scholarly journals Identification of time-varying transformation models with fixed effects, with an application to unobserved heterogeneity in resource shares

Author(s):  
Irene Botosaru ◽  
Chris Muris ◽  
Krishna Pendakur
2021 ◽  
pp. 008117502110160
Author(s):  
Scott W. Duxbury

Panel data analysis is common in the social sciences. Fixed effects models are a favorite among sociologists because they control for unobserved heterogeneity (unexplained variation) among cross-sectional units, but estimates are biased when there is unobserved heterogeneity in the underlying time trends. Two-way fixed effects models adjust for unobserved time heterogeneity but are inefficient, cannot include unit-invariant variables, and eliminate common trends: the portion of variance in a time-varying variable that is invariant across cross-sectional units. This article introduces a general panel model that can include unit-invariant variables, corrects for unobserved time heterogeneity, and provides the effect of common trends while also allowing for unobserved unit heterogeneity, time-varying coefficients, and time-invariant variables. One-way and two-way fixed effects models are shown to be restrictive forms of this general model. Other restrictive forms are also derived that offer all the usual advantages of one-way and two-way fixed effects models but account for unobserved time heterogeneity. The author uses the models to examine the increase in state incarceration rates between 1970 and 2015.


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. 40-41
Author(s):  
Hankyung Jun

Abstract Self-employed workers are often reported to have better health than salaried workers. Whether this is because self-employment has health benefits or healthier workers are self-employed is not clear. Self-employed workers may have higher job satisfaction due to higher levels of self-efficacy and autonomy, but may also experience higher job stress, uncertainty, and lack of health insurance leading to mental health problems. Self-employed workers in the U.S. may have different characteristics than those in Mexico and Korea given different working and living environments as well as different institutional arrangements. This study will examine the association between self-employment and mental and cognitive health for older adults in the U.S., Mexico, and South Korea. It uses harmonized panel data from the Health and Retirement Study, the Korean Longitudinal Study of Aging, and the Mexican Health and Aging Study. We compare the health and selection effect of self-employment using a pooled logistic model, fixed-effects model, and a bivariate probit model. In addition to comparing self-employed and salaried workers, we analyze differences between self-employed with and without employees. By using rich data and various models, we address reverse causality and estimate the relationship between self-employment and health. We show that the positive health effects of self-employed workers in the U.S. disappear once controlled for unobserved heterogeneity, indicating the possibility of healthier workers selecting into self-employment. Interestingly, for Korea and Mexico, healthier individuals seem to select into wage work which reflects the difference in working conditions across countries. Further analysis will show effects by business size.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephen E. Brossette ◽  
Ning Zheng ◽  
Daisy Y. Wong ◽  
Patrick A. Hymel

AbstractA better understanding of the effects of nursing on clinical outcomes could be used to improve the safety, efficacy, and efficiency of inpatient care. However, measuring the performance of individual nurses is complicated by the non-random assignment of nurses to patients, a process that is confounded by unobserved patient, management, workforce, and institutional factors. Using the MIMIC-III ICU database, we estimate the effects of individual registered nurses (RNs) on the probability of acute kidney injury (AKI) in the ICU. We control for significant unobserved heterogeneity by exploiting panel data with 12-hour fixed effects, and use a linear probability model to estimate the near-term marginal effects of individual RN assignments. Among 270 ICU RNs, we find 15 excess high-side outliers, and 4 excess low-side outliers. We estimate that in one twelve-hour work shift, each high-side RN outlier increases the probability of AKI by about 4 percentage points, and in 25 work shifts, causes about one additional AKI. Conversely, each low-side outlier prevents about one AKI in 50 work shifts. Given the fine-grained nature of the fixed effects employed, we believe that the estimated individual nursing effects are approximately causal. We discuss our contribution to the literature and identify potential use cases for clinical deployment.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-19
Author(s):  
David M. Zimmer

Abstract Simple ordinary least squares estimates indicate that absent fathers boost probabilities of adolescent criminal behavior by 16–38%, but those numbers likely are biased by unobserved heterogeneity. This paper first presents an economic model explaining that unobserved heterogeneity. Then turning to empirics, fixed effects, which attempt to address that bias, suggest that absent fathers reduce certain types of adolescent crime, while lagged-dependent variable models suggest the opposite. Those conflicting conclusions are resolved by an approach that combines those two estimators using an orthogonal reparameterization approach, with model parameters calculated using a Bayesian algorithm. The main finding is that absent fathers do not appear to directly affect adolescent criminal activity. Rather, families with absent fathers possess traits that appear to correlate with increased adolescent criminal behaviors.


2019 ◽  
Vol 26 (9) ◽  
pp. 935-954 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julia O’Connor ◽  
Lenna Nepomnyaschy

Using a longitudinal population-based sample ( n = 4,234), this study explored the association of intimate partner violence (IPV) with material hardship. We found that women who experienced IPV are substantially more likely to experience material hardship, even after controlling for a comprehensive set of static and time-varying characteristics, including material hardship at the prior wave and individual fixed effects. Associations were strongest for experiences of physical abuse (the least prevalent type of IPV) and controlling abuse (the most prevalent type of IPV) but were weaker for emotional abuse. Results suggest that IPV increases the probability of material hardship by 10-25%.


2019 ◽  
Vol 63 (3) ◽  
pp. 357-369 ◽  
Author(s):  
Terrence D. Hill ◽  
Andrew P. Davis ◽  
J. Micah Roos ◽  
Michael T. French

Although fixed-effects models for panel data are now widely recognized as powerful tools for longitudinal data analysis, the limitations of these models are not well known. We provide a critical discussion of 12 limitations, including a culture of omission, low statistical power, limited external validity, restricted time periods, measurement error, time invariance, undefined variables, unobserved heterogeneity, erroneous causal inferences, imprecise interpretations of coefficients, imprudent comparisons with cross-sectional models, and questionable contributions vis-à-vis previous work. Instead of discouraging the use of fixed-effects models, we encourage more critical applications of this rigorous and promising methodology. The most important deficiencies—Type II errors, biased coefficients and imprecise standard errors, misleading p values, misguided causal claims, and various theoretical concerns—should be weighed against the likely presence of unobserved heterogeneity in other regression models. Ultimately, we must do a better job of communicating the pitfalls of fixed-effects models to our colleagues and students.


2020 ◽  
pp. 004912412091493
Author(s):  
Marco Giesselmann ◽  
Alexander W. Schmidt-Catran

An interaction in a fixed effects (FE) regression is usually specified by demeaning the product term. However, algebraic transformations reveal that this strategy does not yield a within-unit estimator. Instead, the standard FE interaction estimator reflects unit-level differences of the interacted variables. This property allows interactions of a time-constant variable and a time-varying variable in FE to be estimated but may yield unwanted results if both variables vary within units. In such cases, Monte Carlo experiments confirm that the standard FE estimator of x ⋅ z is biased if x is correlated with an unobserved unit-specific moderator of z (or vice versa). A within estimator of an interaction can be obtained by first demeaning each variable and then demeaning their product. This “double-demeaned” estimator is not subject to bias caused by unobserved effect heterogeneity. It is, however, less efficient than standard FE and only works with T > 2.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document