scholarly journals Enhancing the accuracy and precision of forecasting the productivity of a factory: a fuzzified feedforward neural network approach

Author(s):  
Toly Chen ◽  
Yu-Cheng Lin

AbstractMost existing methods for forecasting the productivity of a factory cannot estimate the range of productivity reliably, especially when future conditions are distinct from those in the past. To address this issue, a fuzzified feedforward neural network (FFNN) approach is proposed in this study. The FFNN approach improves the forecasting precision after generating accurate fuzzy productivity forecasts. In addition, the acceptable range of a fuzzy productivity forecast is specified, based on which the sum of the memberships of actual values is maximized. In this way, the range of productivity can be precisely estimated. After applying the FFNN approach to a real case, the experimental results revealed the superiority of the FFNN approach by improving the forecasting precision, in terms of the hit rate, by 25%. Such an improvement also contributed to a better forecasting accuracy. The superiority of the FFNN approach is in the context that the accuracy of forecasting productivity is optimized only after the range of productivity has been precisely estimated. In contrast, most state-of-the-art methods focus on optimizing the forecasting accuracy, but may be ineffective without information about the range of productivity when future conditions are distinct from the past.

Author(s):  
Takuo Hamaguchi ◽  
Hidekazu Oiwa ◽  
Masashi Shimbo ◽  
Yuji Matsumoto

Knowledge base completion (KBC) aims to predict missing information in a knowledge base. In this paper, we address the out-of-knowledge-base (OOKB) entity problem in KBC: how to answer queries concerning test entities not observed at training time. Existing embedding-based KBC models assume that all test entities are available at training time, making it unclear how to obtain embeddings for new entities without costly retraining. To solve the OOKB entity problem without retraining, we use graph neural networks (Graph-NNs) to compute the embeddings of OOKB entities, exploiting the limited auxiliary knowledge provided at test time. The experimental results show the effectiveness of our proposed model in the OOKB setting. Additionally, in the standard KBC setting in which OOKB entities are not involved, our model achieves state-of-the-art performance on the WordNet dataset.


2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (7) ◽  
pp. 3282-3298
Author(s):  
Yu-Cheng Lin ◽  
Toly Chen

Most of the existing ubiquitous clinic recommendation (UCR) systems adopt linear mechanisms to aggregate the attribute-level performances of a clinic to evaluate the overall performance. However, such linear mechanisms may not be able to explain the choices of all patients. To solve this problem, the modified mixed binary nonlinear programming (MMBNLP)–feedforward neural network (FNN) approach is proposed in this study. In the proposed methodology, first, the existing MBNLP model is modified to improve the successful recommendation rate using a linear recommendation mechanism. Subsequently, an FNN is constructed to fit the relationship between the attribute-level performances of a clinic and its overall performance, thereby providing possible ways to further enhance the recommendation performance. The results of a regional experiment showed that the MMBNLP–FNN approach improved the successful recommendation rate by 30%.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (17) ◽  
pp. 3537
Author(s):  
Jean-Marie Vient ◽  
Frederic Jourdin ◽  
Ronan Fablet ◽  
Baptiste Mengual ◽  
Ludivine Lafosse ◽  
...  

Due to complex natural and anthropogenic interconnected forcings, the dynamics of suspended sediments within the ocean water column remains difficult to understand and monitor. Numerical models still lack capabilities to account for the variabilities depicted by in situ and satellite-derived datasets. Besides, the irregular space-time sampling associated with satellite sensors make crucial the development of efficient interpolation methods. Optimal Interpolation (OI) remains the state-of-the-art approach for most operational products. Due to the large increase of both in situ and satellite measurements more and more available information is coming from in situ and satellite measurements, as well as from simulation models. The emergence of data-driven schemes as possibly relevant alternatives with increased capabilities to recover finer-scale processes. In this study, we investigate and benchmark three state-of-the-art data-driven schemes, namely an EOF-based technique, an analog data assimilation scheme, and a neural network approach, with an OI scheme. We rely on an Observing System Simulation Experiment based on high-resolution numerical simulations and simulated satellite observations using real satellite sampling patterns. The neural network approach, which relies on variational data assimilation formulation for the interpolation problem, clearly outperforms both the OI and the other data-driven schemes, both in terms of reconstruction performance and of a greater ability to recover high-frequency events. We further discuss how these results could transfer to real data, as well as to other problems beyond interpolation issues, especially short-term forecasting problems from partial satellite observations.


2018 ◽  
Vol 106 (6) ◽  
pp. 603 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bendaoud Mebarek ◽  
Mourad Keddam

In this paper, we develop a boronizing process simulation model based on fuzzy neural network (FNN) approach for estimating the thickness of the FeB and Fe2B layers. The model represents a synthesis of two artificial intelligence techniques; the fuzzy logic and the neural network. Characteristics of the fuzzy neural network approach for the modelling of boronizing process are presented in this study. In order to validate the results of our calculation model, we have used the learning base of experimental data of the powder-pack boronizing of Fe-15Cr alloy in the temperature range from 800 to 1050 °C and for a treatment time ranging from 0.5 to 12 h. The obtained results show that it is possible to estimate the influence of different process parameters. Comparing the results obtained by the artificial neural network to experimental data, the average error generated from the fuzzy neural network was 3% for the FeB layer and 3.5% for the Fe2B layer. The results obtained from the fuzzy neural network approach are in agreement with the experimental data. Finally, the utilization of fuzzy neural network approach is well adapted for the boronizing kinetics of Fe-15Cr alloy.


1997 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel Benzing ◽  
Kevin Whitaker ◽  
Dedra Moore ◽  
Daniel Benzing ◽  
Kevin Whitaker ◽  
...  

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