Northern poleward edge of regional Hadley cell over western Pacific during boreal winter: year-to-year variability, influence factors and associated winter climate anomalies

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruping Huang ◽  
Shangfeng Chen ◽  
Wen Chen ◽  
Bin Yu ◽  
Peng Hu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Influence Factors ◽  
Hadley Cell ◽  
Western Pacific ◽  
Boreal Winter ◽  
Winter Climate ◽  
Climate Anomalies

Is there any improvement in simulation of wintertime Western Pacific teleconnection pattern and associated climate anomalies in CMIP6 comparing with CMIP5 models?

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-75
Author(s):  
Hasi Aru ◽  
Wen Chen ◽  
Shangfeng Chen
Keyword(s):  
Russian Far East ◽  
Far East ◽  
Surface Air Temperature ◽  
Close Relation ◽  
Western Pacific ◽  
Cmip5 Models ◽  
Boreal Winter ◽  
Coupled Models ◽  
Climate Anomalies ◽  
Precipitation Anomalies

AbstractThe western Pacific pattern (WP) is one of the most important atmospheric teleconnections over the Northern Hemisphere (NH) in boreal winter, which plays key roles in regulating weather and climate variations over many parts of the NH. This study evaluates ability of the coupled models participated in CMIP5 and CMIP6 in capturing the spatial pattern, dominant frequency, and associated climate anomalies of the winter WP. Ensemble means of the CMIP5 and CMIP6 models well capture spatial structures of the WP, with slightly higher skills for the CMIP6. However, the northern (southern) centre of the WP is shifted westward (eastward) relative to the observations, and the strength of the northern centre is overestimated in most CMIP5 and CMIP6 models. CMIP6 shows an improvement in simulating the dominant periodicity of the WP. WP-related climatic anomalies in most parts of the NH can be well simulated. However, there exists a large spread across the models in simulating surface air temperature (SAT) anomalies in Russian Far East and Northwest North America, which is attributable to the diversity of the intensity of the WP’s northern lobe. Most CMIP5 and CMIP6 models largely overestimate the WP-related precipitation anomalies over Siberia, which is partly due to the overestimation of mean precipitation there. Furthermore, most models simulate a close relation of the WP and Arctic Oscillation (AO), which does not exist in observation. The CMIP5 and CMIP6 models with weak WP-AO relations have better ability than the models with strong WP-AO relations in capturing the WP-related SAT and precipitation anomalies over the NH, especially over Eurasia.

Diverse Influences of ENSO on the East Asian–Western Pacific Winter Climate Tied to Different ENSO Properties in CMIP5 Models

2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (6) ◽  
pp. 2187-2202 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hainan Gong ◽  
Lin Wang ◽  
Wen Chen ◽  
Debashis Nath ◽  
Gang Huang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Rossby Wave ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
East Asian ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Western Pacific ◽  
Cmip5 Models ◽  
Boreal Winter ◽  
Winter Climate ◽  
Climatic Responses ◽  
Longitudinal Extension

Abstract The influence of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on the East Asian–western Pacific (EAWP) climate in boreal winter is investigated in the phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) model results and then compared to that in the phase 3 (CMIP3) results. In particular, the role played by the differences among models in ENSO properties, including the amplitude and longitudinal extension of ENSO’s sea surface temperature (SST) pattern, is analyzed. Results show that an eastward shrinking of ENSO’s SST pattern leads to quite weak circulation and climatic responses over the EAWP regions in the models. On the contrary, a westward expansion of the SST pattern shifts the anomalous Walker circulation too far west. The resultant precipitation anomalies and lower-tropospheric atmospheric Rossby wave responses both extend unrealistically into the Indian Ocean, and the hemispheric asymmetry of the Rossby wave response is missing. All these features lead to unrealistic climatic impacts of ENSO over the EAWP regions. In contrast to the above two cases, a reasonable longitudinal extension of ENSO’s SST pattern corresponds to better ENSO teleconnections over the EAWP regions. Nevertheless, the atmospheric responses over the western Pacific are still located farther west than observed, implying a common bias of CMIP5 models. In this case, a larger amplitude of ENSO variability to some extent helps to reduce model biases and facilitate better climatic responses to ENSO in the EAWP regions. Compared with CMIP3 models, CMIP5 models perform better in representing ENSO’s impacts on the East Asian winter climate.

The Hadley Circulation Regime Change: Combined Effect of the Western Pacific Warming and Increased ENSO Amplitude

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (23) ◽  
pp. 9739-9751 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yi-Peng Guo ◽  
Zhe-Min Tan
Keyword(s):  
Regime Change ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Hadley Circulation ◽  
Warming Trend ◽  
Combined Effect ◽  
Western Pacific ◽  
South Pacific Convergence Zone ◽  
Boreal Winter ◽  
Enso Events

The variation in the interannual relationship between the boreal winter Hadley circulation (HC) and El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) during 1948–2014 is investigated. The interannual variability of the HC is dominated by two principal modes: the equatorial asymmetric mode (AM) and the equatorial symmetric mode (SM). The AM of the HC during ENSO events mainly results from a combined effect of the ENSO sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies and the climatological background SST over the South Pacific convergence zone. Comparatively, the SM shows a steady and statistically significant relationship with ENSO; however, the interannual relationship between the AM and ENSO is strengthened during the mid-1970s, which leads to a HC regime change—that is, the interannual pulse of the HC intensity and its response to ENSO are stronger after the mid-1970s than before. The long-term warming trend of the tropical western Pacific since the 1950s and the increased ENSO amplitude play vital roles in the HC regime change. Although the tropical eastern Pacific also experienced a long-term warming trend, it has little influence on the HC regime change due to the climatologically cold background SST over the cold tongue region.

scholarly journals Impacts of the Tropical Pacific–Indian Ocean Associated Mode on Madden–Julian Oscillation over the Maritime Continent in Boreal Winter

Atmosphere ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (10) ◽  
pp. 1049
Author(s):  
Xin Li ◽  
Ming Yin ◽  
Xiong Chen ◽  
Minghao Yang ◽  
Fei Xia ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Kinetic Energy ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
Western Pacific ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
Boreal Winter ◽  
Madden Julian Oscillation ◽  
Maritime Continent ◽  
The Western Pacific ◽  
The Tropical Pacific

Based on the observation and reanalysis data, the relationship between the Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) over the Maritime Continent (MC) and the tropical Pacific–Indian Ocean associated mode was analyzed. The results showed that the MJO over the MC region (95°–150° E, 10° S–10° N) (referred to as the MC–MJO) possesses prominent interannual and interdecadal variations and seasonally “phase-locked” features. MC–MJO is strongest in the boreal winter and weakest in the boreal summer. Winter MC–MJO kinetic energy variation has significant relationships with the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in winter and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) in autumn, but it correlates better with the tropical Pacific–Indian Ocean associated mode (PIOAM). The correlation coefficient between the winter MC–MJO kinetic energy index and the autumn PIOAM index is as high as −0.5. This means that when the positive (negative) autumn PIOAM anomaly strengthens, the MJO kinetic energy over the winter MC region weakens (strengthens). However, the correlation between the MC–MJO convection and PIOAM in winter is significantly weaker. The propagation of MJO over the Maritime Continent differs significantly in the contrast phases of PIOAM. During the positive phase of the PIOAM, the eastward propagation of the winter MJO kinetic energy always fails to move across the MC region and cannot enter the western Pacific. However, during the negative phase of the PIOAM, the anomalies of MJO kinetic energy over the MC is not significantly weakened, and MJO can propagate farther eastward and enter the western Pacific. It should be noted that MJO convection is more likely to extend to the western Pacific in the positive phases of PIOAM than in the negative phases. This is significant different with the propagation of the MJO kinetic energy.

scholarly journals Atmospheric blocking induced by the strengthened Siberian High led to drying in west Asia during the 4.2 ka BP event – a hypothesis

2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 781-793 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aurel Perşoiu ◽  
Monica Ionita ◽  
Harvey Weiss
Keyword(s):  
Climate Variability ◽  
Winter Season ◽  
Balkan Peninsula ◽  
Climatic Conditions ◽  
Boreal Winter ◽  
Winter Climate ◽  
Heterogeneous Distribution ◽  
Climate Conditions ◽  
Causal Explanations ◽  
Siberian High

Abstract. Causal explanations for the 4.2 ka BP event are based on the amalgamation of seasonal and annual records of climate variability that was manifest across global regions dominated by different climatic regimes. However, instrumental and paleoclimate data indicate that seasonal climate variability is not always sequential in some regions. The present study investigates the spatial manifestation of the 4.2 ka BP event during the boreal winter season in Eurasia, where climate variability is a function of the spatiotemporal dynamics of the westerly winds. We present a multi-proxy reconstruction of winter climate conditions in Europe, west Asia, and northern Africa between 4.3 and 3.8 ka. Our results show that, while winter temperatures were cold throughout the region, precipitation amounts had a heterogeneous distribution, with regionally significant low values in W Asia, SE Europe, and N Europe and local high values in the N Balkan Peninsula, the Carpathian Mountains, and E and NE Europe. Further, strong northerly winds were dominating in the Middle East and E and NE Europe. Analyzing the relationships between these climatic conditions, we hypothesize that in the extratropical Northern Hemisphere, the 4.2 ka BP event was caused by the strengthening and expansion of the Siberian High, which effectively blocked the moisture-carrying westerlies from reaching W Asia and enhanced outbreaks of cold and dry winds in that region. The behavior of the winter and summer monsoons suggests that when parts of Asia and Europe were experiencing winter droughts, SE Asia was experiencing similar summer droughts, resulting from failed and/or reduced monsoons. Thus, while in the extratropical regions of Eurasia the 4.2 ka BP event was a century-scale winter phenomenon, in the monsoon-dominated regions it may have been a feature of summer climate conditions.

scholarly journals The Madden–Julian Oscillation and Boreal Winter Forecast Skill: An Analysis of NCEP CFSv2 Reforecasts

2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (15) ◽  
pp. 6297-6307 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles Jones ◽  
Abheera Hazra ◽  
Leila M. V. Carvalho
Keyword(s):  
Forecast Skill ◽  
Western Pacific ◽  
Boreal Winter ◽  
Lead Times ◽  
Madden Julian Oscillation ◽  
Main Mode ◽  
Weather Forecasts ◽  
Synoptic Variability ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Western Pacific

Abstract The Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) is the main mode of tropical intraseasonal variations and bridges weather and climate. Because the MJO has a slow eastward propagation and longer time scale relative to synoptic variability, significant interest exists in exploring the predictability of the MJO and its influence on extended-range weather forecasts (i.e., 2–4-week lead times). This study investigates the impact of the MJO on the forecast skill in Northern Hemisphere extratropics during boreal winter. Several 45-day forecasts of geopotential height (500 hPa) from NCEP Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2) reforecasts are used (1 November–31 March 1999–2010). The variability of the MJO expressed as different amplitudes, durations, and recurrence (i.e., primary and successive events) and their influence on forecast skill is analyzed and compared against inactive periods (i.e., null cases). In general, forecast skill during enhanced MJO convection over the western Pacific is systematically higher than in inactive days. When the enhanced MJO convection is over the Maritime Continent, forecasts are lower than in null cases, suggesting potential model deficiencies in accurately forecasting the eastward propagation of the MJO over that region and the associated extratropical response. In contrast, forecasts are more skillful than null cases when the enhanced convection is over the western Pacific and during long, intense, and successive MJO events. These results underscore the importance of the MJO as a potential source of predictability on 2–4-week lead times.

scholarly journals Changes of the Boreal Winter Hadley Circulation in the NCEP–NCAR and ECMWF Reanalyses: A Comparative Study

2007 ◽  
Vol 20 (20) ◽  
pp. 5191-5200 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hua Song ◽  
Minghua Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Radiative Forcing ◽  
Atmospheric Transport ◽  
Vertical Motion ◽  
Hadley Circulation ◽  
Western Pacific ◽  
Boreal Winter ◽  
Tropical Western Pacific ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Upper Level ◽  
Static Energy

Abstract Both the ECMWF and the NCEP–NCAR reanalyses show a strengthening of the atmospheric Hadley circulation in boreal winter over the last 50 years, but the intensification is much stronger in the ECMWF than in the NCEP–NCAR reanalysis. This study focuses on the difference of these trends in the two reanalyses. It is shown that trends in the Hadley circulation in the two reanalyses differ mainly over the tropical western Pacific. This difference is found to be consistent with respective trends of the atmospheric transport of moist static energy, longwave cloud radiative forcing, and upper-level clouds in the two reanalyses. Two independent datasets of upper-level cloud cover and sea level pressure from ship-based measurements are then used to evaluate the reanalyses over the tropical western Pacific. They are found to be more consistent with the trends in the NCEP–NCAR reanalysis than those in the ECMWF reanalysis. The results suggest a weakening of the vertical motion associated with the Hadley circulation in the tropical western Pacific.

scholarly journals Indo-western Pacific ocean capacitor and coherent climate anomalies in post-ENSO summer: A review

2016 ◽  
Vol 33 (4) ◽  
pp. 411-432 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shang-Ping Xie ◽  
Yu Kosaka ◽  
Yan Du ◽  
Kaiming Hu ◽  
Jasti S. Chowdary ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Pacific Ocean ◽  
Western Pacific ◽  
Western Pacific Ocean ◽  
Climate Anomalies

Quasi-Biweekly Oscillation over the tropical western Pacific in boreal winter： Its climate influences on North America

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zizhen Dong ◽  
Lin Wang
Keyword(s):  
North America ◽  
Energy Conversion ◽  
Rossby Wave ◽  
Time Scale ◽  
Wave Train ◽  
Western Pacific ◽  
Boreal Winter ◽  
The South ◽  
Tropical Western Pacific ◽  
South Of Japan

<p><span lang="EN-US">The Quasi-Biweekly Oscillation (QBWO) mode with 10-20-day time scale over the tropical western Pacific (TWP) in boreal winter (December-February), characterized by westward-northwestward propagation from the dateline to the east coast of Philippines (EPH) identified by the first two EEOF modes, is investigated based on the daily mean OLR and ERA-Interim reanalysis datasets from 1979 to 2015. The suppressive (active) QBWO-related convection heating located near EPH at peak day (day 0), results in anomalous divergence (convergence) wind to the south of Japan at upper troposphere due to the heat release. The divergent circulations can advect climatological absolute vorticity, then leads to positive (negative) Rossby wave source, which could propagate eastward. Therefore, a Rossby wave train (RWT) with equivalent barotropical structure over Pacific originated from the south of Japan is observed one/two days later. This wave train propagates northeastward into Alaska and then southeastward into southern North America. The meridional wind associated with the cyclonic/anticyclonic anomalies of RWT advects climatological thermal condition dominating the local temperature tendency over North America. Thus, a significant warming (cooling) over central North America is found at day +4 consistent to the anomalous southerlies (northerlies). In addition, both the barotropical energy conversion (CK) and baroclinic energy conversion (CP) contribute to the RWT on a time scale of 10-20 days maintained against dissipation.</span></p>

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