scholarly journals Causal Inference From Real-World Data

2018 ◽  
Vol 72 (5) ◽  
pp. 486-488
Author(s):  
Peter Brønnum Nielsen ◽  
Flemming Skjøth ◽  
Mette Søgaard
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert Goldberg ◽  
Amina Ahmed ◽  
Joseph Swiader ◽  
Zack Wintrob ◽  
Maggie Yilmaz

Less than 1% of the US population lives in long-term care facilities, yet this subset of the population accounts for 22% of total COVID-19 related deaths.1Because of a lack of experimental evidence to treat COVID-19, analysis of real-world data to identify causal relationships between treatments/policies to mortality and morbidity among high-risk individuals is critical. We applied causal inference (CI) analysis to longitudinal patient-level health data of 4,091 long-term care high-risk patients with COVID-19 to determine if any actions or therapies delivered from January to August of 2020 reduced COVID-19 patient mortality rates during this period.Causal inference findings determined that certain supportive care interventions caused reduced mortality rates for nursing home residents regardless of severity of disease (as measured by oxygen saturation level, presence of pneumonia and organ failure), comorbidities or social determinants of health such as race, age,and weight.2While we do not address the biological mechanisms associated with specific medical interventions and their impact on mortality, this analysis suggests methods to validate and optimize treatment protocols using domain knowledge and causal inference analysis of real-world data across patient populations and care settings.


2019 ◽  
Vol 5 ◽  
pp. e169 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patrick Blöbaum ◽  
Dominik Janzing ◽  
Takashi Washio ◽  
Shohei Shimizu ◽  
Bernhard Schölkopf

We address the problem of inferring the causal direction between two variables by comparing the least-squares errors of the predictions in both possible directions. Under the assumption of an independence between the function relating cause and effect, the conditional noise distribution, and the distribution of the cause, we show that the errors are smaller in causal direction if both variables are equally scaled and the causal relation is close to deterministic. Based on this, we provide an easily applicable algorithm that only requires a regression in both possible causal directions and a comparison of the errors. The performance of the algorithm is compared with various related causal inference methods in different artificial and real-world data sets.


ANALES RANM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 138 (138(01)) ◽  
pp. 16-23
Author(s):  
Luis Martí-Bonmatí

This work defines a research on data strategy focused on medical imaging and derived image biomarkers to critically assess the concept of causal inference and uncertainties. Computational observational studies will be valued to generate casual inference from real world data. Our main goal is to propose a scientific methodology that allows to estimate causalities from observational studies through quality control of large databases, definition of plausible hypotheses, using computational estimated models and artificial intelligence tools. The computational approach of radiology to precision medicine by using epidemiological strategies is based on causal inference studies relies on real-world data observational, longitudinal, case-control analysis designed (being case the presence, and control the absence of the event to be estimated). In this new research setting, we consider disease in classical epidemiology as phenotyping, response to treatment and final prognosis; and exposure equals to the presence of a radiomic, dynamic image biomarker or AI modeling solution. Research with data on which causality is to be inferred must control for recruitment of closed cases, in which the researcher does not intervene in the patient’s clinical history but works on databases, collecting data to be secondary used in generating consistent causalities.


2016 ◽  
Vol 22 ◽  
pp. 219
Author(s):  
Roberto Salvatori ◽  
Olga Gambetti ◽  
Whitney Woodmansee ◽  
David Cox ◽  
Beloo Mirakhur ◽  
...  

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