scholarly journals A ship emission modeling system with scenario capabilities

2021 ◽  
pp. 100132
Author(s):  
Daniel A. Schwarzkopf ◽  
Ronny Petrik ◽  
Volker Matthias ◽  
Markus Quante ◽  
Elisa Majamäki ◽  
...  
2008 ◽  
Vol 47 (36) ◽  
pp. 6723 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ally Mounirou Toure ◽  
Kalifa Goïta ◽  
Alain Royer ◽  
Christian Mätzler ◽  
Martin Schneebeli

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edward Gryspeerdt ◽  
Tom Goren ◽  
Tristan W. P. Smith

Abstract. The response of cloud processes to an aerosol perturbation is one of the largest uncertainties in the anthropogenic forcing of the climate. It occurs at a variety of timescales, from the near-instantaneous Twomey effect, to the longer timescales required for cloud adjustments. Understanding the temporal evolution of cloud properties following an aerosol perturbation is necessary to interpret the results of so-called "natural experiments" from a known aerosol source, such as a ship or industrial site. This work uses reanalysis windfields and ship emission information matched to observations of shiptracks to measure the timescales of cloud responses to aerosol in instantaneous (or "snapshot") images taken by polar-orbiting satellites. As found in previous studies, the local meteorological environment is shown to have a strong impact on the occurrence and properties of shiptracks, but there is a strong time dependence in their properties. The largest droplet number concentration (Nd) responses are found within three hours of emission, while cloud adjustments continue to evolve over periods of ten hours or more. Cloud fraction is increased within the early life of shiptracks, with the formation of shiptracks in otherwise clear skies indicating that around 5–10 % of clear-sky cases in this region may be aerosol-limited. The liquid water path (LWP) enhancement and the Nd-LWP sensitivity are also time dependent and strong functions of the background cloud and meteorological state. The near-instant response of the LWP within shiptracks may be evidence of a retrieval bias in previous estimates of the LWP response to aerosol derived from natural experiments. These results highlight the importance of temporal development and the background cloud field for quantifying the aerosol impact on clouds, even in situations where the aerosol perturbation is clear.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (8) ◽  
pp. 6093-6109
Author(s):  
Edward Gryspeerdt ◽  
Tom Goren ◽  
Tristan W. P. Smith

Abstract. The response of cloud processes to an aerosol perturbation is one of the largest uncertainties in the anthropogenic forcing of the climate. It occurs at a variety of timescales, from the near-instantaneous Twomey effect to the longer timescales required for cloud adjustments. Understanding the temporal evolution of cloud properties following an aerosol perturbation is necessary to interpret the results of so-called “natural experiments” from a known aerosol source such as a ship or industrial site. This work uses reanalysis wind fields and ship emission information matched to observations of ship tracks to measure the timescales of cloud responses to aerosol in instantaneous (or“snapshot”) images taken by polar-orbiting satellites. As in previous studies, the local meteorological environment is shown to have a strong impact on the occurrence and properties of ship tracks, but there is a strong time dependence in their properties. The largest droplet number concentration (Nd) responses are found within 3 h of emission, while cloud adjustments continue to evolve over periods of 10 h or more. Cloud fraction is increased within the early life of ship tracks, with the formation of ship tracks in otherwise clear skies indicating that around 5 %–10 % of clear-sky cases in this region may be aerosol-limited. The liquid water path (LWP) enhancement and the Nd–LWP sensitivity are also time dependent and strong functions of the background cloud and meteorological state. The near-instant response of the LWP within ship tracks may be evidence of a bias in estimates of the LWP response to aerosol derived from natural experiments. These results highlight the importance of temporal development and the background cloud field for quantifying the aerosol impact on clouds, even in situations where the aerosol perturbation is clear.


2021 ◽  
Vol 54 (20) ◽  
pp. 826-833
Author(s):  
Saeid Shahpouri ◽  
Armin Norouzi ◽  
Christopher Hayduk ◽  
Reza Rezaei ◽  
Mahdi Shahbakhti ◽  
...  

2022 ◽  
pp. 146808742110707
Author(s):  
Aran Mohammad ◽  
Reza Rezaei ◽  
Christopher Hayduk ◽  
Thaddaeus Delebinski ◽  
Saeid Shahpouri ◽  
...  

The development of internal combustion engines is affected by the exhaust gas emissions legislation and the striving to increase performance. This demands for engine-out emission models that can be used for engine optimization for real driving emission controls. The prediction capability of physically and data-driven engine-out emission models is influenced by the system inputs, which are specified by the user and can lead to an improved accuracy with increasing number of inputs. Thereby the occurrence of irrelevant inputs becomes more probable, which have a low functional relation to the emissions and can lead to overfitting. Alternatively, data-driven methods can be used to detect irrelevant and redundant inputs. In this work, thermodynamic states are modeled based on 772 stationary measured test bench data from a commercial vehicle diesel engine. Afterward, 37 measured and modeled variables are led into a data-driven dimensionality reduction. For this purpose, approaches of supervised learning, such as lasso regression and linear support vector machine, and unsupervised learning methods like principal component analysis and factor analysis are applied to select and extract the relevant features. The selected and extracted features are used for regression by the support vector machine and the feedforward neural network to model the NOx, CO, HC, and soot emissions. This enables an evaluation of the modeling accuracy as a result of the dimensionality reduction. Using the methods in this work, the 37 variables are reduced to 25, 22, 11, and 16 inputs for NOx, CO, HC, and soot emission modeling while maintaining the accuracy. The features selected using the lasso algorithm provide more accurate learning of the regression models than the extracted features through principal component analysis and factor analysis. This results in test errors RMSETe for modeling NOx, CO, HC, and soot emissions 19.22 ppm, 6.46 ppm, 1.29 ppm, and 0.06 FSN, respectively.


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