Assessment and Mitigation of Tangible Flood Damages Driven by Climate Change in a Tropical City: Hat Yai Municipality, Southern Thailand

Author(s):  
Allan Sriratana Tabucanon ◽  
Kiyo Kurisu ◽  
Keisuke Hanaki
2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (7) ◽  
pp. 1617-1622 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fred Fokko Hattermann ◽  
Shaochun Huang ◽  
Olaf Burghoff ◽  
Peter Hoffmann ◽  
Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz

Abstract. In our first study on possible flood damages under climate change in Germany, we reported that a considerable increase in flood-related losses can be expected in a future warmer climate. However, the general significance of the study was limited by the fact that outcome of only one global climate model (GCM) was used as a large-scale climate driver, while many studies report that GCMs are often the largest source of uncertainty in impact modelling. Here we show that a much broader set of global and regional climate model combinations as climate drivers show trends which are in line with the original results and even give a stronger increase of damages.


2015 ◽  
Vol 3 (12) ◽  
pp. 7231-7245
Author(s):  
F. F. Hattermann ◽  
S. Huang ◽  
O. Burghoff ◽  
P. Hoffmann ◽  
Z. W. Kundzewicz

Abstract. In our first study on possible flood damages under climate change in Germany, we reported that a considerable increase in flood related losses can be expected in future, warmer, climate. However, the general significance of the study was limited by the fact that outcome of only one Global Climate Model (GCM) was used as large scale climate driver, while many studies report that GCM models are often the largest source of uncertainty in impact modeling. Here we show that a much broader set of global and regional climate model combinations as climate driver shows trends which are in line with the original results and even give a stronger increase of damages.


2014 ◽  
Vol 14 (12) ◽  
pp. 3151-3168 ◽  
Author(s):  
F. F. Hattermann ◽  
S. Huang ◽  
O. Burghoff ◽  
W. Willems ◽  
H. Österle ◽  
...  

Abstract. The aim of the study is to analyze and discuss possible climate change impacts on flood damages in Germany. The study was initiated and supported by the German insurance sector whereby the main goal was to identify general climate-related trends in flood hazard and damages and to explore sensitivity of results to climate scenario uncertainty. The study makes use of climate scenarios regionalized for the main river basins in Germany. A hydrological model (SWIM) that had been calibrated and validated for the main river gauges, was applied to transform these scenarios into discharge for more than 5000 river reaches. Extreme value distribution has been fitted to the time series of river discharge to derive the flood frequency statistics. The hydrological results for each river reach have been linked using the flood statistics to related damage functions provided by the German Insurance Association, considering damages on buildings and small enterprises. The result is that, under the specific scenario conditions, a considerable increase in flood related losses can be expected in Germany in future, warmer, climate.


2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 05018001 ◽  
Author(s):  
Akinola Adesuji Komolafe ◽  
Srikantha Herath ◽  
Ram Avtar

2007 ◽  
Vol 56 (12) ◽  
pp. 1630-1638 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nutthakul Wootipoom ◽  
Phuangthip Bhoopong ◽  
Rattanaruji Pomwised ◽  
Mitsuaki Nishibuchi ◽  
Masanori Ishibashi ◽  
...  

Infection by the pandemic clone of Vibrio parahaemolyticus is prevalent in southern Thailand. This study actively surveyed the incidence of V. parahaemolyticus infection in this area. A total of 865 isolates of V. parahaemolyticus was obtained from patients at Hat Yai Hospital, the main public hospital in Songkhla Province, Thailand, from 2000 to 2005. The isolates were examined by group-specific PCR (GS-PCR) specific for the pandemic clone, and for the presence of two major virulence genes, tdh and trh, and the O : K serotype. Representative isolates were also examined by antibiogram pattern and DNA fingerprinting using an arbitrarily primed PCR method to determine the clonal relationships between isolates. The total number of isolates was less in 2000 and more in 2004 and 2005 than in the years 2001–2003. The increase in the numbers of infections in 2004 and 2005 was not due to the emergence of a particular clone having unique characteristics, but was probably due to climate change. From 2000 to 2003, the percentages of pandemic strains of V. parahaemolyticus, defined as GS-PCR-positive tdh + trh −, was stable at 64.1, 67.5, 69.7 and 67.7 % of the total isolates each year, respectively. However, in 2004 and 2005, the percentages decreased to 56.1 and 55.5 %, respectively. The O : K serotypes of the pandemic isolates remained unchanged. The proportional decrease in infections caused by the pandemic strains are probably due to the population in this area gradually developing immunity to the pandemic clone whilst continuing to be susceptible to other strains.


2017 ◽  
Vol 2 (6) ◽  
pp. 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad Abdul Mohit ◽  
Gajikoh Mohamed Sellu

Floods bring miseries to the life of thousands of Malaysians every year. Pekan town, located on the banks of the Pahang River, regularly suffers both economic damages and physical destructions caused by the floods. It is anticipated that the climate change effects through a rise in the sea-level, will aggravate the flooding situation of the town. This paper studies the flood situation of Pekan town, assesses the intensity of flood damages, anticipates the severity of flooding due to sea-level rise and finally, comes up with the community-based sustainable flood mitigation policies and measures for the townKeywords: Climate change; Flood disaster management; Flood damages; nonstructural measures.2398-4295 © 2017 The Authors. Published for AMER ABRA by e-International Publishing House, Ltd., UK. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/). Peer–review under responsibility of AMER (Association of Malaysian Environment-Behaviour Researchers), ABRA (Association of Behavioural Researchers on Asians) and cE-Bs (Centre for Environment-Behaviour Studies), Faculty of Architecture, Planning & Surveying, UniversitiTeknologi MARA, Malaysia.


2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (6) ◽  
pp. 723-729
Author(s):  
Roslyn Gleadow ◽  
Jim Hanan ◽  
Alan Dorin

Food security and the sustainability of native ecosystems depends on plant-insect interactions in countless ways. Recently reported rapid and immense declines in insect numbers due to climate change, the use of pesticides and herbicides, the introduction of agricultural monocultures, and the destruction of insect native habitat, are all potential contributors to this grave situation. Some researchers are working towards a future where natural insect pollinators might be replaced with free-flying robotic bees, an ecologically problematic proposal. We argue instead that creating environments that are friendly to bees and exploring the use of other species for pollination and bio-control, particularly in non-European countries, are more ecologically sound approaches. The computer simulation of insect-plant interactions is a far more measured application of technology that may assist in managing, or averting, ‘Insect Armageddon' from both practical and ethical viewpoints.


2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 221-231 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rebecca Millington ◽  
Peter M. Cox ◽  
Jonathan R. Moore ◽  
Gabriel Yvon-Durocher

Abstract We are in a period of relatively rapid climate change. This poses challenges for individual species and threatens the ecosystem services that humanity relies upon. Temperature is a key stressor. In a warming climate, individual organisms may be able to shift their thermal optima through phenotypic plasticity. However, such plasticity is unlikely to be sufficient over the coming centuries. Resilience to warming will also depend on how fast the distribution of traits that define a species can adapt through other methods, in particular through redistribution of the abundance of variants within the population and through genetic evolution. In this paper, we use a simple theoretical ‘trait diffusion’ model to explore how the resilience of a given species to climate change depends on the initial trait diversity (biodiversity), the trait diffusion rate (mutation rate), and the lifetime of the organism. We estimate theoretical dangerous rates of continuous global warming that would exceed the ability of a species to adapt through trait diffusion, and therefore lead to a collapse in the overall productivity of the species. As the rate of adaptation through intraspecies competition and genetic evolution decreases with species lifetime, we find critical rates of change that also depend fundamentally on lifetime. Dangerous rates of warming vary from 1°C per lifetime (at low trait diffusion rate) to 8°C per lifetime (at high trait diffusion rate). We conclude that rapid climate change is liable to favour short-lived organisms (e.g. microbes) rather than longer-lived organisms (e.g. trees).


2001 ◽  
Vol 70 (1) ◽  
pp. 47-61 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert Moss ◽  
James Oswald ◽  
David Baines

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