System LCOE of variable renewable energies: a case study of Japan’s decarbonized power sector in 2050

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 449-461 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuhji Matsuo ◽  
Ryoichi Komiyama
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 375-392 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hiroto Shiraki ◽  
Masahiro Sugiyama ◽  
Yuhji Matsuo ◽  
Ryoichi Komiyama ◽  
Shinichiro Fujimori ◽  
...  

AbstractThe Japanese power system has unique characteristics with regard to variable renewable energies (VREs), such as higher costs, lower potentials, and less flexibility with the grid connection compared to other major greenhouse-gas-emitting countries. We analyzed the role of renewable energies (REs) in the future Japanese power sector using the results from the model intercomparison project Energy Modeling Forum (EMF) 35 Japan Model Intercomparison Project (JMIP) using varying emission reduction targets and key technological conditions across scenarios. We considered the uncertainties for future capital costs of solar photovoltaics, wind turbines, and batteries in addition to the availability of nuclear and carbon dioxide capture and storage. The results show that REs supply more than 40% of electricity in most of the technology sensitivity scenarios (median 51.0%) when assuming an 80% emission reduction in 2050. The results (excluding scenarios that assume the continuous growth of nuclear power and/or the abundant availability of domestic biomass and carbon-free hydrogen) show that the median VRE shares reach 52.2% in 2050 in the 80% emission reduction scenario. On the contrary, the availability of newly constructed nuclear power, affordable biomass, and carbon-free hydrogen can reduce dependence on VREs to less than 20%. The policy costs were much more sensitive to the capital costs and resource potential of VREs than the battery cost uncertainties. Specifically, while the doubled capital costs of VRE resulted in a 13.0% (inter-model median) increase in the policy cost, the halved capital costs of VREs reduced 8.7% (inter-model median) of the total policy cost. These results imply that lowering the capital costs of VREs would be effective in achieving a long-term emission reduction target considering the current high Japanese VRE costs.


Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (13) ◽  
pp. 3366
Author(s):  
Daniel Suchet ◽  
Adrien Jeantet ◽  
Thomas Elghozi ◽  
Zacharie Jehl

The lack of a systematic definition of intermittency in the power sector blurs the use of this term in the public debate: the same power source can be described as stable or intermittent, depending on the standpoint of the authors. This work tackles a quantitative definition of intermittency adapted to the power sector, linked to the nature of the source, and not to the current state of the energy mix or the production predictive capacity. A quantitative indicator is devised, discussed and graphically depicted. A case study is illustrated by the analysis of the 2018 production data in France and then developed further to evaluate the impact of two methods often considered to reduce intermittency: aggregation and complementarity between wind and solar productions.


2018 ◽  
Vol 37 ◽  
pp. 213-221 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arif S. Malik ◽  
Mohammed Albadi ◽  
Mohammed Al-Jabri ◽  
Ahmed Bani-Araba ◽  
Amjad Al-Ameri ◽  
...  

Energy Policy ◽  
2003 ◽  
Vol 31 (12) ◽  
pp. 1245-1255 ◽  
Author(s):  
D.Parameswara Sharma ◽  
P.S.Chandramohanan Nair ◽  
R. Balasubramanian

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