From Changing Environment to Changing Extremes: Exploring the Future Streamflow and Associated Uncertainties Through Integrated Modelling System

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Srishti Gaur ◽  
Arnab Bandyopadhyay ◽  
Rajendra Singh
Keyword(s):  
Integrated Modelling ◽  
Changing Environment ◽  
The Future ◽  
Modelling System

scholarly journals The molecular footprints of COVID-19

2020 ◽  
Vol 45 (3) ◽  
pp. 241-248
Author(s):  
Engin Yilmaz ◽  
Yakut Akyön ◽  
Muhittin Serdar
Keyword(s):  
Reaction Time ◽  
Changing Environment ◽  
The Third ◽  
The Past ◽  
The People ◽  
The World ◽  
The Future ◽  
Host Virus Interactions ◽  
Virus Interactions

AbstractCOVID-19 is the third spread of animal coronavirus over the past two decades, resulting in a major epidemic in humans after SARS and MERS. COVID-19 is responsible of the biggest biological earthquake in the world. In the global fight against COVID-19 some serious mistakes have been done like, the countries’ misguided attempts to protect their economies, lack of international co-operation. These mistakes that the people had done in previous deadly outbreaks. The result has been a greater economic devastation and the collapse of national and international trust for all. In this constantly changing environment, if we have a better understanding of the host-virus interactions than we can be more prepared to the future deadly outbreaks. When encountered with a disease which the causative is unknown, the reaction time and the precautions that should be taken matters a great deal. In this review we aimed to reveal the molecular footprints of COVID-19 scientifically and to get an understanding of the pandemia. This review might be a highlight to the possible outbreaks.

An integrated modelling system for coastal area dynamics

1994 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 181-206 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. A. Klevanny ◽  
G. V. Matveyev ◽  
N. E. Voltzinger
Keyword(s):  
Coastal Area ◽  
Integrated Modelling ◽  
Modelling System

Integrated modelling under uncertainty in watershed-level assessment and management

2007 ◽  
Vol 56 (8) ◽  
pp. 31-39 ◽  
Author(s):  
J.H. Ham ◽  
C.G. Yoon ◽  
K.W. Jung ◽  
J.H. Jang
Keyword(s):  
Water Quality ◽  
Monte Carlo Simulation ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Watershed Management ◽  
Management Practices ◽  
Control Measures ◽  
Integrated Modelling ◽  
Quality Prediction ◽  
Water Quality Prediction ◽  
Modelling System

Uncertainty in water quality model predictions is inevitably high due to natural stochasticity, model uncertainty, and parameter uncertainty. An integrated modelling system (modified-BASINS) under uncertainty is described and demonstrated for use in receiving-water quality prediction and watershed management. A Monte Carlo simulation was used to investigate the effect of various uncertainty types on output prediction. Without pollution control measures in the watershed, the concentrations of total nitrogen (T-N) and total phosphorus (T-P) in the Hwaong Reservoir, considering three uncertainty types, would be less than about 4.4 and 0.23 mg L−1, respectively, in 2012, with 90% confidence. The effects of two watershed management practices, wastewater treatment plants (WWTP) and constructed wetlands (WETLAND), were evaluated. The combined scenario (WWTP + WETLAND) was the most effective at improving reservoir water quality, bringing concentrations of T-N and T-P in the Hwaong Reservoir to less than 3.4 and 0.14 mg L−1, 24 and 41% improvements, respectively, with 90% confidence. Overall, the Monte Carlo simulation in the integrated modelling system was practical for estimating uncertainty and reliable in water quality prediction. The approach described here may allow decisions to be made based on the probability and level of risk, and its application is recommended.

The Future of Pharmaceuticals: The Changing Environment for New Drugs

JAMA ◽  
1981 ◽  
Vol 246 (12) ◽  
pp. 1361
Author(s):  
Louis Lasagna
Keyword(s):  
New Drugs ◽  
Changing Environment ◽  
The Future

MODUS: THE INTEGRATED MODELLING SYSTEM

1990 ◽  
pp. 265-270
Author(s):  
DAVID J. HASSELL ◽  
MARY E. WEBB
Keyword(s):  
Integrated Modelling ◽  
Modelling System

Simulation of current and future tropospheric chemistry with the Earth System Model EMAC

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oliver Kirner ◽  
Jöckel Patrick ◽  
Sören Johansson ◽  
Gerald Wetzel ◽  
Franziska Winterstein
Keyword(s):  
Atmospheric Chemistry ◽  
Tropospheric Chemistry ◽  
Lower Atmosphere ◽  
Integrated Modelling ◽  
Earth System ◽  
Mixing Ratios ◽  
The Future ◽  
First Results ◽  
Acetyl Nitrate ◽  
Peroxy Acetyl Nitrate

<p>The increasing future methane (CH<sub>4</sub>) leads to changes in the lifetime of CH<sub>4</sub> and in the Hydroxyl radical (OH) and (O<sub>3</sub>) mixing ratios and distribution in the lower atmosphere. With increasing CH<sub>4</sub> the lifetime of CH<sub>4</sub> and the O<sub>3</sub> mixing ratios in the troposphere will increase, the tropospheric OH mixing ratios will decrease (Winterstein et al., 2019; Zhao et al., 2019). The CH<sub>4</sub> changes, together with the future Nitrous oxide (N<sub>2</sub>O) and temperature increase, will lead to a different tropospheric chemistry. For example, substances as acetone (CH<sub>3</sub>COCH<sub>3</sub>), ethane (C<sub>2</sub>H<sub>6</sub>), formic acid (HCOOH) or peroxy acetyl nitrate (PAN) will change their distribution and mixing ratios.</p><p>In different studies we could show that EMAC (ECHAM/MESSy Atmospheric Chemistry, Jöckel et al., 2010) has the ability to simulate some of the mentioned tropospheric substances in comparison to results of the GLORIA (Gimballed Limb Observer for Radiance Imaging of the Atmosphere) instrument, used on board of the research aircrafts Geophysica and HALO during the STRATOCLIM (July/August 2017) and WISE (August to October 2017) campaigns (Johansson et al., 2020; Wetzel et al., 2020).   </p><p>In this study, we will additional show the first results of the simulated future changes of tropospheric chemistry (especially with focus on CH<sub>3</sub>COCH<sub>3</sub>, C<sub>2</sub>H<sub>6</sub>, HCOOH and PAN and the upper troposphere) related to the future increase of CH<sub>4</sub>, N<sub>2</sub>O and temperature change as a result of climate change. For these we use different EMAC simulations from the project ESCiMo (Earth System Chemistry Integrated Modelling, Jöckel et al., 2016).</p><p>We will present some results of the comparison of EMAC to GLORIA and results with regard to the future development of the (upper) tropospheric chemistry in EMAC.    </p>

scholarly journals Development of an Integrated Modelling System for Evaluating Water Quantity and Quality Effects of Individual Wetlands in an Agricultural Watershed

Water ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (6) ◽  
pp. 774 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yongbo Liu ◽  
Wanhong Yang ◽  
Hui Shao ◽  
Zhiqiang Yu ◽  
John Lindsay
Keyword(s):  
Agricultural Watershed ◽  
Integrated Modelling ◽  
Water Quantity ◽  
Modelling System ◽  
Water Quantity And Quality

scholarly journals Education and Learning in the 21st Century: An Emergency Agenda for Sustainable Development

2012 ◽  
Vol 3 (10) ◽  
pp. 313-318
Author(s):  
Ivan Siqueira
Keyword(s):  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Latin America ◽  
Information And Communication Technology ◽  
Communication Technology ◽  
21St Century ◽  
Changing Environment ◽  
Social Patterns ◽  
The Future ◽  
Information And Communication ◽  
The Relationship

The 21st Century has observed an increase transformation based on economy and social patterns. The challenging of education is now prepared for the future, not for the present. The changing environment of learning is related to competencies and skills rather than in particular subjects and theories. How to teach what is not present yet? Why education must be profoundly related to both Information and Communication Technology and human ethnic? This paper is dedicated to highlight some of these points, bringing some reflections regarding these topics about the relationship between Africa and Latin America, especially Brazil.

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