scholarly journals Biased Adjusted Poisson Ridge Estimators-Method and Application

2020 ◽  
Vol 44 (6) ◽  
pp. 1775-1789
Author(s):  
Muhammad Qasim ◽  
Kristofer Månsson ◽  
Muhammad Amin ◽  
B. M. Golam Kibria ◽  
Pär Sjölander
Keyword(s):  
Poisson Regression ◽  
Regression Estimator ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Poisson Regression Model ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Likelihood Estimator ◽  
Ridge Regression Estimator ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Almost Unbiased ◽  
Better Than

AbstractMånsson and Shukur (Econ Model 28:1475–1481, 2011) proposed a Poisson ridge regression estimator (PRRE) to reduce the negative effects of multicollinearity. However, a weakness of the PRRE is its relatively large bias. Therefore, as a remedy, Türkan and Özel (J Appl Stat 43:1892–1905, 2016) examined the performance of almost unbiased ridge estimators for the Poisson regression model. These estimators will not only reduce the consequences of multicollinearity but also decrease the bias of PRRE and thus perform more efficiently. The aim of this paper is twofold. Firstly, to derive the mean square error properties of the Modified Almost Unbiased PRRE (MAUPRRE) and Almost Unbiased PRRE (AUPRRE) and then propose new ridge estimators for MAUPRRE and AUPRRE. Secondly, to compare the performance of the MAUPRRE with the AUPRRE, PRRE and maximum likelihood estimator. Using both simulation study and real-world dataset from the Swedish football league, it is evidenced that one of the proposed, MAUPRRE ($$ \hat{k}_{q4} $$ k ^ q 4 ) performed better than the rest in the presence of high to strong (0.80–0.99) multicollinearity situation.

scholarly journals The Performance of Some Restricted Estimators In Restricted Linear Regression Model

2021 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Bader Aboud ◽  
Mustafa Ismaeel Naif
Keyword(s):  
Linear Regression ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Simulation Study ◽  
Linear Regression Model ◽  
Regression Estimator ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Ridge Regression Estimator ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Biased Estimators ◽  
Better Than

In the linear regression model, the restricted biased estimation as one of important  methods to addressing the high variance and the  multicollinearity problems. In this paper, we make the simulation study of the some restricted biased estimators. The mean square error (MME) criteria are used to make a comparison  among them. According to the simulation study we observe that, the performance of the restricted modified unbiased  ridge regression estimator (RMUR) was proposed by  Bader and Alheety (2020)  is better than  of these estimators. Numerical example have been considered to illustrate the performance of the estimators.

scholarly journals Modified Kibria-Lukman (MKL) estimator for the Poisson Regression Model: application and simulation

F1000Research ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 ◽  
pp. 548
Author(s):  
Benedicta B. Aladeitan ◽  
Olukayode Adebimpe ◽  
Adewale F. Lukman ◽  
Olajumoke Oludoun ◽  
Oluwakemi E. Abiodun
Keyword(s):  
Regression Model ◽  
Poisson Regression ◽  
Generalized Linear Model ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Poisson Regression Model ◽  
Likelihood Estimator ◽  
Ridge Estimator ◽  
Liu Estimator ◽  
Life Study ◽  
Ridge Regression Estimator

Background: Multicollinearity greatly affects the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) efficiency in both the linear regression model and the generalized linear model. Alternative estimators to the MLE include the ridge estimator, the Liu estimator and the Kibria-Lukman (KL) estimator, though literature shows that the KL estimator is preferred. Therefore, this study sought to modify the KL estimator to mitigate the Poisson Regression Model with multicollinearity. Methods: A simulation study and a real-life study were carried out and the performance of the new estimator was compared with some of the existing estimators. Results: The simulation result showed the new estimator performed more efficiently than the MLE, Poisson Ridge Regression Estimator (PRE), Poisson Liu Estimator (PLE) and the Poisson KL (PKL) estimators. The real-life application also agreed with the simulation result. Conclusions: In general, the new estimator performed more efficiently than the MLE, PRE, PLE and the PKL when multicollinearity was present.

scholarly journals Modified Ridge Regression Estimator with the Application of Peanut Production in Pakistan

2019 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Asifa Mubeen ◽  
Nasir Jamal ◽  
Muhammad Hanif ◽  
Usman Shahzad
Keyword(s):  
Ridge Regression ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Production Data ◽  
Regression Estimator ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Regression Estimators ◽  
Peanut Production ◽  
Ridge Regression Estimator ◽  
The Mean

The main objective of the present study was to develop a new ridge regression estimator and fit the ridge regression model to the peanut production data of Pakistan. Peanut production data has been used to analyze the results. The data has been taken peanut production and growth rate of Pakistan. The mean square error of the proposed estimator is compared with some existing ridge regression estimators. In this study, we proposed a ridge regression estimator. The properties of proposed estimators are also discussed. The real data set of peanut production is used for assuming the performance of proposed and existing estimators. Numerical results of real data set show that proposed ridge regression estimator provides best results as compare to reviewed ones.

scholarly journals Modified Kibria-Lukman (MKL) estimator for the Poisson Regression Model: application and simulation

F1000Research ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 ◽  
pp. 548
Author(s):  
Benedicta B. Aladeitan ◽  
Olukayode Adebimpe ◽  
Adewale F. Lukman ◽  
Olajumoke Oludoun ◽  
Oluwakemi E. Abiodun
Keyword(s):  
Regression Model ◽  
Poisson Regression ◽  
Generalized Linear Model ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Poisson Regression Model ◽  
Likelihood Estimator ◽  
Ridge Estimator ◽  
Liu Estimator ◽  
Life Study ◽  
Ridge Regression Estimator

Background: Multicollinearity greatly affects the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) efficiency in both the linear regression model and the generalized linear model. Alternative estimators to the MLE include the ridge estimator, the Liu estimator and the Kibria-Lukman (KL) estimator, though literature shows that the KL estimator is preferred. Therefore, this study sought to modify the KL estimator to mitigate the Poisson Regression Model with multicollinearity. Methods: A simulation study and a real-life study was carried out and the performance of the new estimator was compared with some of the existing estimators. Results: The simulation result showed the new estimator performed more efficiently than the MLE, Poisson Ridge Regression Estimator (PRE), Poisson Liu Estimator (PLE) and the Poisson KL (PKL) estimators. The real-life application also agreed with the simulation result. Conclusions: In general, the new estimator performed more efficiently than the MLE, PRE, PLE and the PKL when multicollinearity was present.

scholarly journals An Estimation of a Hybrid Log-Poisson Regression Using a Quadratic Optimization Program for Optimal Loss Reserving in Insurance

2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Apollinaire Woundjiagué ◽  
Martin Le Doux Mbele Bidima ◽  
Ronald Waweru Mwangi
Keyword(s):  
Regression Model ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Hybrid Model ◽  
Poisson Regression ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Error Prediction ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Poisson Regression Model ◽  
Loss Reserving ◽  
The Mean

In this article, we are interested in developing an alternative estimation method of the parameters of the hybrid log-Poisson regression model. In our previous paper, we have proposed a hybrid log-Poisson regression model where we have derived the analytical expression of the fuzzy parameters. We found that the hybrid model provide better results than the classical log-Poisson regression model according to the mean square error prediction and the goodness of fit index. However, nowhere we have taken into account the optimal value of h(α-cut) which is of greatest importance in fuzzy regressions literature. In this paper, we provide an alternative estimation method of our hybrid model using a quadratic optimization program and the optimized h-value (α-cut). The expected value of fuzzy number is used as a defuzzification procedure to move from fuzzy values to crisp values. We perform the hybrid model with the alternative estimation we are suggesting on two different numerical data to predict incremental payments in loss reserving. From the mean square error prediction, we prove that the alternative estimation of the new hybrid model with an optimized h-value predicts incremental payments better than the classical log-Poisson regression model as well as the same hybrid model with analytical estimation of parameters. Hence we have optimized the outstanding loss reserves.

scholarly journals A new estimator for the multicollinear Poisson regression model: simulation and application

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Adewale F. Lukman ◽  
Emmanuel Adewuyi ◽  
Kristofer Månsson ◽  
B. M. Golam Kibria
Keyword(s):  
Regression Model ◽  
Poisson Regression ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Model Simulation ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Poisson Regression Model ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
Damage Data ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Better Than

AbstractThe maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) suffers from the instability problem in the presence of multicollinearity for a Poisson regression model (PRM). In this study, we propose a new estimator with some biasing parameters to estimate the regression coefficients for the PRM when there is multicollinearity problem. Some simulation experiments are conducted to compare the estimators' performance by using the mean squared error (MSE) criterion. For illustration purposes, aircraft damage data has been analyzed. The simulation results and the real-life application evidenced that the proposed estimator performs better than the rest of the estimators.

scholarly journals Poisson Regression-Based Mean Estimator

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-6
Author(s):  
Usman Shahzad ◽  
Shabnam Shahzadi ◽  
Noureen Afshan ◽  
Nadia H. Al-Noor ◽  
David Anekeya Alilah ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Regression Model ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Random Sampling ◽  
Poisson Regression ◽  
Simple Random Sampling ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Poisson Regression Model ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Ratio Estimators

The most frequent method for modeling count responses in numerous investigations is the Poisson regression model. Under simple random sampling, this paper offers utilizing Poisson regression-based mean estimator and discovers its associated formula of the mean square error (MSE). The MSE of the proposed estimator is compared to the MSE of traditional ratio estimators in theory. As a result of these evaluations, the proposed estimator has been proven to be more efficient than traditional estimators. Furthermore, the practical results corroborated the theoretical findings.

PARAMETER ESTIMATION ON HURDLE POISSON REGRESSION MODEL WITH CENSORED DATA

2012 ◽  
Vol 57 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
SEYED EHSAN SAFFAR ◽  
ROBIAH ADNAN ◽  
WILLIAM GREENE
Keyword(s):  
Regression Model ◽  
Count Data ◽  
Poisson Regression ◽  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Poisson Model ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Poisson Regression Model ◽  
Response Variable ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Over Dispersion

A Poisson model typically is assumed for count data. In many cases, there are many zeros in the dependent variable and because of these many zeros, the mean and the variance values of the dependent variable are not the same as before. In fact, the variance value of the dependent variable will be much more than the mean value of the dependent variable and this is called over–dispersion. Therefore, Poisson model is not suitable anymore for this kind of data because of too many zeros. Thus, it is suggested to use a hurdle Poisson regression model to overcome over–dispersion problem. Furthermore, the response variable in such cases is censored for some values. In this paper, a censored hurdle Poisson regression model is introduced on count data with many zeros. In this model, we consider a response variable and one or more than one explanatory variables. The estimation of regression parameters using the maximum likelihood method is discussed and the goodness–of–fit for the regression model is examined. We study the effects of right censoring on estimated parameters and their standard errors via an example.

scholarly journals PENERAPAN REGRESI BINOMIAL NEGATIF UNTUK MENGATASI OVERDISPERSI PADA REGRESI POISSON

2013 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 6
Author(s):  
PUTU SUSAN PRADAWATI ◽  
KOMANG GDE SUKARSA ◽  
I GUSTI AYU MADE SRINADI
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Poisson Regression ◽  
Negative Binomial ◽  
Negative Binomial Regression ◽  
Poisson Regression Model ◽  
Response Variable ◽  
Poisson Regression Analysis ◽  
Binomial Regression ◽  
The Mean

Poisson regression was used to analyze the count data which Poisson distributed. Poisson regression analysis requires state equidispersion, in which the mean value of the response variable is equal to the value of the variance. However, there are deviations in which the value of the response variable variance is greater than the mean. This is called overdispersion. If overdispersion happens and Poisson Regression analysis is being used, then underestimated standard errors will be obtained. Negative Binomial Regression can handle overdispersion because it contains a dispersion parameter. From the simulation data which experienced overdispersion in the Poisson Regression model it was found that the Negative Binomial Regression was better than the Poisson Regression model.

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