Predicting the effects of climate change on trophic status of three morphologically varying lakes: Implications for lake restoration and management

2011 ◽  
Vol 26 (4) ◽  
pp. 354-370 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dennis Trolle ◽  
David P. Hamilton ◽  
Conrad A. Pilditch ◽  
Ian C. Duggan ◽  
Erik Jeppesen
2006 ◽  
Vol 34 (4) ◽  
pp. 349-359 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ilias Bertahas ◽  
Elias Dimitriou ◽  
Ioannis Karaouzas ◽  
Sofia Laschou ◽  
Ierotheos Zacharias

Author(s):  
Carina Almeida ◽  
Paulo Branco ◽  
Pedro Segurado ◽  
Tiago B. Ramos ◽  
Teresa Ferreira ◽  
...  

Abstract This study describes an integrated modelling approach to better understand the trophic status of the Montargil reservoir (southern Portugal) under climate change scenarios. The SWAT and CE-QUAL-W2 models were applied to the basin and reservoir, respectively, for simulating water and nutrient dynamics while considering one climatic scenario and two decadal timelines (2025–2034 and 2055–2064). Model simulations showed that the dissolved oxygen concentration in the reservoir's hypolimnion is expected to decrease by 60% in both decadal timelines, while the chlorophyll-a concentration in the reservoir's epiliminion is expected to increase by 25%. The total phosphorus concentration (TP) is predicted to increase in the water column surface by 63% and in the hypolimion by 90% during the 2030 timeline. These results are even more severe during the 2060 timeline. Under this climate change scenario, the reservoir showed an eutrophic state during 70–80% of both timelines. Even considering measures that involve decreases in 30 to 35% of water use, the eutrophic state is not expected to improve.


Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (10) ◽  
pp. 2789
Author(s):  
Somayeh Shadkam ◽  
Pieter van Oel ◽  
Pavel Kabat ◽  
Amin Roozbahani ◽  
Fulco Ludwig

Increases in water demand often result in unsustainable water use, leaving insufficient amounts of water for the environment. Therefore, water-saving strategies have been introduced to the environmental policy agenda in many (semi)-arid regions. As many such interventions failed to reach their objectives, a comprehensive tool is needed to assess them. We introduced a constructive framework to assess the proposed strategies by estimating five key components of the water balance in an area: (1) Demand; (2) Availability; (3) Withdrawal; (4) Depletion and (5) Outflow. The framework was applied to assess the Urmia Lake Restoration Program (ULRP) which aimed to increase the basin outflow to the lake to reach 3.1 × 109 m3 yr−1. Results suggested that ULRP could help to increase the Outflow by up to 57%. However, successful implementation of the ULRP was foreseen to be impeded because of three main reasons: (i) decreasing return flows; (ii) increased Depletion; (iii) the impact of climate change. Decreasing return flows and increasing Depletion were expected due to the introduction of technologies that increase irrigation efficiency, while climate change could decrease future water availability by an estimated 3–15%. We suggest that to reach the intervention target, strategies need to focus on reducing water depletion rather than water withdrawals. The framework can be used to comprehensively assess water-saving strategies, particularly in water-stressed basins.


Water ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 122 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erik Jeppesen ◽  
Martin Søndergaard ◽  
Zhengwen Liu

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paola Ayala-Borda ◽  
Connie Lovejoy ◽  
Michael Power ◽  
Milla Rautio

Lakes and ponds are dominant components of Arctic landscapes and provide food and water for northern communities. In the Greiner Lake watershed, in Cambridge Bay (Nunavut, Canada), water bodies are small (84% < 5 ha) and shallow (99% <4 m). Such characteristics make them vulnerable to eutrophication as temperatures rise and nutrient concentrations from the greening landscape increase. Here, we investigated and compared 35 lakes and ponds in the Greiner watershed in August 2018 and 2019 to determine their current trophic states based on their chemical composition and phytoplankton communities. The ponds had higher trophic status than the lakes, but overall, most sites were oligotrophic. Lake ERA5, located upstream of any direct human influence was classified as eutrophic due to high total phosphorus (32.3 µg L<sup>-1</sup>) and a high proportion of Cyanobacteria (42.9% of total phytoplankton biovolume). Satellite imagery suggests the lake may have been eutrophic for the last 30 years. We hypothesize that the coupled effects of catchment characteristics and elevated local snow accumulation patterns promote higher nutrient leaching rates from the soils. We recommend further analysis and monitoring as eutrophication could become more widespread with ongoing climate change and the associated increases in temperature, precipitation, and catchment-lake coupling.


2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (6) ◽  
pp. 1787-1799
Author(s):  
Renaud Fichez ◽  
Carlos Linares ◽  
Sandrine Chifflet ◽  
Pascal Conan ◽  
Adolfo Contreras Ruiz Esparza ◽  
...  

2002 ◽  
Vol 28 (1) ◽  
pp. 467-470 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. P. Hamilton ◽  
C. M. Spillman ◽  
K. L. Prescott ◽  
T. K. Kratz ◽  
J. J. Magnuson

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (6) ◽  
pp. 723-729
Author(s):  
Roslyn Gleadow ◽  
Jim Hanan ◽  
Alan Dorin

Food security and the sustainability of native ecosystems depends on plant-insect interactions in countless ways. Recently reported rapid and immense declines in insect numbers due to climate change, the use of pesticides and herbicides, the introduction of agricultural monocultures, and the destruction of insect native habitat, are all potential contributors to this grave situation. Some researchers are working towards a future where natural insect pollinators might be replaced with free-flying robotic bees, an ecologically problematic proposal. We argue instead that creating environments that are friendly to bees and exploring the use of other species for pollination and bio-control, particularly in non-European countries, are more ecologically sound approaches. The computer simulation of insect-plant interactions is a far more measured application of technology that may assist in managing, or averting, ‘Insect Armageddon' from both practical and ethical viewpoints.


2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 221-231 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rebecca Millington ◽  
Peter M. Cox ◽  
Jonathan R. Moore ◽  
Gabriel Yvon-Durocher

Abstract We are in a period of relatively rapid climate change. This poses challenges for individual species and threatens the ecosystem services that humanity relies upon. Temperature is a key stressor. In a warming climate, individual organisms may be able to shift their thermal optima through phenotypic plasticity. However, such plasticity is unlikely to be sufficient over the coming centuries. Resilience to warming will also depend on how fast the distribution of traits that define a species can adapt through other methods, in particular through redistribution of the abundance of variants within the population and through genetic evolution. In this paper, we use a simple theoretical ‘trait diffusion’ model to explore how the resilience of a given species to climate change depends on the initial trait diversity (biodiversity), the trait diffusion rate (mutation rate), and the lifetime of the organism. We estimate theoretical dangerous rates of continuous global warming that would exceed the ability of a species to adapt through trait diffusion, and therefore lead to a collapse in the overall productivity of the species. As the rate of adaptation through intraspecies competition and genetic evolution decreases with species lifetime, we find critical rates of change that also depend fundamentally on lifetime. Dangerous rates of warming vary from 1°C per lifetime (at low trait diffusion rate) to 8°C per lifetime (at high trait diffusion rate). We conclude that rapid climate change is liable to favour short-lived organisms (e.g. microbes) rather than longer-lived organisms (e.g. trees).


2001 ◽  
Vol 70 (1) ◽  
pp. 47-61 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert Moss ◽  
James Oswald ◽  
David Baines

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