scholarly journals Development of a 2-D deep learning regional wave field forecast model based on convolutional neural network and the application in South China Sea

2022 ◽  
Vol 118 ◽  
pp. 103012
Author(s):  
Gen Bai ◽  
Zhifeng Wang ◽  
Xianye Zhu ◽  
Yanqing Feng
2021 ◽  
Vol 40 (7) ◽  
pp. 68-76
Author(s):  
Tao Song ◽  
Ningsheng Han ◽  
Yuhang Zhu ◽  
Zhongwei Li ◽  
Yineng Li ◽  
...  

2014 ◽  
Vol 556-562 ◽  
pp. 5618-5622 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kai Ping Lin ◽  
Yan Dong ◽  
Xiao Yan Huang

Based on 33-year typhoon information of South China Sea (SCS) in 1980-2012 and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, taking Climatology and Persistence (CLIPER) and earlier physical quantities predictors selected by Stepwise Regression (SWR) and Multidimensional Scaling (MDS) methods as model inputs, the Genetic Algorithm-Artificial Neural Network (GA-ANN) forecast model was built for typhoon gale. The forecast verification results for independent samples in MDS-GA-ANN model show that mean absolute error of 24h forecast for wind velocities at 36 grid points around typhoon centers from July to September is 1.6m/s. Using the same samples, the prediction results of MDS-GA-ANN models for independent samples were compared with that of traditional SWR models. Taking July as example, prediction abilities for 29 MDS-GA-ANN models (81%) among 36 grid points around typhoon centers are superior to that of SWR models; only 2 grid points of MDS-GA-ANN models are worse than that of SWR models (6%). Therefore, prediction ability for most of 36 grid points using MDS-GA-ANN models is superior to that of SWR models and can meet business requirements of meteorological stations at present.


2005 ◽  
Vol 27 (4) ◽  
pp. 193-203
Author(s):  
Le Duc ◽  
Le Cong Thang ◽  
Kieu Thi Xin

Chan (1995) [2] has found that, only 70% in 60 cases of the tropical cyclone (TC) movement test (TMT-90) developed from steering flows. The 30% remain of cases have to be explained by nonbarotropic processes. We are of the opinion that all weak, slow-moving and unexpected changing TCs over the South China Sea are in this 30% set. The nonlinear interaction between barotropic and nonbarotropic processes has affected on motion and structure of such TCs. In this paper, we use the high resolution weather forecast model (HRM), which is able to simulate meso-scale phenomena in limited regions, to predict motion of TCs in the South China Sea in 2002-2004, including two typical weak, slow-moving and unexpected changing TCs Mekhala and Nepartak. We have chosen two forecast domains with different areas and resolutions. The results show that with the smaller domain, appropriate buffer and higher resolution HRM can predict better motion of TCs operating in the South China Sea.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 488
Author(s):  
Jin Huang ◽  
Yu Luo ◽  
Jian Shi ◽  
Xin Ma ◽  
Qian-Qian Li ◽  
...  

Ocean sound speed is an essential foundation for marine scientific research and marine engineering applications. In this article, a model based on a comprehensive optimal back propagation artificial neural network model is developed. The Levenberg–Marquardt algorithm is used to optimize the model, and the momentum term, normalization, and early termination method were used to predict the high precision marine sound speed profile. The sound speed profile was described by five indicators: date, time, latitude, longitude, and depth. The model used data from the CTD observation dataset of scientific investigation over the South China Sea (2009–2012) (108°–120°E, 6°–8°N), which includes comprehensive scientific investigation data from four voyages. The feasibility of modeling the sound speed field in the South China Sea is investigated. The proposed model uses the momentum term, normalization, and early termination in a traditional BP artificial neural network structure and mitigates issues with overtraining and difficulty when determining the BP neural network parameters. With the LM algorithm, a fast-modeling method for the sound field effectively achieves the precision requirement for sound speed prediction. Through the prediction and verification of the data from 2009 to 2012, the newly proposed optimized BP network model is shown to dramatically reduce the training time and improve precision compared to the traditional network model. Results showed that the root mean squared error decreased from 1.7903 m/s to 0.95732 m/s, and the training time decreased from 612.43 s to 4.231 s. Finally, the sound ray tracing simulations confirm that the model meets the accuracy requirements of acoustic sounding and verify the model’s feasibility for the real-time prediction of the vertical sound speed in saltwater bodies.


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