Stochastic generation of hourly mean wind speed data

2004 ◽  
Vol 29 (14) ◽  
pp. 2111-2131 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hafzullah Aksoy ◽  
Z Fuat Toprak ◽  
Ali Aytek ◽  
N Erdem Ünal
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Stochastic Generation ◽  
Wind Speed Data ◽  
Mean Wind Speed

scholarly journals A Basic Wind Speed Map for Oman

2014 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 64
Author(s):  
A.S. Alnuaimi ◽  
M.A. Mohsin ◽  
K.H. Al-Riyami
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Return Period ◽  
Structural Design ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Wind Speed Data ◽  
Wind Speeds ◽  
Mean Wind Speed

The aim of this research was to develop the first basic wind speed map for Oman. Hourly mean wind speed records from 40 metrological stations were used in the calculation. The period of continuous records ranged from 4–37 years. The maximum monthly hourly mean and the maxima annual hourly mean wind speed data were analysed using the Gumbel and Gringorten methods. Both methods gave close results in determining basic wind speeds, with the Gumbel method giving slightly higher values. Due to a lack of long-term records in some regions of Oman, basic wind speeds were extrapolated for some stations with only short-term records, which were defined as those with only 4– 8 years of continuous records; in these cases, monthly maxima were used to predict the long-term basic wind speeds. Accordingly, a basic wind speed map was developed for a 50-year return period. This map was based on basic wind speeds calculated from actual annual maxima records of 29 stations with at least 9 continuous years of records as well as predicted annual maxima wind speeds for 11 short-term record stations. The basic wind speed values ranged from 16 meters/second (m/s) to 31 m/s. The basic wind speed map developed in this research is recommended for use as a guide for structural design in Oman. 

scholarly journals Long-Term Wind Characteristics at Selected Locations in Mauritius for Power Generation

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Z. Dhunny ◽  
M. R. Lollchund ◽  
S. D. D. V. Rughooputh
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Wind Energy ◽  
Wind Turbines ◽  
Fossil Fuels ◽  
Energy Output ◽  
Energy Potential ◽  
Wind Speed Data ◽  
Average Wind ◽  
Small Wind Turbines ◽  
Mean Wind Speed

Interests in wind energy have gained impetus in many developed and developing countries worldwide during the last three decades. This is due to awareness of the population about the depletion of fossil fuels as well as Government campaigns and initiatives to encourage the use of renewable sources of energy. This work focuses on the wind energy potential at two selected locations (Plaisance and Vacoas) in Mauritius. The emphasis is to assess whether small-wind turbines have a potential in these regions for generation of power for domestic applications. Such wind turbines can range in size from 400 W to 10 kW depending on the amount of electricity to be generated. The assessment is based on the correlation of the local wind speed data to a two-parameter Weibull probability distribution in order to effectively estimate the average wind power density of the sites. Nearly 40 years of mean wind speed data is utilized. Of the two sites investigated it is found that Plaisance yielded the highest wind velocity (as compared to Vacoas). The study also estimates the energy output of six commercial small-wind turbines of capacity ranging from 1 kW to 3 kW at these two sites, placed at multiple heights.

Assessing distributions for monthly mean wind speed data

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mira Syahirah Kamil ◽  
Ahmad Mahir Razali
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Wind Speed Data ◽  
Mean Wind Speed

scholarly journals Deterministic nature of the underlying dynamics of surface wind fluctuations

2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (10) ◽  
pp. 1503-1514 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. C. Sreelekshmi ◽  
K. Asokan ◽  
K. Satheesh Kumar
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Wind Speed ◽  
Structural Engineering ◽  
Deterministic Model ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Wind Speed Data ◽  
Mean Wind Speed ◽  
Low Dimensional ◽  
Short Term Prediction ◽  
Speed Fluctuations

Abstract. Modelling the fluctuations of the Earth's surface wind has a significant role in understanding the dynamics of atmosphere besides its impact on various fields ranging from agriculture to structural engineering. Most of the studies on the modelling and prediction of wind speed and power reported in the literature are based on statistical methods or the probabilistic distribution of the wind speed data. In this paper we investigate the suitability of a deterministic model to represent the wind speed fluctuations by employing tools of nonlinear dynamics. We have carried out a detailed nonlinear time series analysis of the daily mean wind speed data measured at Thiruvananthapuram (8.483° N,76.950° E) from 2000 to 2010. The results of the analysis strongly suggest that the underlying dynamics is deterministic, low-dimensional and chaotic suggesting the possibility of accurate short-term prediction. As most of the chaotic systems are confined to laboratories, this is another example of a naturally occurring time series showing chaotic behaviour.

Prediction of Atmospheric Turbulence Characteristics for Surface Boundary Layer using Empirical Spectral Methods

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yagya Dutta Dwivedi ◽  
Vasishta Bhargava Nukala ◽  
Satya Prasad Maddula ◽  
Kiran Nair
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Surface Roughness ◽  
Wind Speed ◽  
Atmospheric Turbulence ◽  
Surface Boundary ◽  
Low Frequencies ◽  
Surface Boundary Layer ◽  
Power Spectral ◽  
Mean Wind Speed

Abstract Atmospheric turbulence is an unsteady phenomenon found in nature and plays significance role in predicting natural events and life prediction of structures. In this work, turbulence in surface boundary layer has been studied through empirical methods. Computer simulation of Von Karman, Kaimal methods were evaluated for different surface roughness and for low (1%), medium (10%) and high (50%) turbulence intensities. Instantaneous values of one minute time series for longitudinal turbulent wind at mean wind speed of 12 m/s using both spectra showed strong correlation in validation trends. Influence of integral length scales on turbulence kinetic energy production at different heights is illustrated. Time series for mean wind speed of 12 m/s with surface roughness value of 0.05 m have shown that variance for longitudinal, lateral and vertical velocity components were different and found to be anisotropic. Wind speed power spectral density from Davenport and Simiu profiles have also been calculated at surface roughness of 0.05 m and compared with k−1 and k−3 slopes for Kolmogorov k−5/3 law in inertial sub-range and k−7 in viscous dissipation range. At high frequencies, logarithmic slope of Kolmogorov −5/3rd law agreed well with Davenport, Harris, Simiu and Solari spectra than at low frequencies.

Regionalization of wind-speed data to analyse tree-line wind conditions in the eastern Andes of southern Ecuador

Erdkunde ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 69 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-19 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julia Wagemann ◽  
Boris Thies ◽  
Rütger Rollenbeck ◽  
Thorsten Peters ◽  
Jörg Bendix
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Tree Line ◽  
Wind Speed Data ◽  
Southern Ecuador

scholarly journals The Use of Odd and Even Class Wind Speed Time Series of Distribution Histogram to Estimate Weibull Parameters

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 139-150 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adekunlé Akim Salami ◽  
Ayité Sénah Akoda Ajavon ◽  
Mawugno Koffi Kodjo ◽  
Seydou Ouedraogo ◽  
Koffi-Sa Bédja
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Wind Speed ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Empirical Method ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Series Data ◽  
New Approach ◽  
Weibull Parameters ◽  
Distribution Histogram ◽  
Mean Wind Speed

In this article, we introduced a new approach based on graphical method (GPM), maximum likelihood method (MLM), energy pattern factor method (EPFM), empirical method of Justus (EMJ), empirical method of Lysen (EML) and moment method (MOM) using the even or odd classes of wind speed series distribution histogram with 1 m/s as bin size to estimate the Weibull parameters. This new approach is compared on the basis of the resulting mean wind speed and its standard deviation using seven reliable statistical indicators (RPE, RMSE, MAPE, MABE, R2, RRMSE and IA). The results indicate that this new approach is adequate to estimate Weibull parameters and can outperform GPM, MLM, EPF, EMJ, EML and MOM which uses all wind speed time series data collected for one period. The study has also found a linear relationship between the Weibull parameters K and C estimated by MLM, EPFM, EMJ, EML and MOM using odd or even class wind speed time series and those obtained by applying these methods to all class (both even and odd bins) wind speed time series. Another interesting feature of this approach is the data size reduction which eventually leads to a reduced processing time.Article History: Received February 16th 2018; Received in revised form May 5th 2018; Accepted May 27th 2018; Available onlineHow to Cite This Article: Salami, A.A., Ajavon, A.S.A., Kodjo, M.K. , Ouedraogo, S. and Bédja, K. (2018) The Use of Odd and Even Class Wind Speed Time Series of Distribution Histogram to Estimate Weibull Parameters. Int. Journal of Renewable Energy Development 7(2), 139-150.https://doi.org/10.14710/ijred.7.2.139-150

scholarly journals Predicting Malaria Transmission Dynamics in Dangassa, Mali: A Novel Approach Using Functional Generalized Additive Models

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (17) ◽  
pp. 6339
Author(s):  
François Freddy Ateba ◽  
Manuel Febrero-Bande ◽  
Issaka Sagara ◽  
Nafomon Sogoba ◽  
Mahamoudou Touré ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Malaria Incidence ◽  
Generalized Additive Models ◽  
Community Health Center ◽  
Additive Model ◽  
Additive Models ◽  
Functional Regression ◽  
Novel Approach ◽  
Malaria Incidence Rate ◽  
Mean Wind Speed

Mali aims to reach the pre-elimination stage of malaria by the next decade. This study used functional regression models to predict the incidence of malaria as a function of past meteorological patterns to better prevent and to act proactively against impending malaria outbreaks. All data were collected over a five-year period (2012–2017) from 1400 persons who sought treatment at Dangassa’s community health center. Rainfall, temperature, humidity, and wind speed variables were collected. Functional Generalized Spectral Additive Model (FGSAM), Functional Generalized Linear Model (FGLM), and Functional Generalized Kernel Additive Model (FGKAM) were used to predict malaria incidence as a function of the pattern of meteorological indicators over a continuum of the 18 weeks preceding the week of interest. Their respective outcomes were compared in terms of predictive abilities. The results showed that (1) the highest malaria incidence rate occurred in the village 10 to 12 weeks after we observed a pattern of air humidity levels >65%, combined with two or more consecutive rain episodes and a mean wind speed <1.8 m/s; (2) among the three models, the FGLM obtained the best results in terms of prediction; and (3) FGSAM was shown to be a good compromise between FGLM and FGKAM in terms of flexibility and simplicity. The models showed that some meteorological conditions may provide a basis for detection of future outbreaks of malaria. The models developed in this paper are useful for implementing preventive strategies using past meteorological and past malaria incidence.

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