scholarly journals Disentangling the enigma of multi-structured economic cycles - A new appearance of the golden ratio

2021 ◽  
Vol 169 ◽  
pp. 120793
Author(s):  
E.A. de Groot ◽  
R. Segers ◽  
D. Prins
Keyword(s):  
2005 ◽  
pp. 133-143 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Balashova

The method of analyzing and modeling cyclical fluctuations of economy initiated by F. Kydland and E. Prescott - the 2004 Nobel Prize winners in Economics - is considered in the article. They proposed a new business cycle theory integrating the theory of long-run economic growth as well as the microeconomic theory of consumers and firms behavior. Simple version of general dynamic and stochastic macroeconomic model is described. The given approach which was formulated in their fundamental work "Time to Build and Aggregate Fluctuations" (1982) gave rise to an extensive research program and is still used as a basic instrument for investigating cyclical processes in economy nowadays.


2014 ◽  
pp. 22-39 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Makasheva

The article considers the ways to overcome the methodological gap between the analysis of economic cycles and the pure economic theory as suggested by the Western economists in the 1920s and 1930s. In this context, N. D. Kondratiev’s project of economic dynamics is analyzed, which implied a radically different vision of the opportunities to solve this problem.


2014 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 175-178
Author(s):  
Ilie Banu ◽  
Ioana Madalina Butiuc

AbstractRegarding the economic crises and the slow recovery that still continues, we believe that a solution can be improving the capacity to research and innovate in order to achieve sustainable development. Another key issue of the paper is about developing the cooperation between academia and business. The challenge of this development is how to increase the amount to finance research and innovation that can be implemented in the economy. As a global solution, to this problem we can recommend, for example, reducing tax evasion and by fiscal education. Also particular sources have to be found in order to develop innovation on SME level. It is essential for innovation to make quality research in order to be better prepared and increase adaptability to economic cycles. The aim of the paper is to find out how service innovation and cooperation between academia and business can enhance sustainable development indicators. The conclusions of the paper are structured in particular proposals and recommendations.


Author(s):  
A. V. Voronin ◽  
G. N. Maltsev ◽  
M. Yu. Sokhen

Introduction:Data visualization quality is important for the work of a geographic information system operator, determining the conditions under which he or she makes decisions concerning the displayed data. Visual perception patterns associated with the golden ratio properties allow us to formulate a criterion for data visualization quality which would characterize the possibilities of the operator’s complex perception of the video data displayed on a control device screen in the form of an electronic card.Purpose:Substantiation of a data visualization quality criterion for geoinformation systems using the golden ratio properties, and the study of the conditions for providing good visualization quality for geodata and metadata on a video control device screen in accordance with the proposed criterion.Methods:A formal definition of the data visualization quality criterion in geoinformation systems using the coefficient of the screen area information coverage as an index whose optimal value corresponds to the mathematical definition of the golden ratio; and the study of the properties of this criterion. Results: Based on the conducted analysis of visual perception of video data and golden ratio properties during the data visualization, a criterion is proposed for data visualization quality, which uses the golden ratio properties and characterizes the possibilities of complex perception of video data in an electronic map form by a geographic information system operator. Iteration algorithms for choosing the video data display scale are developed, based on the visualization quality criterion and related to the golden ratio properties. These are the basic algorithm used for each geodata layer represented on the electronicmap, and an algorithm of successive analysis of various layers of the displayed geodata. The choice of a video data display scale in accordance with the developed algorithms can be preliminarily carried out by the system operator using the parameters of standard electronic maps and geodata/metadata sets typical for the current applied problem. We have studied how the scale of the geodata and metadata displayed on an electronic map affects their visualization quality on screens of various sizes. For the considered standard volumes of displayed geodata and metadata, the best visualization quality was achieved when they were displayed on a standard computer monitor, as opposed to a portable notebook or visualization screen.Practical relevance:The proposed criterion and the recommendations for choosing a screen size for the video monitoring device or the structures of the displayed geo-objects and metadata can be used in the design of geoinformation systems, or for preliminary choice of the displayed data structure by a geoinformation system operator.


2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Joseph L. Breeden
Keyword(s):  

1915 ◽  
Vol 23 (5) ◽  
pp. 514-517 ◽  
Author(s):  
James D. Magee
Keyword(s):  

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (14) ◽  
pp. 4255
Author(s):  
Elżbieta Szaruga ◽  
Zuzanna Kłos-Adamkiewicz ◽  
Agnieszka Gozdek ◽  
Elżbieta Załoga

This paper presents the synchronisation of economic cycles of GDP and crude oil and oil products cargo volumes in major Polish seaports. On the one hand, this issue fits into the concept of sustainable development including decoupling; on the other hand, the synchronisation may be an early warning tool. Crude oil and oil products cargo volumes are a specific barometer that predicts the next economic cycle, especially as they are primary sources of energy production. The research study applies a number of TRAMO/SEATS methods, the Hodrick–Prescott filter, spectral analysis, correlation and cross-correlation function. Noteworthy is the modern approach of using synchronisation of economic cycles as a tool, which was described in the paper. According to the study results, the cyclical components of the cargo traffic and GDP were affected by the leakage of other short-term cycles. However, based on the cross-correlation, it was proved that changes in crude oil and oil products cargo volumes preceded changes in GDP by 1–3 quarters, which may be valuable information for decision-makers and economic development planners.


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