽  
Soroush Rais-Bahrami ◽  
Baris Turkbey ◽  
Jason Rothwax ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Active Surveillance ◽  
Gleason Score ◽  
Cancer Progression ◽  
Predictive Value ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Fusion Biopsy ◽  
Trus Biopsy ◽  
Risk Prostate Cancer ◽  
Low Risk Prostate Cancer

63 Background: Active surveillance (AS) is an option for patients with low risk prostate cancer (PCa); however, determining disease progression is challenging. At the NCI, multiparametric MRI (MP-MRI) with our biopsy protocol (MR-US fusion-guided plus 12 core extended sextant biopsy) has been used to confirm eligibility for AS. We evaluated the utility of these modalities in monitoring patients on AS. Methods: Patients who underwent MP-MRI of the prostate with biopsy per our protocol between 2007-2012 were reviewed. We selected a subset who met Johns Hopkins criteria for AS (Gleason score≤6, PSA density≤0.15, tumor involvement of ≤2 cores, and ≤50% of any single core) by outside 12−core TRUS biopsy. Patients with Gleason score≤6 confirmed at first NCI biopsy session were followed with annual MP-MRI and biopsy. MRI progression was defined as an increase in MP-MRI suspicion level, lesion diameter, or number of lesions. Pathologic progression was defined as an increase to Gleason score≥7 in either 12-core or MR-fusion biopsy. We determined the association between MRI and pathologic progression. Results: 129 patients met JHU criteria for AS by outside biopsy. Mean age was 61.6 years and mean PSA 5.16ng/mL. 28/129 (21.7%) patients had Gleason score ≥7 at first NCI biopsy session.31 patients had at least two biopsy sessions (mean follow up 18 months, range 12-54 months) of which 9/31 (29%) increased in Gleason score, all to 3+4=7. Fusion biopsy detected more pathologic progression than did standard biopsy (Table). The positive predictive value of MP-MRI for pathologic progression was 50%, while the negative predictive value was 84%. The sensitivity and specificity of MP-MRI for increase in Gleason score was 67% and 73%, respectively. Conclusions: Stable findings on MP-MRI are associated with Gleason score stability in patients with low-risk PCa choosing AS. The majority of patients who had pathologic progression were detected on fusion biopsy, which may suggest that random biopsies are unnecessary in this population. Larger studies are needed to validate these findings. [Table: see text]

scholarly journals MRI-derived PRECISE scores for predicting pathologically-confirmed radiological progression in prostate cancer patients on active surveillance

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Iztok Caglic ◽  
Nikita Sushentsev ◽  
Vincent J. Gnanapragasam ◽  
Evis Sala ◽  
Nadeem Shaida ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Active Surveillance ◽  
Predictive Value ◽  
Scoring System ◽  
Lesion Size ◽  
Receiver Operating Curve ◽  
Close Monitoring ◽  
Targeted Mri ◽  
Sensitivity Specificity

Abstract Objectives To assess the predictive value and correlation to pathological progression of the Prostate Cancer Radiological Estimation of Change in Sequential Evaluation (PRECISE) scoring system in the follow-up of prostate cancer (PCa) patients on active surveillance (AS). Methods A total of 295 men enrolled on an AS programme between 2011 and 2018 were included. Baseline multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) was performed at AS entry to guide biopsy. The follow-up mpMRI studies were prospectively reported by two sub-specialist uroradiologists with 10 years and 13 years of experience. PRECISE scores were dichotomized at the cut-off value of 4, and the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value were calculated. Diagnostic performance was further quantified by using area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) which was based on the results of targeted MRI-US fusion biopsy. Univariate analysis using Cox regression was performed to assess which baseline clinical and mpMRI parameters were related to disease progression on AS. Results Progression rate of the cohort was 13.9% (41/295) over a median follow-up of 52 months. With a cut-off value of category ≥ 4, the PRECISE scoring system showed sensitivity, specificity, PPV and NPV for predicting progression on AS of 0.76, 0.89, 0.52 and 0.96, respectively. The AUC was 0.82 (95% CI = 0.74–0.90). Prostate-specific antigen density (PSA-D), Likert lesion score and index lesion size were the only significant baseline predictors of progression (each p < 0.05). Conclusion The PRECISE scoring system showed good overall performance, and the high NPV may help limit the number of follow-up biopsies required in patients on AS. Key Points • PRECISE scores 1–3 have high NPV which could reduce the need for re-biopsy during active surveillance. • PRECISE scores 4–5 have moderate PPV and should trigger either close monitoring or re-biopsy. • Three baseline predictors (PSA density, lesion size and Likert score) have a significant impact on the progression-free survival (PFS) time.

Elastography Targeted Prostate Biopsy in Patients under Active Surveillance

2020 ◽  
Vol 104 (11-12) ◽  
pp. 948-953
Author(s):  
Tobias Steinwender ◽  
Lukas Manka ◽  
Mircea Grindei ◽  
Zhe Tian ◽  
Alexander Winter ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Positive Predictive Value ◽  
Active Surveillance ◽  
Prostate Biopsy ◽  
Predictive Value ◽  
Individual Case ◽  
Cancer Center ◽  
Sensitivity Specificity ◽  
Targeted Biopsies

<b><i>Objective:</i></b> The aim of this study was to examine elastography-based prostate biopsy in prostate cancer (PCa) patients under active surveillance. <b><i>Patients and Methods:</i></b> We relied on PCa patients who opted for active surveillance and underwent elastography targeted and systematic follow-up biopsy at the Braunschweig Prostate Cancer Center between October 2009 and February 2015. Each prostate sextant was considered as an individual case. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and accuracy (ACC) for elastography to predict follow-up biopsy results were analyzed, respectively, and 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) were carried out by using 2000 bootstrapping sample analyses. <b><i>Results:</i></b> Overall, 50 men and 300 sextants were identified. Overall, 27 (54%) men and 66 (22%) sextants harbored PCa at follow-up biopsy. Sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and ACC for elastography to predict follow-up biopsy results were: 19.7 (95% CI: 11.9–27.3), 86.8 (95% CI: 82.7–90.3), 29.6 (95% CI: 14.6–46.0), 79.3 (95% CI: 71.6–86.5), and 72.0% (95% CI: 65.7–78.3), respectively. <b><i>Conclusions:</i></b> We recorded limited reliability of elastography-based prediction of follow-up biopsy results in active surveillance patients. Based on our analyses, we can neither recommend to rely exclusively on elastography-based targeted biopsies nor to delay or to omit follow-up biopsies based on elastography results during active surveillance.

scholarly journals Natural history of prostate cancer on active surveillance: stratification by MRI using the PRECISE recommendations in a UK cohort

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Francesco Giganti ◽  
Armando Stabile ◽  
Vasilis Stavrinides ◽  
Elizabeth Osinibi ◽  
Adam Retter ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Active Surveillance ◽  
Gleason Score ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Gleason Grade ◽  
Clinical Progression ◽  
Radiological Progression ◽  
Grade Group ◽  
Psa Density

Abstract Objectives The PRECISE recommendations for magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in patients on active surveillance (AS) for prostate cancer (PCa) include repeated measurement of each lesion, and attribution of a PRECISE radiological progression score for the likelihood of clinically significant change over time. We aimed to compare the PRECISE score with clinical progression in patients who are managed using an MRI-led AS protocol. Methods A total of 553 patients on AS for low- and intermediate-risk PCa (up to Gleason score 3 + 4) who had two or more MRI scans performed between December 2005 and January 2020 were included. Overall, 2161 scans were retrospectively re-reported by a dedicated radiologist to give a PI-RADS v2 score for each scan and assess the PRECISE score for each follow-up scan. Clinical progression was defined by histological progression to ≥ Gleason score 4 + 3 (Gleason Grade Group 3) and/or initiation of active treatment. Progression-free survival was assessed using Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank test was used to assess differences between curves. Results Overall, 165/553 (30%) patients experienced the primary outcome of clinical progression (median follow-up, 74.5 months; interquartile ranges, 53–98). Of all patients, 313/553 (57%) did not show radiological progression on MRI (PRECISE 1–3), of which 296/313 (95%) had also no clinical progression. Of the remaining 240/553 patients (43%) with radiological progression on MRI (PRECISE 4–5), 146/240 (61%) experienced clinical progression (p < 0.0001). Patients with radiological progression on MRI (PRECISE 4-5) showed a trend to an increase in PSA density. Conclusions Patients without radiological progression on MRI (PRECISE 1-3) during AS had a very low likelihood of clinical progression and many could avoid routine re-biopsy. Key Points • Patients without radiological progression on MRI (PRECISE 1–3) during AS had a very low likelihood of clinical progression and many could avoid routine re-biopsy. • Clinical progression was almost always detectable in patients with radiological progression on MRI (PRECISE 4–5) during AS. • Patients with radiological progression on MRI (PRECISE 4–5) during AS showed a trend to an increase in PSA density.

scholarly journals Changes in Prostate Cancer Grade on Serial Biopsy in Men Undergoing Active Surveillance

2011 ◽  
Vol 29 (20) ◽  
pp. 2795-2800 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sima P. Porten ◽  
Jared M. Whitson ◽  
Janet E. Cowan ◽  
Matthew R. Cooperberg ◽  
Katsuto Shinohara ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Active Surveillance ◽  
Gleason Score ◽  
Sampling Error ◽  
Survival Rates ◽  
Specific Antigen ◽  
Extended Period ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Gleason Grade

Purpose Active surveillance is now considered a viable treatment option for men with low-risk prostate cancer. However, little is known regarding changes in Gleason grade on serial biopsies over an extended period of time. Patients and Methods Men diagnosed with prostate cancer between 1998 and 2009 who elected active surveillance as initial treatment, with 6 or more months of follow-up and a minimum of six cores at biopsy, were included in analysis. Upgrading and downgrading were defined as an increase or decrease in primary or secondary Gleason score. Means and frequency tables were used to describe patient characteristics, and treatment-free survival rates were determined by life-table product limit estimates. Results Three hundred seventy-seven men met inclusion criteria. Mean age at diagnosis was 61.9 years. Fifty-three percent of men had prostate-specific antigen of 6 ng/mL or less, and 94% had Gleason score of 6 or less. A majority of men were cT1 (62%), had less than 33% of biopsy cores involved (80%), and were low risk (77%) at diagnosis. Median number of cores taken at diagnostic biopsy was 13, mean time to follow-up was 18.5 months, and 29% of men had three or more repeat biopsies. Overall, 34% (129 men) were found to have an increase in Gleason grade. The majority of men who experienced an upgrade (81%) did so by their second repeat biopsy. Conclusion A proportion of men experience an upgrade in Gleason score while undergoing active surveillance. Men who experience early upgrading likely represent initial sampling error, whereas later upgrading may reflect tumor dedifferentiation.

scholarly journals Diagnostic accuracy of the Novel 29 MHz micro-ultrasound “ExactVuTM” for the detection of clinically significant prostate cancer: A prospective single institutional study. A step forward in the diagnosis of prostate cancer

2021 ◽  
Vol 93 (2) ◽  
pp. 132-138
Author(s):  
Francesco Chessa ◽  
Riccardo Schiavina ◽  
Amelio Ercolino ◽  
Caterina Gaudiano ◽  
Davide Giusti ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Predictive Value ◽  
Transrectal Ultrasound ◽  
Peripheral Zone ◽  
Risk Identification ◽  
The Novel ◽  
Fusion Biopsy ◽  
Ultrasound System ◽  
Clinically Significant ◽  
Sensitivity Specificity

Introduction and Objective: ExactVuTM is a real-time micro-ultrasound system which provides, according to the Prostate Risk Identification Using Micro-Ultrasound protocol (PRI-MUS), a 300% higher resolution compared to conventional transrectal ultrasound. To evaluate the performance of ExactVuTM in the detection of Clinically significant Prostate Cancer (CsPCa). Materials and methods: Patients with Prostate Cancer diagnosed at fusion biopsy were imaged with ExactVuTM. CsPCa was defined as any Gleason Score ≥ 3+4. ExactVuTM examination was considered as positive when PRI-MUS score was ≥ 3. PRI-MUS scoring system was considered as correct when the fusion biopsy was positive for CsPCa. A transrectal fusion biopsy- proven CsPCa was considered as a gold standard. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV) and area under the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) were calculated. Results: 57 patients out of 68 (84%) had a csPCa. PRI-MUS score was correctly assessed in 68% of cases. Regarding the detection of CsPCa, ExactVuTM ’s sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV was 68%, 73%, 93%, and 31%, respectively and the AUC was 0.7 (95% CI 0.5-0-8). For detecting CsPCa in the transition/ anterior zone the sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV was 45%, 66%, 83% and 25% respectively ant the AUC was 0.5 (95% CI 0.2-0.9). Accounting only the CsPCa located in the peripheral zone, sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV raised up to 74%, 75%, 94%, 33%, respectively with AUC 0.75 (95% CI 0.5-0-9). Conclusions: ExactVuTM provides high resolution of the prostatic peripheral zone and could represent a step forward in the detection of CsPCa as a triage tool. Further studies are needed to confirm these promising results.

Effect of dutasteride on prostate cancer progression and cancer diagnosis on rebiopsy in the REDEEM active surveillance study.

2011 ◽  
Vol 29 (7_suppl) ◽  
pp. 2-2 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Fleshner ◽  
M. S. Lucia ◽  
K. Melich ◽  
I. M. Nandy ◽  
L. Black ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Active Surveillance ◽  
Gleason Score ◽  
Cancer Progression ◽  
Primary Endpoint ◽  
Expectant Management ◽  
Time To Progression ◽  
Clinical Progression ◽  
Reduced Time ◽  
Prostate Cancer Study

2 Background: The REDEEM (Reduction by Dutasteride of Clinical Progression Events in Expectant Management of Prostate Cancer) study tested whether dutasteride controlled growth of existing low risk, localized prostate cancer (PCa) and hence reduced the need for aggressive therapy in men followed with active surveillance. Methods: 302 men, aged 48–82, with PSA <11 ng/ml, and Gleason score ≤6 PCa (≤3 cores positive, <50% of any core positive) were randomized to dutasteride or placebo for 3 years. Repeat 12-core biopsies were performed at 18 and 36 months, or for-cause at other times during the study. The primary endpoint was time to progression, defined as the earliest of either pathological progression (Gleason score >6, ≥4 cores positive, or >50% of any core positive) or therapeutic progression (radical prostatectomy, radiation therapy, or hormonal ablation). Results: 96% of subjects reached the primary endpoint or had a post-baseline biopsy. Dutasteride reduced time to PCa progression (relative risk reduction 38.9%, 95% CI: 12.4–57.4%, P=0.007). The table presents incidence of progression and Gleason score on final biopsy. 23% of men (N=31) in the placebo group and 36% of men (N=50) in the dutasteride group had no cancer detected on their final biopsy. PCa-related anxiety was reduced in the dutasteride arm compared to the placebo arm (P=0.036), based on the Memorial Anxiety Scale for PCa (MAX-PC). Drug-related adverse events were similar to those previously reported for dutasteride. Conclusions: In men followed with active surveillance, dutasteride delayed the time to PCa progression, increased the percent of men with no detectable PCa, and improved PCa-related anxiety. There was no evidence of increased Gleason score upgrading with dutasteride. Dutasteride may provide a useful adjunct to active surveillance for management of PCa. [Table: see text] [Table: see text]

Comparison of multiparametric MRI to PSA kinetics as an indication of prostate cancer progression in men on active surveillance.

2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (6_suppl) ◽  
pp. 59-59
Author(s):  
Mahir Maruf ◽  
Michael Kongnyuy ◽  
Arvin Koruthu George ◽  
Mohummad Minhaj Siddiqui ◽  
Abhinav Sidana ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Sensitivity And Specificity ◽  
Active Surveillance ◽  
Cancer Progression ◽  
Multiparametric Mri ◽  
Psa Kinetics ◽  
Imaging Characteristics ◽  
Patients At Risk ◽  
Psa Velocity

59 Background: Pathologic progression is identified in > 25% of prostate cancer (CaP) patients on active surveillance (AS). Yet, identifying patients at risk for progression is limited to PSA based biomarkers with variable utility. Multiparametric MRI (mpMRI) with fusion-guided prostate biopsy (FBx) has shown utility in risk stratification for patients considering AS. We compared mpMRI characteristics with PSA kinetics for the prediction of pathologic progression in AS patients. Methods: A review of men on AS with serial mpMRI and 2 or more FBx sessions was performed. FBx sessions consisted of targeted biopsies and a 12 core systematic biopsy. Men who met NIH Expanded AS criteria included those with low and intermediate risk CaP, Gleason score ≤ 3+4 = 7 with no restriction on percent core involvement or number of cores positive. Progression was defined by patients with initial Gleason 3+3 = 6 to any Gleason 4, and Gleason 3+4 = 7 to a primary Gleason 4 or higher. MRI progression was defined as increase in suspicion score, size, or new lesion on follow-up. PSA velocity (PSAV) > 0.75ng/ml/yr, PSA doubling time (PSAdt) < 3 yrs, and imaging characteristics were examined for association with pathologic progression at surveillance biopsy. Results: A total of 164 men, median age of 63 yrs [58-67], were included. Median length of follow up was 19.4 months [IQR 14.3-30.0]. Median PSA, and prostate volume of our cohort were 4.9ng/ml [3.3-7.3] and 47.0ml [36.5-59.8]. The sensitivity and specificity of predicting pathologic progression by mpMRI, PSAV and PSAdt were 45% and 65%, 30% and 76%, and 17% and 86% respectively. A combination of MRI, and PSAV or PSAdt yielded a sensitivity and specificity of 61% and 49% or 54% and 56% respectively. Using a decision curve analysis, mpMRI offers minimal benefit for predicting pathologic progression of CaP. Conclusions: MpMRI alone marginally outperforms PSA kinetics for predicting pathologic progression in men on AS for CaP. The combination of mpMRI along with PSA parameters increase the sensitivity of prostate imaging in identifying progression in AS patients. Research in combinations of imaging with other biomarkers will be needed to more accurately risk stratify AS patients.

Prostate-Specific Antigen Kinetics During Follow-Up Are an Unreliable Trigger for Intervention in a Prostate Cancer Surveillance Program

2010 ◽  
Vol 28 (17) ◽  
pp. 2810-2816 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ashley E. Ross ◽  
Stacy Loeb ◽  
Patricia Landis ◽  
Alan W. Partin ◽  
Jonathan I. Epstein ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Prostate Specific Antigen ◽  
Sensitivity And Specificity ◽  
Active Surveillance ◽  
Gleason Score ◽  
Specific Antigen ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Cancer Surveillance ◽  
Surveillance Program

Purpose To assess the predictive ability of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) velocity (PSAV) and doubling time (PSADT) for biopsy progression and adverse pathology at prostatectomy among men with low-risk prostate cancer enrolled on an active-surveillance program. Methods We evaluated 290 men who met criteria for active surveillance (ie, PSA density < 0.15 ng/mL/cm3 and Gleason score ≤ 6 with no pattern ≥ 4, involving ≤ 2 cores with cancer, and ≤ 50% involvement of any core by cancer) with two or more serial PSA measurements after diagnosis from 1994 to 2008. Follow-up included twice-yearly digital rectal exam and PSA measurements and yearly surveillance biopsy. Treatment was recommended for biopsy progression (ie, Gleason score ≥ 7, or > 2 positive cores, or > 50% core involvement). Sensitivity and specificity of postdiagnostic PSAV and PSADT were explored by using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Results Overall, 188 (65%) men remained on active surveillance, and 102 (35%) developed biopsy progression at a median follow-up of 2.9 years. PSADT was not significantly associated with subsequent adverse biopsy findings (P = .83), and PSAV was marginally significant (P = .06). No PSAV or PSADT cut point had both high sensitivity and specificity (area under the curve, 0.61 and 0.59, respectively) for biopsy progression. In those who eventually underwent radical prostatectomy, PSAV (P = .79) and PSADT (P = .87) were not associated with the presence of unfavorable surgical pathology. Conclusion Postdiagnostic PSA kinetics do not reliably predict adverse pathology and should not be used to replace annual surveillance biopsy for monitoring men on active surveillance.

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