Joint and conditional dependence modelling of peak district heating demand and outdoor temperature: a copula-based approach

2019 ◽  
Vol 29 (2) ◽  
pp. 373-395
Author(s):  
F. Marta L. Di Lascio ◽  
Andrea Menapace ◽  
Maurizio Righetti
2014 ◽  
Vol 22 (02) ◽  
pp. 1450008 ◽  
Author(s):  
SUNG-HWAN CHO ◽  
SEONG-KI HONG ◽  
SANG-HO CHOI ◽  
M. ZAHEERUDDIN

In this study, the secondary side measured energy consumption of a district heating system (DHS) with different hot water supply temperature control methods was compared. Two control methods were evaluated: an outdoor temperature reset control (OTRC) and an outdoor temperature predictive control (OTPC). While the OTRC strategy has been widely used for energy savings in DHS, the results show that the OTPC strategy resulted in higher energy savings. In general, the OTPC strategy maintained lower supply water temperature, and thereby reduced standby losses and increased overall heat transfer rate to the heated spaces due to higher water mass flow rate to the spaces. During the actual energy consumption monitoring, the OTPC strategy saved about 6.6% more energy compared to that of OTRC strategy. Also, it was found that under partial load conditions, such as during the daytime, the fluctuations in hot water supply temperature with OTRC were more severe than OTPC strategy. Overall, the results showed that the OTPC strategy gave better control and was more stable under full load and partial load conditions.


Author(s):  
Ye.Ye. Nikitin

The current situation in the sphere of district heating is analysed on the basis of use of the cognitive approach. The presence of closed chains of cause-effect relationships of negative factors and conflicts of target settings of the subjects in the field of district heating is shown. The conceptual model of energy efficient modernization of district heating systems is proposed. This model includes indicators of the current status of heat sources, networks and heat consumers, energetic and economic models, restrictions, procedure of forming and analysis of the mutual influence of the recommended projects. The quantitative data on indicators of the current state of district heating systems of the cities of Ukraine are presented. The interrelation between indicators of the current state and projects of energy efficient modernization of district heating systems is shown. Assessment of energy self-sufficiency of municipal district heating systems on condition of thermal modernization of buildings is carried out. The creation of energy management systems at the district heating enterprises is proposed. Bib. 6, Fig. 7, Tab. 5.


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