Combination of type 2 diabetes and smoking increases total cancer mortality in Japanese men using competing risk analysis: the Tanno-Sobetsu study

The evidence on the protective effects of soy foods against type 2 diabetes has been inconsistent. We thought to examine the association between the dietary intakes of soy and the risk of diabetes in a prospective study encompassing 21,925 healthy Japanese men and women aged 40–79 years. A validated self-administered food frequency questionnaire determined the intakes of soy, and their associations with risk of type 2 diabetes were evaluated by the logistic regression analysis. During the 5-year follow-up period, we observed 593 new cases of type 2 diabetes (302 in men and 291 in women). There was no association between dietary intakes of soy foods and the risk of type 2 diabetes among men. Whereas among women, higher tofu intake was inversely associated with risk of type 2 diabetes; the multivariable odds ratios (ORs) of type 2 diabetes were 0.92 (95% CI: 0.69–1.21) for 3–4 times per week and 0.67 (95% CI: 0.49–0.94) for almost daily (p-trend = 0.03) in reference to those consuming tofu less than 3 times per week. Intakes of boiled beans and miso soup were not associated with the risk in both genders. The inverse association tended to be more evident among overweight women and postmenopaused women. In conclusion, the frequency of tofu intake was inversely associated with the risk of type 2 diabetes among women.

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A Scoring System For Predicting Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk In Alcoholic Cirrhosis: A Competing Risk Analysis

10.21203/rs.3.rs-970975/v1 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Kyunghan Lee ◽

Gwang Hyeon Choi ◽

Eun Sun Jang ◽

Sook-Hyang Jeong ◽

Jin–Wook Kim

Keyword(s):

Hepatocellular Carcinoma ◽

Risk Analysis ◽

Viral Hepatitis ◽

Validation Cohort ◽

Alcoholic Cirrhosis ◽

Competing Risk ◽

Competing Risk Analysis ◽

Hazards Model ◽

B Virus

Abstract Background & Aims: The role of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance is being questioned in alcoholic cirrhosis because of the relative low HCC risk. Comorbid viral hepatitis may synergistically increase the HCC risk in alcoholic cirrhosis. This study aimed to assess the risk and predictors of HCC in patients with alcoholic cirrhosis by using competing risk analysis in an area with intermediate prevalence for hepatitis B virus.Methods: A total of 965 patients with alcoholic cirrhosis were recruited at a university-affiliated hospital in Korea and randomly assigned to either the derivation (n=643) and validation (n=322) cohort. Subdistribution hazards model of Fine and Gray was used with deaths and liver transplantation treated as competing risks. Death records were confirmed from Korean government databases. A nomogram was developed to calculate the Alcohol-associated Liver Cancer Estimation (ALICE) score.Results: Markers for viral hepatitis were positive in 21.0 % and 25.8 % of patients in derivation and validation cohort, respectively. The cumulative incidence of HCC was 13.5 and 14.9 % at 10 years for derivation and validation cohort, respectively. Age, positivity for viral hepatitis markers, alpha-fetoprotein level, and platelet count were identified as independent predictors of HCC and incorporated in the ALICE score, which discriminated low, intermediate, and high risk for HCC in alcoholic cirrhosis at the cut-off of 120 and 180. Conclusions: HCC risk can be stratified by using clinical parameters including viral markers in alcoholic cirrhosis in an area where the prevalence of viral hepatitis is substantial.

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