Interdecadal variability of regional climate change: implications for the development of regional climate change scenarios

2005 ◽  
Vol 89 (1-4) ◽  
pp. 1-15 ◽  
Author(s):  
F. Giorgi
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Regional Climate Change ◽  
Interdecadal Variability ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios

scholarly journals Erratum to: Forest fire danger projections in the Mediterranean using ENSEMBLES regional climate change scenarios

2014 ◽  
Vol 123 (2) ◽  
pp. 343-344 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Bedia ◽  
S. Herrera ◽  
A. Camia ◽  
J. M. Moreno ◽  
J. M. Gutiérrez
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Forest Fire ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Regional Climate Change ◽  
Fire Danger ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
The Mediterranean ◽  
Forest Fire Danger

Estimation of the Effects of Regional Climate Change Scenarios on the Water Balance of a Basin in the Middle Magdalena Valley

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sergio Andres Romero-Duque ◽  
Maria Cristina Arenas-Bautista ◽  
Leonardo David Donado
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Water Balance ◽  
Co2 Emission ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Hydrological Modeling ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Regional Climate Change ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Emission Scenarios ◽  
Precipitation And Temperature

<p>Hydrological cycle dynamics can be simulated through continuous numerical modelling in order to estimate a water budget at different time and spatial scales, taking a specific importance when considering climate change effects on the various processes that take place on a basin. With the purpose of estimating potential impacts of climate change on the basin water balance, the present study takes place on the catchment area of the Carare-Minero river, a basin located in the Middle Magdalena Valley (Colombia), a zone in which important economic activities unfold such as stockbreeding and agriculture, where regional climate change scenarios were made for the precipitation and temperature variables, along with a continuous hydrological modeling of the basin using the HEC-HMS software. The regional scenarios for the precipitation and temperature were developed through statistical downscaling based on General Circulation Models (GCM) of the sixth phase of the Coupled Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), with projections to 2100 for seven of the new set of CO2 emission scenarios, the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP), that take into account different socioeconomic assumptions for climate policies, with a baseline of 25 years between 1990 and 2014; the emission scenarios evaluated from lowest to highest CO2 emission were SSP1-1.9, SSP1-2.6, SSP4-3.4, SSP2-4.5, SSP4-6.0, SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5. The obtained data were used as an input for the model of the basin in HEC-HMS obtaining a new water balance for each scenario comparing the results with the baseline case for current conditions, resulting in an evapotranspiration increase due to higher temperatures that, alongside changes in precipitation, produces lower flows for the higher SSP’s of SSP5-8.5 and SSP3-7.0, in contrast with the low emission scenarios of SSP1-1.9 and SSP1-2.6 were the changes in temperature and precipitation are less drastic generating minor alterations in the hydrological balance.</p><p>Key words: Hydrological modeling, Middle Magdalena Valley, regional climate change scenarios, water balance.</p>

scholarly journals The new national climate change documents of Mexico: what do the regional climate change scenarios represent?

2011 ◽  
Vol 110 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 1029-1046 ◽  
Author(s):  
Francisco Estrada ◽  
Benjamín Martínez-López ◽  
Cecilia Conde ◽  
Carlos Gay-García
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Regional Climate Change ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios

scholarly journals Evaluation of three different regional climate change scenarios for the application of a water balance model in a mesoscale catchment in Northeast Germany

2010 ◽  
Vol 27 ◽  
pp. 57-64 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Wegehenkel ◽  
U. Heinrich ◽  
H. Jochheim ◽  
K. C. Kersebaum ◽  
B. Röber
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Water Balance ◽  
Input Data ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Regional Climate Change ◽  
Water Balance Model ◽  
Balance Model ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Future climate changes might have some impacts on catchment hydrology. An assessment of such impacts on e.g. ground water recharge is required to derive adaptation strategies for future water resources management. The main objective of our study was an analysis of three different regional climate change scenarios for a catchment with an area of 2415 km2 located in the Northeastern German lowlands. These data sets consist of the STAR-scenario with a time period 1951–2055, the WettReg-scenario covering the period 1961–2100 and the grid based REMO-scenario for the time span 1950–2100. All three data sets are based on the SRES scenario A1B of the IPCC. In our analysis, we compared the meteorological data for the control period obtained from the regional climate change scenarios with corresponding data measured at meteorological stations in the catchment. The results of this analysis indicated, that there are high differences between the different regional climate change scenarios regarding the temporal dynamics and the amount of precipitation. In addition, we applied a water balance model using input data obtained from the different climate change scenarios and analyzed the impact of these different input data on the model output groundwater recharge. The results of our study indicated, that these regional climate change scenarios due to the uncertainties in the projections of precipitation show only a limited suitability for hydrologic impact analysis used for the establishment of future concrete water management procedures in their present state.

scholarly journals Modelling future hydroclimatic effects on the <i>Coregonus migratorius</i> spawning migration in the Selenga River and Lake Baikal

2019 ◽  
Vol 381 ◽  
pp. 113-119
Author(s):  
Vsevolod Moreydo ◽  
Tatiana Millionshchikova ◽  
Sergey Chalov
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Regional Climate Change ◽  
Significant Negative Correlation ◽  
Spawning Migration ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Spawning Activity ◽  
Local Pollution ◽  
Selenga River

Abstract. Regional climate change affects the flow conditions in river basins which can impact the health of aquatic ecosystems. Potential impacts of future climate scenarios on Coregonus migratorius spawning migration in the Selenga River were assessed. A regional process-based hydrological model was used to reproduce the historical trends in the annual flow and assess its future changes under several climate change scenarios. Annual flow projections were used to identify preferential river reaches for spawning activity of the Arctic cisco (Coregonus migratorius), based on the significant negative correlation of spawning activity with the Selenga River streamflow. The applied methodology shows that the projected decline in runoff of 10 % to 25 % in XXI century may result in shifting of the spawning locations further upstream of the Ulan-Ude city, a local “pollution hotspot”.

scholarly journals Climate change impacts on crop yield and quality with CO 2 fertilization in China

2005 ◽  
Vol 360 (1463) ◽  
pp. 2149-2154 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lin Erda ◽  
Xiong Wei ◽  
Ju Hui ◽  
Xu Yinlong ◽  
Li Yue ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Climate Change Impacts ◽  
Regional Climate Change ◽  
Limiting Factors ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Growth Responses ◽  
Intergovernmental Panel ◽  
Crop Models ◽  
Average Annual Temperature

A regional climate change model (PRECIS) for China, developed by the UK's Hadley Centre, was used to simulate China's climate and to develop climate change scenarios for the country. Results from this project suggest that, depending on the level of future emissions, the average annual temperature increase in China by the end of the twenty-first century may be between 3 and 4 °C. Regional crop models were driven by PRECIS output to predict changes in yields of key Chinese food crops: rice, maize and wheat. Modelling suggests that climate change without carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) fertilization could reduce the rice, maize and wheat yields by up to 37% in the next 20–80 years. Interactions of CO 2 with limiting factors, especially water and nitrogen, are increasingly well understood and capable of strongly modulating observed growth responses in crops. More complete reporting of free-air carbon enrichment experiments than was possible in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's Third Assessment Report confirms that CO 2 enrichment under field conditions consistently increases biomass and yields in the range of 5–15%, with CO 2 concentration elevated to 550 ppm Levels of CO 2 that are elevated to more than 450 ppm will probably cause some deleterious effects in grain quality. It seems likely that the extent of the CO 2 fertilization effect will depend upon other factors such as optimum breeding, irrigation and nutrient applications.

Regional climate change scenarios applied to viticultural zoning in Mendoza, Argentina

2016 ◽  
Vol 60 (9) ◽  
pp. 1325-1340 ◽  
Author(s):  
María Fernanda Cabré ◽  
Hervé Quénol ◽  
Mario Nuñez
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Regional Climate Change ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios
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