Implication of remotely sensed data to incorporate land cover effect into a linear reservoir-based rainfall–runoff model

2015 ◽  
Vol 529 ◽  
pp. 94-105 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vahid Nourani ◽  
Ahmad Fakheri Fard ◽  
Faegheh Niazi ◽  
Hoshin V. Gupta ◽  
David C. Goodrich ◽  
...  
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bidroha Basu ◽  
Arunima Sarkar Basu ◽  
Srikanta Sannigrahi ◽  
Francesco Pilla

<p>Over the past few decades, there has been over increasing pressure on land due to population growth, urbanization, agriculture expansion and industrialization. The change in land use and land cover (LULC) pattern are highly dependent on human intervention. Deforestation pattern has started due to growth of suburbs, cities, and industrial land. The alarming rate in change of LULC pattern was on a rising trend since 1990s and has been increasing over time. This study focuses on analyzing the changes in LULC pattern in Dublin, Ireland over the past two decades using remotely sensed LANDSAT satellite imagery data, and quantify the effect of LULC change in streamflow simulation in watershed at Dublin by using rainfall-runoff model. Benefit of using remotely sensed image to investigate LULC changes include availability of high-resolution spatial data at free of cost, images captured at high temporal resolution to monitor the changes in LULC during both seasonal and yearly timescale and readily availability of data. The potential classification of landforms has been done by performing both supervised as well as unsupervised classification. The results obtained from the classified images have been compared to google earth images to understand the accuracy of the image classification. The change in LULC can be characterized by changes in building density and urban/artificial area (build up areas increase due to population growth), changes in vegetation area as well as vegetation health, changes in waterbodies and barren land. Furthermore, a set of indices such as vegetation index, building index, water index and drought index were estimated, and their changes were monitored over time. Results of this analysis can be used to understand the driving factors affecting the changes in LULC and to develop mathematical models to predict future changes in landforms. Soil Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) based rainfall-runoff model were used to simulate the changes in runoff due to the LULC changes in watershed over two decades. The developed framework is highly replicable because of the used LANDSAT data and can be applied to generate essential information for conservation and management of green/forest lands, as well as changes in water availability and water stress in the assessed area.</p>


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
Rubianca Benavidez

<p>The destructive capability of typhoons affects lives and infrastructure around the world. Spatial analysis of historical typhoon records reveal an area of intense storm activity within the Southeast Asian (SEA) region. Within SEA is the Philippines, an archipelagic tropical country regularly struck by storms that often cause severe landslides, erosion and floods. Annually, ˜20 cyclones enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility, with about nine making landfall, causing high winds and intense rainfall. Thus, significant research in the Philippines has focused on increasing the resilience of ecosystems and communities through real-time disaster forecasting, structural protections, and programmes for sustainable watershed management (e.g. rehabilitation and conservation agriculture). This dissertation focused on the third aspect through computer modelling and scenario analysis.  The study area is the Cagayan de Oro (CDO) catchment (˜1400km²) located in the Southern Philippines. The catchment experienced heavy flooding in 2012 from Typhoon Bopha and has major erosion problems due to mountainous slopes and heavy rainfall. Communities derive ecosystem services (ES) including agricultural production, water supply, recreation, mining resources, flood mitigation, etc. Since changes to the supply or distribution of these ES affects livelihoods and the hydrological response of the catchment to typhoon events, this research used the Land Utilisation and Capability Indicator (LUCI) model to understand the baseline ES and potential changes associated with basin management plans.  This was the first detailed tropical application of LUCI, including parameterising it for Philippine soil and land cover datasets in CDO and extending its capability to be applied in future tropical areas. Aside from applying LUCI in a new geoclimatic region, this research contributed to the general development of LUCI through testing and improving its sediment delivery and inundation modelling. The sediment delivery was enhanced using the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) model that allows LUCI for the first time to account for impacts of specific land management such as agroforestry and contour cropping on erosion and sediment delivery. Progress was made in updating a flatwater inundation model for use with LUCI, including converting it to Python but this requires further development and testing before it is suitable for application in the Philippines.  The development and rehabilitation scenarios showed improved flood mitigation, lower surficial soil erosion rates, and lower loads of nutrients compared to the baseline scenario. Additionally, ES mapping under different land cover scenarios has not been previously accomplished in CDO, and this research provides useful information to guide local decision-making and management planning.   The rainfall-runoff model of LUCI was tested against the Hydrologic Engineering Center’s Hydrological Modelling System (HEC-HMS), showing good agreement with observed flow. Since the rainfall-runoff model of LUCI has been minimally utilised in past applications, this CDO application elucidated directions for future work around further testing under extreme rainfall events and climate change.  Overall, this novel application of LUCI creates a framework to assist decision-making around land cover changes in the CDO, provides guidance around data requirements and parameterisation procedures to guide future international applications, and has significantly contributed to development and improvement of the LUCI framework to extend its modelling capabilities in the future.</p>


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
Rubianca Benavidez

<p>The destructive capability of typhoons affects lives and infrastructure around the world. Spatial analysis of historical typhoon records reveal an area of intense storm activity within the Southeast Asian (SEA) region. Within SEA is the Philippines, an archipelagic tropical country regularly struck by storms that often cause severe landslides, erosion and floods. Annually, ˜20 cyclones enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility, with about nine making landfall, causing high winds and intense rainfall. Thus, significant research in the Philippines has focused on increasing the resilience of ecosystems and communities through real-time disaster forecasting, structural protections, and programmes for sustainable watershed management (e.g. rehabilitation and conservation agriculture). This dissertation focused on the third aspect through computer modelling and scenario analysis.  The study area is the Cagayan de Oro (CDO) catchment (˜1400km²) located in the Southern Philippines. The catchment experienced heavy flooding in 2012 from Typhoon Bopha and has major erosion problems due to mountainous slopes and heavy rainfall. Communities derive ecosystem services (ES) including agricultural production, water supply, recreation, mining resources, flood mitigation, etc. Since changes to the supply or distribution of these ES affects livelihoods and the hydrological response of the catchment to typhoon events, this research used the Land Utilisation and Capability Indicator (LUCI) model to understand the baseline ES and potential changes associated with basin management plans.  This was the first detailed tropical application of LUCI, including parameterising it for Philippine soil and land cover datasets in CDO and extending its capability to be applied in future tropical areas. Aside from applying LUCI in a new geoclimatic region, this research contributed to the general development of LUCI through testing and improving its sediment delivery and inundation modelling. The sediment delivery was enhanced using the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) model that allows LUCI for the first time to account for impacts of specific land management such as agroforestry and contour cropping on erosion and sediment delivery. Progress was made in updating a flatwater inundation model for use with LUCI, including converting it to Python but this requires further development and testing before it is suitable for application in the Philippines.  The development and rehabilitation scenarios showed improved flood mitigation, lower surficial soil erosion rates, and lower loads of nutrients compared to the baseline scenario. Additionally, ES mapping under different land cover scenarios has not been previously accomplished in CDO, and this research provides useful information to guide local decision-making and management planning.   The rainfall-runoff model of LUCI was tested against the Hydrologic Engineering Center’s Hydrological Modelling System (HEC-HMS), showing good agreement with observed flow. Since the rainfall-runoff model of LUCI has been minimally utilised in past applications, this CDO application elucidated directions for future work around further testing under extreme rainfall events and climate change.  Overall, this novel application of LUCI creates a framework to assist decision-making around land cover changes in the CDO, provides guidance around data requirements and parameterisation procedures to guide future international applications, and has significantly contributed to development and improvement of the LUCI framework to extend its modelling capabilities in the future.</p>


2019 ◽  
Vol 24 (5) ◽  
pp. 04019011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tero J. Niemi ◽  
Teemu Kokkonen ◽  
Nora Sillanpää ◽  
Heikki Setälä ◽  
Harri Koivusalo

2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 35-50
Author(s):  
Asep Ferdiansyah ◽  
Sri Mulat Yuningsih ◽  
Mirwan Rofiq Ginanjar ◽  
Isnan Fauzan Akrom

Saguling reservoir is one of the three largest reservoirs in the Citarum River Basin. The water source of its reservoir originates from Upper Citarum river basin, with gauging station located in Citarum-Nanjung and local discharge from tributaries around the reservoir. The problem is there is no observation of local discharge from the tributaries, thus its potential is estimated. The purpose of this study is to analyze the potential of local discharge with the Hydrology Engineering Center-Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS) model. The HEC-HMS Rainfall-runoff method is used for calculating the potential of the local discharge that flows into Saguling resevrvoir. The parameters used in the model are deficit constant (loss parameter), linear reservoir (baseflow parameter), dan lag time (transform parameter). Rainfall-runoff model produced good calibration values for Citarum-Nanjung Gauging Station with R2 of 0.8 and the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) value of 0.788. The verification result carried out in Saguling reservoir gives NSE of 0.8343 and R2 value of 0.83. The simulation shows that the potential discharge from local river contributes about 21.64% of the total discharge that enters  into the reservoir with monthly dependable flow for power plants, Q80 and Q85 values at 8,23 m3/s and 5,69 m3/s, respectively. The average discharge of local rivers can generate electricity of 3.89 MW - 162 MW.Keywords: Local discharge, rainfall runoff, potential discharge, Saguling reservoir


2002 ◽  
Vol 6 (5) ◽  
pp. 859-881 ◽  
Author(s):  
Z. Liu ◽  
E. Todini

Abstract. This paper introduces TOPKAPI (TOPographic Kinematic APproximation and Integration), a new physically-based distributed rainfall-runoff model deriving from the integration in space of the kinematic wave model. The TOPKAPI approach transforms the rainfall-runoff and runoff routing processes into three ‘structurally-similar’ non-linear reservoir differential equations describing different hydrological and hydraulic processes. The geometry of the catchment is described by a lattice of cells over which the equations are integrated to lead to a cascade of non-linear reservoirs. The parameter values of the TOPKAPI model are shown to be scale independent and obtainable from digital elevation maps, soil maps and vegetation or land use maps in terms of slope, soil permeability, roughness and topology. It can be shown, under simplifying assumptions, that the non-linear reservoirs aggregate into three reservoir cascades at the basin scale representing the soil, the surface and the drainage network, following the topographic and geomorphologic elements of the catchment, with parameter values which can be estimated directly from the small scale ones. The main advantage of this approach lies in its capability of being applied at increasing spatial scales without losing model and parameter physical interpretation. The model is foreseen to be suitable for land-use and climate change impact assessment; for extreme flood analysis, given the possibility of its extension to ungauged catchments; and last but not least as a promising tool for use with General Circulation Models (GCMs). To demonstrate the quality of the comprehensive distributed/lumped TOPKAPI approach, this paper presents a case study application to the Upper Reno river basin with an area of 1051 km2 based on a DEM grid scale of 200 m. In addition, a real-world case of applying the TOPKAPI model to the Arno river basin, with an area of 8135 km2 and using a DEM grid scale of 1000 m, for the development of the real-time flood forecasting system of the Arno river will be described. The TOPKAPI model results demonstrate good agreement between observed and simulated responses in the two catchments, which encourages further developments of the model. Keywords: rainfall-runoff modelling, topographic, kinematic wave approximation, spatial integration, physical meaning, non-linear reservoir model, distributed and lumped


Hydrology ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 82
Author(s):  
Etienne Umukiza ◽  
James M. Raude ◽  
Simon M. Wandera ◽  
Andrea Petroselli ◽  
John M. Gathenya

Due to population growth and an expanding economy, land use/land cover (LULC) change is continuously intensifying and its effects on floods in Kakia and Esamburmbur sub-catchments in Narok town, Kenya, are increasing. This study was carried out in order to evaluate the influence of LULC changes on peak discharge and flow volume in the aforementioned areas. The Event-Based Approach for Small and Ungauged Basins (EBA4SUB) rainfall–runoff model was used to evaluate the peak discharge and flow volume under different assumed scenarios of LULC that were projected starting from a diachronic analysis of satellite images of 1985 and 2019. EBA4SUB simulation demonstrated how the configuration and composition of LULC affect peak discharge and flow volume in the selected catchments. The results showed that the peak discharge and flow volume are affected by the variation of the Curve Number (CN) value that is dependent on the assumed LULC scenario. The evaluated peak discharge and flow volume for the assumed LULC scenarios can be used by local Municipal bodies to mitigate floods.


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