scholarly journals Long-term variations in the north–south asymmetry of solar activity and solar cycle prediction, III: Prediction for the amplitude of solar cycle 25

New Astronomy ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 34 ◽  
pp. 54-64 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Javaraiah
2021 ◽  
pp. 3-9
Author(s):  
Sergey Yazev ◽  
Maria Ulianova ◽  
Elena Isaeva

The paper provides statistical data on solar activity complexes (ACs) observed in solar cycle 21. From the synoptic charts for the 1976–1986 sunspot activity, we have detected the regions where the sunspot generation was observed at least through three Carrington Rotations (CRs). These regions were identified as AC cores. We have compiled an AC catalogue. ACs are shown to evolve quasi-periodically, in pulses that are 15–20 rotations long. We have analyzed the North-South asymmetry in the AC location. In cycle 21, 90 % of the proton flares that affected the natural environment are shown to have occurred in ACs. We note a tendency for AC activity to decrease, as well as the manifestation of the Gnevyshev—Ohl rule in AC properties, in solar cycles 21–24.


1995 ◽  
Vol 16 (9) ◽  
pp. 245-248 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Marmatsouri ◽  
A. Vassilaki ◽  
H. Mavromichalaki ◽  
B. Petropoulos

Solar Physics ◽  
1986 ◽  
Vol 106 (1) ◽  
pp. 35-42 ◽  
Author(s):  
Derek B. Swinson ◽  
Hisako Koyama ◽  
Takao Saito

2000 ◽  
Vol 179 ◽  
pp. 173-176
Author(s):  
V. K. Verma

AbstractWe report here a study of various solar activity phenomena occurring in both north and south hemispheres of the Sun during solar cycles 8–23. In the study we have used sunspot data for the period 1832–1976, flare index data for the period 1936–1993, Hα flare data 1993–1998 and solar active prominences data for the period 1957–1998. Earlier Verma reported long-term cyclic period in N-S asymmetry and also that the N-S asymmetry of solar activity phenomena during solar cycles 21, 22, 23 and 24 will be south dominated and the N-S asymmetry will shift to north hemisphere in solar cycle 25. The present study shows that the N-S asymmetry during solar cycles 22 and 23 are southern dominated as suggested by Verma.


2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (S340) ◽  
pp. 259-260
Author(s):  
B. Ravindra ◽  
J. Javaraiah

AbstractSunspot activity exhibits hemispheric asymmetry. We study the long-term variations in the hemispheric sunspot area from Kodaikanal white-light data during 1921 – 2011. The results on the presence or absence of double peak in an individual solar cycle, dominant hemispheric activity, and phase lag between the activities of northern and southern hemispheres, etc., are presented.


2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 3-9
Author(s):  
Sergey Yazev ◽  
Maria Ulianova ◽  
Elena Isaeva

The paper provides statistical data on solar activity complexes (ACs) observed in solar cycle 21. From the synoptic charts for the 1976–1986 sunspot activity, we have detected the regions where the sunspot generation was observed at least through three Carrington Rotations (CRs). These regions were identified as AC cores. We have compiled an AC catalogue. ACs are shown to evolve quasi-periodically, in pulses that are 15–20 rotations long. We have analyzed the North-South asymmetry in the AC location. In cycle 21, 90 % of the proton flares that affected the natural environment are shown to have occurred in ACs. We note a tendency for AC activity to decrease, as well as the manifestation of the Gnevyshev—Ohl rule in AC properties, in solar cycles 21–24.


2014 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 665-703 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. Zou ◽  
R. V. Donner ◽  
N. Marwan ◽  
M. Small ◽  
J. Kurths

Abstract. Solar activity is characterized by complex dynamics superimposed to an almost periodic, about 11 years cycle. One of its main features is the presence of a marked, time-varying hemispheric asymmetry, the deeper reasons of which have not yet been completely uncovered. Traditionally, this asymmetry has been studied by considering amplitude and phase differences. Here, we use visibility graphs, a novel tool of nonlinear time series analysis, to obtain complementary information on hemispheric asymmetries in dynamical properties. Our analysis provides deep insights into the potentials and limitations of this method, revealing a complex interplay between factors relating to statistical and dynamical properties, i.e., effects due to the probability distribution and the regularity of observed fluctuations. We demonstrate that temporal changes in the hemispheric predominance of the graph properties lag those directly associated with the total hemispheric sunspot areas. Our findings open a new dynamical perspective on studying the North–South sunspot asymmetry, which is to be further explored in future work.


2014 ◽  
Vol 21 (6) ◽  
pp. 1113-1126 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. Zou ◽  
R. V. Donner ◽  
N. Marwan ◽  
M. Small ◽  
J. Kurths

Abstract. Solar activity is characterized by complex dynamics superimposed onto an almost periodic, approximately 11-year cycle. One of its main features is the presence of a marked, time-varying hemispheric asymmetry, the deeper reasons for which have not yet been completely uncovered. Traditionally, this asymmetry has been studied by considering amplitude and phase differences. Here, we use visibility graphs, a novel tool of nonlinear time series analysis, to obtain complementary information on hemispheric asymmetries in dynamical properties. Our analysis provides deep insights into the potential and limitations of this method, revealing a complex interplay between factors relating to statistical and dynamical properties, i.e., effects due to the probability distribution and the regularity of observed fluctuations. We demonstrate that temporal changes in the hemispheric predominance of the graph properties lag those directly associated with the total hemispheric sunspot areas. Our findings open a new dynamical perspective on studying the north–south sunspot asymmetry, which is to be further explored in future work.


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