A Novel Parallel Hybrid Model Based on Series Hybrid Models of ARIMA and ANN Models

Author(s):  
Zahra Hajirahimi ◽  
Mehdi Khashei
IEEE Access ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
pp. 27789-27801 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hongxin Xue ◽  
Yanping Bai ◽  
Hongping Hu ◽  
Ting Xu ◽  
Haijian Liang

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Huan Zhao ◽  
Junhua Zhao ◽  
Ting Shu ◽  
Zibin Pan

Buildings account for a large proportion of the total energy consumption in many countries and almost half of the energy consumption is caused by the Heating, Ventilation, and air-conditioning (HVAC) systems. The model predictive control of HVAC is a complex task due to the dynamic property of the system and environment, such as temperature and electricity price. Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) is a model-free method that utilizes the “trial and error” mechanism to learn the optimal policy. However, the learning efficiency and learning cost are the main obstacles of the DRL method to practice. To overcome this problem, the hybrid-model-based DRL method is proposed for the HVAC control problem. Firstly, a specific MDPs is defined by considering the energy cost, temperature violation, and action violation. Then the hybrid-model-based DRL method is proposed, which utilizes both the knowledge-driven model and the data-driven model during the whole learning process. Finally, the protection mechanism and adjusting reward methods are used to further reduce the learning cost. The proposed method is tested in a simulation environment using the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) electricity price data and New South Wales temperature data. Simulation results show that 1) the DRL method can reduce the energy cost while maintaining the temperature satisfactory compared to the short term MPC method; 2) the proposed method improves the learning efficiency and reduces the learning cost during the learning process compared to the model-free method.


2021 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nikolaos Tsokanas ◽  
Xujia Zhu ◽  
Giuseppe Abbiati ◽  
Stefano Marelli ◽  
Bruno Sudret ◽  
...  

Hybrid simulation is an experimental method used to investigate the dynamic response of a reference prototype structure by decomposing it to physically-tested and numerically-simulated substructures. The latter substructures interact with each other in a real-time feedback loop and their coupling forms the hybrid model. In this study, we extend our previous work on metamodel-based sensitivity analysis of deterministic hybrid models to the practically more relevant case of stochastic hybrid models. The aim is to cover a more realistic situation where the physical substructure response is not deterministic, as nominally identical specimens are, in practice, never actually identical. A generalized lambda surrogate model recently developed by some of the authors is proposed to surrogate the hybrid model response, and Sobol’ sensitivity indices are computed for substructure quantity of interest response quantiles. Normally, several repetitions of every single sample of the inputs parameters would be required to replicate the response of a stochastic hybrid model. In this regard, a great advantage of the proposed framework is that the generalized lambda surrogate model does not require repeated evaluations of the same sample. The effectiveness of the proposed hybrid simulation global sensitivity analysis framework is demonstrated using an experiment.


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