The exchange rate effect of multi-currency risk arbitrage

This paper attempts to reveal whether the foreign exchange (FX) derivatives market effectively and efficiently reduces the volatility to foreign exchange rate fiuctuations. Cross-country evidence suggests that development ofthe FXderivatives market does not boost up spot exchange rate volatility and reduces aggregate exposure to currency risk. Intraday evidence for Chile shows that activity in the forward market has not been associated with higher volatility in the exchange rate following the adoption ofa fioating exchange rate regime. The study also found no evidence that net positions of large participants in the FX derivatives market help to predict the exchange rate. These findings support the view that development of the FX derivatives market is valuable to reduce aggregate currency risk.

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Foreign currency exposure within country exchange traded funds

Studies in Economics and Finance ◽

10.1108/sef-10-2014-0196 ◽

2016 ◽

Vol 33 (2) ◽

pp. 222-243 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Owen Williams

Keyword(s):

Exchange Rate ◽

Foreign Currency ◽

Tracking Error ◽

Exchange Traded Funds ◽

Currency Risk ◽

Content Type ◽

Currency Exposure ◽

The Exchange Rate ◽

Sharpe Ratios ◽

The Impact

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to consider the implicit effect of the underlying foreign currency exposure on the performance characteristics of country exchange traded funds. Design/methodology/approach To arrive at an overall estimation of the exchange-traded fund (ETF)’s tracking error, the mean of the three measures of tracking error was calculated for both the hedged (r_LC) and unhedged (r_NAV) return series. Since tracking error does not capture all the risk inherent in a country index fund, the study extends the analysis using the Sortino and Modified Sharpe ratios. Findings The decision to hedge currency risk should not be taken on the sole basis of historical volatilities. The investor must also factor in transactions costs, the possible roll of futures contracts and prevailing interest rate differentials. If the rate on the foreign currency is greater than the dollar (euro) rate, the investor will pay for the hedge. If the rate on the foreign currency is less than the dollar (euro) rate, the investor will gain on the trade. Given that hedging entails additional costs, in cases where the neutralization of currency volatility only reduces risk modestly, it would be advisable to leave the exchange rate risk unhedged. We propose two metrics for ETF investors deciding whether to hedge a country ETF’s underlying currency risk. Originality/value The results highlight a key finding: while the majority of country funds accurately track the performance of the underlying foreign index when measured in the local currency, returns in the fund currency can be much more volatile. In breaking down the sources of country fund volatility, the paper demonstrates the impact of the underlying currency movements on overall fund risk. In cases where the currency impact has a significant impact on fund tracking errors, an index-oriented investor benefits from neutralizing the exchange rate effect. Additionally, as the Sortino and Modified Sharpe measures suggest that the underlying currency exposure offers in most cases a better risk-adjusted return for country exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the listing currency, we also calculate the risk minimizing foreign currency exposure for each fund and propose a decision rule based on the net currency variance to decide whether to hedge the ETF’s currency risk. The optimal hedge ratio indicates that US-based investors should only partially hedge the underlying currency risk while European-based investors are better off fully hedging currency risk.

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Derivatives Use In The Partial Hedging Of Currency Risk: A Firm-Specific Approach To Understanding The Exchange Rate Exposure Puzzle

Journal of Applied Business Research (JABR) ◽

10.19030/jabr.v26i1.281 ◽

2010 ◽

Vol 26 (1) ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Olesya Savchenko ◽

Stephen Makar

Keyword(s):

Exchange Rate ◽

Foreign Exchange ◽

Foreign Exchange Rate ◽

Currency Risk ◽

Hedging Strategy ◽

Accounting Data ◽

Exchange Rate Exposure ◽

Partial Hedging ◽

The Exchange Rate ◽

Current Financial Crisis

This study investigates whether firms with significant foreign exchange rate exposure change their future use of foreign exchange rate derivatives (FXDs). Unlike prior research, we employ firm-specific accounting data on hedging strategy and currency risk. Our results indicate that firms with high FXDs use relative to their foreign sales have significant exposure to either firm-specific bilateral exchange rates or a broad exchange rate index. Among such firms with significant foreign exchange rate exposure, we find that partial hedgers change their future use of FXDs, consistent with our expectations for firms that monitor the effectiveness of their hedging strategy. These results are timely in light of the increased scrutiny of derivatives use during the current financial crisis, and contribute to our understanding of extant research on returns-based estimates of foreign exchange rate exposure (aka, the exchange rate exposure puzzle).

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Diva Shoes, Inc.

Darden Business Publishing Cases ◽

10.1108/case.darden.2016.000093 ◽

2017 ◽

pp. 1-15

Author(s):

Susan Chaplinsky

Keyword(s):

Exchange Rate ◽

Exchange Rate Risk ◽

Currency Risk ◽

Currency Option ◽

Rate Risk ◽

Forward Contract ◽

The Exchange Rate

This case examines the exchange rate risk of a U.S.-based manufacturer of women's luxury shoes that has recently introduced its product in Japan. Students are asked to evaluate the extent of the firm's exposure to currency risk and whether hedging via forward contract or currency option is advisable.

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Romanian Equity Investments and Currency Risk: A Euro-Based Perspective

Studies in Business and Economics ◽

10.2478/sbe-2021-0013 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 16 (1) ◽

pp. 162-176

Author(s):

loana Radu ◽

Alexandra Horobet ◽

Lucian Belascu

Keyword(s):

Exchange Rate ◽

Stock Market ◽

Exchange Rate Volatility ◽

Stock Index ◽

Currency Risk ◽

Total Risk ◽

International Investments ◽

Stock Market Returns ◽

Local Index ◽

The Exchange Rate

Abstract This paper assesses the benefits and risks of international investments made on the Romanian stock market, from the perspective of euro-based investors. We investigate the contribution of exchange rate volatility to the total risk of these investments over a period of nine years, between January 2011 and December 2019, by using monthly values for the exchange rate between the Romanian leu and Euro and monthly values of the Romanian stock index. Our findings indicate that, on average, Romanian leu depreciated against euro, causing currency losses for the euro-based investor, counterbalanced by the Romanian index mean return, higher than euro countries index mean return during the period under analysis. However, comparing the exchange rate volatility with the volatility of the local index market, we find that that exchange rate returns have lower standard deviations values, which may suggest that the exchange rate volatility does not seem to be an additional factor to the total volatility of the Romanian stock market returns denominated in euro. This conclusion is supported by the values obtained for lambda, a synthetic indicator which measures the proportion of the volatility attributable to exchange rate fluctuations from the total volatility of the euro-based investor returns. Combined, these results imply that currency risk has only a moderate and controllable influence on international investments made by a euro-based investor on the Romanian stock market

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THE EXCHANGE RATE EFFECT ON HOUSING PRICE INDEX AND REIT INDEX RETURN RATES

Finansal Araştırmalar ve Çalışmalar Dergisi ◽

10.14784/marufacd.688468 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Levent SUMER ◽

Beliz ÖZORHON

Keyword(s):

Exchange Rate ◽

Price Index ◽

Housing Price ◽

Rate Effect ◽

Return Rates ◽

Housing Price Index ◽

The Exchange Rate

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Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Nilai Tukar Dollar Amerika Serikat Terhadap Rupiah Tahun 2000–2013

Jurnal Riset Manajemen Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Ekonomi Widya Wiwaha Program Magister Manajemen ◽

10.32477/jrm.v1i2.72 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 1 (2) ◽

pp. 177-191

Author(s):

Rizki Rahma Kusumadewi ◽

Wahyu Widayat

Keyword(s):

Time Series ◽

Exchange Rate ◽

Money Supply ◽

Time Series Data ◽

The United States ◽

Economic Conditions ◽

Series Data ◽

Arch Model ◽

United States Dollar ◽

The Exchange Rate

Exchange rate is one tool to measure a country’s economic conditions. The growth of a stable currency value indicates that the country has a relatively good economic conditions or stable. This study has the purpose to analyze the factors that affect the exchange rate of the Indonesian Rupiah against the United States Dollar in the period of 2000-2013. The data used in this study is a secondary data which are time series data, made up of exports, imports, inflation, the BI rate, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and the money supply (M1) in the quarter base, from first quarter on 2000 to fourth quarter on 2013. Regression model time series data used the ARCH-GARCH with ARCH model selection indicates that the variables that significantly influence the exchange rate are exports, inflation, the central bank rate and the money supply (M1). Whereas import and GDP did not give any influence.

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Pengaruh Faktor Fundamental, Risiko Sistematis Dan Ekonomi Makro Terhadap Return Saham Syariah Yang Tergabung Di Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) Pada Periode 2010 – 2014

Kajian Bisnis STIE Widya Wiwaha ◽

10.32477/jkb.v24i1.217 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 24 (1) ◽

pp. 54-70

Author(s):

Hasanah Setyowati ◽

Riyanti Ningsih

Keyword(s):

Exchange Rate ◽

Stock Exchange ◽

Systematic Risk ◽

Secondary Data ◽

Analysis Model ◽

Macroeconomic Factors ◽

Return On Equity ◽

Equity Ratio ◽

Regression Techniques ◽

The Exchange Rate

This study aimed to obtain empirical evidence on the influence of fundamental factors, systematic risk and macroeconomics on the returns Islamic stock of companies incorporated in the Jakarta Islamic Index in 2010-2014. The variables used were the fundamental factors that are proxied by Earning Per Share (EPS), Return on Equity (ROE), Debt to Equity Ratio (DER); Systematic risk is proxied by Beta Shares; macroeconomic factors is proxied by the inflation rate and the exchange rate. The samples of this study are the enterprises incorporated in Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) at the Indonesian Stock Exchange. The sampling method was using purposive sampling. There were 12 samples of Islamic stocks that meet the criteria to be used as samples. The analysis model used is multiple linear regression techniques and the type of data used is secondary data. The study found that all variables, which are Earning Per Share (EPS), Return on Equity (ROE), Debt to Equity Ratio (DER), Beta stock, inflation and the exchange rate do not significantly affect the return of sharia stock either simultaneously or partially.

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