Variability and teleconnections of South and East Asian summer monsoons in present and future projections of CMIP5 climate models

2017 ◽  
Vol 53 (2) ◽  
pp. 305-325 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bhaskar Preethi ◽  
Milind Mujumdar ◽  
Amita Prabhu ◽  
Ramesh Kripalani
2020 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu‐Shiang Tung ◽  
S.‐Y. Simon Wang ◽  
Jung‐Lien Chu ◽  
Chi‐Hua Wu ◽  
Yung‐Ming Chen ◽  
...  

2013 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 2085-2099 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Zhang ◽  
Q. Yan ◽  
Z. S. Zhang ◽  
D. Jiang ◽  
B. L. Otto-Bliesner ◽  
...  

Abstract. Based on simulations with 15 climate models in the Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP), the regional climate of East Asia (focusing on China) during the mid-Pliocene is investigated in this study. Compared to the pre-industrial, the multi-model ensemble mean (MMM) of all models shows the East Asian summer winds (EASWs) largely strengthen in monsoon China, and the East Asian winter winds (EAWWs) strengthen in south monsoon China but slightly weaken in north monsoon China in the mid-Pliocene. The MMM of all models also illustrates a warmer and wetter mid-Pliocene climate in China. The simulated weakened mid-Pliocene EAWWs in north monsoon China and intensified EASWs in monsoon China agree well with geological reconstructions. However, there is a large model–model discrepancy in simulating mid-Pliocene EAWW, which should be further addressed in the future work of PlioMIP.


2013 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 1135-1164 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Zhang ◽  
Q. Yan ◽  
Z. S. Zhang ◽  
D. Jiang ◽  
B. L. Otto-Bliesner ◽  
...  

Abstract. Based on the simulations with fifteen climate models in the Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP), the regional climate of East Asia (focusing on China) during the mid-Pliocene is investigated in this study. Compared to the pre-industrial, the multi-model ensemble mean (MMM) of all models shows the East Asian summer wind (EASW) largely strengthens in monsoon China, and the East Asian winter wind (EAWW) strengthens in south monsoon China but slightly weakens in north monsoon China in mid-Pliocene. The MMM of all models also illustrates a warmer and wetter mid-Pliocene climate in China. The simulated weakened mid-Pliocene EAWW in north monsoon China and intensified EASW in monsoon China agree well with geological reconstructions. However, the model-model discrepancy in simulating mid-Pliocene East Asian monsoon climate, in particular EAWW, should be further addressed in the future work of PlioMIP.


2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (8) ◽  
pp. 2247-2259 ◽  
Author(s):  
Takeshi Horinouchi ◽  
Shinji Matsumura ◽  
Tomoaki Ose ◽  
Yukari N. Takayabu

Abstract Through extensive modeling efforts, it has been established that the ongoing global warming will increase the overall precipitation associated with the East Asian summer monsoon, but the future change of its spatial distribution has not reached a consensus. In this study, meridional shifts of the mei-yu–baiu rainband are studied in association with the subtropical jet by using outputs from atmosphere–ocean coupled climate models provided by CMIP5. The models reproduce observed associations between the jet and precipitation over wide time scales from synoptic to interannual. The same relation is found in intermodel differences in simulated climatology, so that the meridional locations of the jet and baiu precipitation are positively correlated. The multimodel-mean projection suggests that the both are shifted southward by the late twenty-first century. This shift is not inconsistent with the projected tropical expansion, not only because the change is local but also because the projected tropical expansion occurs mainly in the Southern Hemisphere. No significant future change in the continental mei-yu precipitation location is identified, which might be because the jet change is weak there. For comparison, the summertime Atlantic jet position, which shifts northward, is investigated briefly. This study suggests that the future change of the subtropical jet is an important aspect to investigate possible future changes of the baiu rainband, and it prompts further studies including the role of the ocean.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yana Li ◽  
Ngar-Cheung Lau ◽  
Chi-Yung Tam ◽  
Ho-Nam Cheung ◽  
Yi Deng ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 414 ◽  
pp. 125477
Author(s):  
Xiaohui Wang ◽  
Kai Liu ◽  
Lixin Zhu ◽  
Changjun Li ◽  
Zhangyu Song ◽  
...  

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