Short-term and medium-term health effects of 9/11

In 2019, a textbook “Macroeconomics” was published in London, on the pages of which the authors presented a new monetary doctrine — Modern Monetary Theory, MMT, — an unorthodox concept based on the postulates of Post-Keynesianism, New Institutionalism, and the theory of Marxism. The attitude to this scientific concept in the scientific community is ambiguous. A smaller part of scientists actively support this doctrine, which is directly related to state monetary and fiscal stimulation of full employment, public debt servicing and economic growth. Others, the majority of economists, on the contrary, strongly criticize MMT, arguing that the new theory hides simple left-wing populism, designed for a temporary and short-term effect. This article considers the origins and the main provisions of MMT, its discussions with the mainstream, criticism of the basic tenets of MMT, and also assesses possible prospects for the development of MMT in the medium term.

Download Full-text

Long-Term Data Traffic Forecasting for Network Dimensioning in LTE with Short Time Series

Electronics ◽

10.3390/electronics10101151 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 10 (10) ◽

pp. 1151

Author(s):

Carolina Gijón ◽

Matías Toril ◽

Salvador Luna-Ramírez ◽

María Luisa Marí-Altozano ◽

José María Ruiz-Avilés

Keyword(s):

Time Series ◽

Deep Learning ◽

Time Series Analysis ◽

Data Traffic ◽

Medium Term ◽

Short Term ◽

Traffic Forecasting ◽

Series Analysis ◽

Radio Planning

Network dimensioning is a critical task in current mobile networks, as any failure in this process leads to degraded user experience or unnecessary upgrades of network resources. For this purpose, radio planning tools often predict monthly busy-hour data traffic to detect capacity bottlenecks in advance. Supervised Learning (SL) arises as a promising solution to improve predictions obtained with legacy approaches. Previous works have shown that deep learning outperforms classical time series analysis when predicting data traffic in cellular networks in the short term (seconds/minutes) and medium term (hours/days) from long historical data series. However, long-term forecasting (several months horizon) performed in radio planning tools relies on short and noisy time series, thus requiring a separate analysis. In this work, we present the first study comparing SL and time series analysis approaches to predict monthly busy-hour data traffic on a cell basis in a live LTE network. To this end, an extensive dataset is collected, comprising data traffic per cell for a whole country during 30 months. The considered methods include Random Forest, different Neural Networks, Support Vector Regression, Seasonal Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average and Additive Holt–Winters. Results show that SL models outperform time series approaches, while reducing data storage capacity requirements. More importantly, unlike in short-term and medium-term traffic forecasting, non-deep SL approaches are competitive with deep learning while being more computationally efficient.

Download Full-text

Multidimensional assessment of women after severe maternal morbidity: the COMMAG cohort study

BMJ Open ◽

10.1136/bmjopen-2020-041138 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 10 (12) ◽

pp. e041138

Author(s):

Elton C Ferreira ◽

Maria Laura Costa ◽

Rodolfo C Pacagnella ◽

Carla Silveira ◽

Carla B Andreucci ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Cohort Study ◽

Sexual Function ◽

Screening Test ◽

Maternal Morbidity ◽

Severe Maternal Morbidity ◽

Medium Term ◽

Short Term ◽

Multidimensional Assessment ◽

Index Pregnancy ◽

Sf 36

ObjectivesTo perform a multidimensional assessment of women who experienced severe maternal morbidity (SMM) and its short-term and medium-term impact on the lives and health of women and their children.DesignA retrospective cohort study.SettingA tertiary maternity hospital from the southeast region of Brazil.ParticipantsThe exposed population was selected from intensive care unit admissions if presenting any diagnostic criteria for SMM. Controls were randomly selected among women without SMM admitted to the same maternity and same time of childbirth.Primary and secondary outcome variablesValidated tools were applied, addressing post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) and quality of life (SF-36) by phone, and then general and reproductive health, functioning (WHO Disability Assessment Schedule), sexual function (Female Sexual Function Index (FSFI)), substance abuse (Alcohol, Smoking and Substance Involvement Screening Test 2.0) and growth/development (Denver Developmental Screening Test) of children born in the index pregnancy in a face-to-face interview.ResultsAll instruments were applied to 638 women (315 had SMM; 323 were controls, with the assessment of 264 and 307 children, respectively). SF-36 score was significantly lower in the SMM group, while PTSD score was similar between groups. Women who had SMM became more frequently sterile, had more abnormal clinical conditions after the index pregnancy and a higher score for altered functioning, while proportions of FSFI score or any drug use were similar between groups. Furthermore, children from the SMM group were more likely to have weight (threefold) and height (1.5 fold) for age deficits and also impaired development (1.5-fold).ConclusionSMM impairs some aspects of the lives of women and their children. The focus should be directed towards monitoring these women and their children after birth, ensuring accessibility to health services and reducing short-term and medium-term repercussions on physical, reproductive and psychosocial health.

Download Full-text

Sampling estuarine copepods at different scales and resolutions: a study in Rio de la Plata

Journal of the Marine Biological Association of the United Kingdom ◽

10.1017/s002531541800108x ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 99 (5) ◽

pp. 1059-1064 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Sourav Paul ◽

Danilo Calliari

Keyword(s):

Sampling Effort ◽

Rio De La Plata ◽

Population Densities ◽

Medium Term ◽

Short Term ◽

Río De La Plata ◽

La Plata ◽

Resource Limitations ◽

Paracalanus Parvus

AbstractIn the Rio de la Plata salinity, temperature, chlorophyll a (chl a), and densities (ind. m−3) of the copepods Acartia tonsa and Paracalanus parvus were measured from January to November in 2003 by following a nested weekly and monthly design. Such sampling yielded two separate datasets: (i) Yearly Dataset (YD) which consists of data of one sampling effort per month for 11 consecutive months, and (ii) Seasonal Weekly Datasets (SWD) which consists of data of one sampling effort per week of any four consecutive weeks within each season. YD was assumed as a medium-term low-resolution (MTLR) dataset, and SWD as a short-term high-resolution (STHR) dataset. The hypothesis was, the SWD would always capture (shorter scales generally captures more noise in data) more detail variability of copepod populations (quantified through the regression relationships between temporal changes of salinity, temperature, chl a and copepod densities) than the YD. Analysis of both YD and SWD found that A. tonsa density was neither affected by seasonal cycles, nor temporal variability of salinity, temperature and chl a. Thus, compared to STHR sampling, MTLR sampling did not yield any further information of the variability of population densities of the perennial copepod A. tonsa. Analysis of SWD found that during summer and autumn the population densities of P. parvus had a significant positive relationship to salinity but their density was limited by higher chl a concentration; analysis of YD could not yield such detailed ecological information. That hints the effectiveness of STHR sampling over MTLR sampling in capturing details of the variability of population densities of a seasonal copepod species. Considering the institutional resource limitations (e.g. lack of long-term funding, manpower and infrastructure) and the present hypothesis under consideration, the authors suggest that a STHR sampling may provide useful complementary information to interpret results of longer-term natural changes occurring in estuaries.

Download Full-text

Illness beliefs and treatment beliefs as predictors of short-term and medium-term outcome in chronic back pain

Journal of Rehabilitation Medicine ◽

10.2340/16501977-1104 ◽

2013 ◽

Vol 45 (3) ◽

pp. 268-276 ◽

Cited By ~ 20

Author(s):

M Glattacker ◽

K Heyduck ◽

C Meffert

Keyword(s):

Back Pain ◽

Chronic Back Pain ◽

Illness Beliefs ◽

Medium Term ◽

Short Term ◽

Term Outcome ◽

Treatment Beliefs

Download Full-text

Towards the best future for humankind: ZIPAR whitepaper.

10.31235/osf.io/y7mvj ◽

2018 ◽

Author(s):

Marko Kovic ◽

Christian Caspar ◽

Adrian Rauchfleisch

Keyword(s):

Medium Term ◽

Short Term ◽

Profound Impact ◽

Future Challenges ◽

The Way

Humankind is facing major challenges in the short-term, medium-term, and long-term future. Those challenges will have a profound impact on humankind’s future progress and wellbeing. In this whitepaper, we outline our understanding of humankind’s future challenges, and we describe the way in which we work towards identifying as well as managing them. In doing so, we pursue the overall goal of ZIPAR: We want to make the best future for humankind (ever so slightly) more probable.

Download Full-text

The effectiveness of M-Health associated with cardiac rehabilitation on functional capacity and cardiovascular risk factors: a systematic review and meta-analysis

European Heart Journal ◽

10.1093/eurheartj/ehab724.3118 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽

Author(s):

A C Campagnolo Goncalves Toledo ◽

N Soares De Almeida ◽

A Pierucci ◽

A Straioto Salomao ◽

I Ribeiro Lemes ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Functional Capacity ◽

Meta Analysis ◽

Medium Term ◽

Short Term ◽

High Quality ◽

Quality Of Evidence ◽

High Quality Evidence ◽

Quality Evidence

Abstract Introduction Smartphone applications for health (M-Health) seem to overcome barriers to access Cardiovascular Rehabilitation Programs (CRP), because of their high degree of acceptance and also their potential to influence the frequency of physical exercise in weight loss. Objective To analyze the effectiveness of the combination of M-Health and CRP compared to CRP alone on functional capacity, adherence to CRP, management of cardiovascular risk factors in cardiac patients. Design Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. Methods The following databases were used Medline via Ovid, EMBASE, Central, PEDro and SPORTDiscus via EBSCOhost from their inception until July/2020. We included randomized controlled trials investigating the effects of M-Health in combination with CRP compared to CRP alone in adults with heart disease, and the interventions with M-Health consisted of text messages, e-mails, and applications. The primary outcome of this review was functional capacity, measured by VO2peak, or self-reported physical activity (METs.min/week). PEDro scale was used to assess the methodological quality of the studies and the GRADE approach to assess the overall quality of evidence. Pooled estimates were calculated using a random effect model to obtain mean difference (MD) or standardized mean differences (SMD) and their respectives 95% confidence intervals (CI). Results Nineteen RCTs were eligible, the median risk of bias was 7 out of 10 points. The primary endpoint was analyzed by subgroups, time of intervention and kind of type CRP, eigthteen of these studies assessed functional capacity. CRP in combination with a m-health intervention was more effective than CRP alone in improving VO2peak, ml/min/kg, (MD: 0.84, CI: 0.30 to 1.38; I2=0%, high quality evidence, 12 trials, n=1889) at short-term follow-up, but at medium-term follow-up (MD: 0.84, CI: −0.26 to 1.41; I2=0%, high quality evidence, 8 trials, n=927,). Similarly, CRP associated with m-health was superior to CRP alone in increasing self-reported at short-term, METs.min/week, (MD:1.31, CI: −0.24 to 2.37; I2 = not aplicable, very low quality evidence, 1 trial, n=18), and at medium-term follow-up (MD: 0.18, CI: −0.01 to 0.36; I2=56%, moderate quality evidence, 4 trials, n=1107). Conclusion High quality of evidence shows that M-Health improves cardiorespiratory fitness at short-term follow-up. In addition, supervised program showed to be more effective than non-supervised. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None.

Download Full-text

Three-month and six-month outcomes of patients with COVID-19 associated hyperinflammation treated with short-term immunosuppressive therapy: follow-up of the CHIC study

RMD Open ◽

10.1136/rmdopen-2021-001906 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 7 (3) ◽

pp. e001906

Author(s):

Marlou THF Janssen ◽

Sofia Ramiro ◽

Rémy LM Mostard ◽

Cesar Magro-Checa ◽

Robert BM Landewé

Keyword(s):

Immunosuppressive Therapy ◽

Outcome Measures ◽

Normal Population ◽

Immunosuppressive Treatment ◽

Control Group ◽

Medium Term ◽

Short Term ◽

Function Tests ◽

Patient Reported

ObjectivesTo prospectively investigate differences in medium-term patient-reported outcome measures and objective functional outcome measures, between patients receiving and those not receiving intensive short-term immunosuppressive therapy for coronavirus disease 19 (COVID-19)-associated hyperinflammation.MethodsPatients previously included in the COVID-19 High-intensity Immunosuppression in Cytokine storm syndrome (CHIC) study who received immunosuppressive treatment versus standard of care for COVID-19-associated hyperinflammation were invited for follow-up at 3 and 6 months after hospitalisation. At both visits, patients were assessed by a pulmonologist, completed quality of life (QoL) questionnaires and performed pulmonary and exercise function tests. At 3 months, patients additionally completed questionnaires on dyspnoea, anxiety, depression and trauma. Outcomes were compared between patients receiving and those not receiving intensive short-term immunosuppressive therapy for COVID-19-associated hyperinflammation.Results131 (66.5%) patients survived hospitalisation due to COVID-19-associated hyperinflammation and 118 (90.1%) were included. QoL questionnaires, pulmonary- and exercise function tests showed improvement between 3 and 6 months after discharge, which was similar in both groups. Assessed patients reached levels that were close to levels predicted from the normal population. In contrast, diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide was disturbed in both groups: 69.6% predicted (SD 16.2) and 73.5% predicted (SD 16.5) in control group and treated group, respectively.ConclusionsNo differences in medium-term outcomes are demonstrated in survivors of COVID-19-associated hyperinflammation treated or not treated with methylprednisolone with or without tocilizumab during the acute phase. Short-term benefits of this therapy, as showed in the baseline CHIC study analysis, are thus not hampered by medium-term adverse events.

Download Full-text

Intralymphatic immunotherapy for allergic rhinoconjunctivitis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Rhinology Journal ◽

10.4193/rhin20.572 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 0 (0) ◽

pp. 0-0

Author(s):

M.P. Hoang ◽

K. Seresirikachorn ◽

W. Chitsuthipakorn ◽

K. Snidvongs

Keyword(s):

Systematic Review ◽

Meta Analysis ◽

Specific Ige ◽

Allergic Rhinoconjunctivitis ◽

Medium Term ◽

Short Term ◽

Intralymphatic Immunotherapy ◽

Specific Igg4 ◽

Igg4 Level

BACKGROUND: Intralymphatic immunotherapy (ILIT) is a new route of allergen-specific immunotherapy. Data confirming its effect is restricted to a small number of studies. METHODOLOGY: A systematic review with meta-analysis was conducted. The short-term (less than 24 weeks), medium-term (24-52 weeks), and long-term (more than 52 weeks) effects of ILIT in patients with allergic rhinoconjunctivitis (ARC) were assessed. The outcomes were combined symptom and medication scores (CSMS), symptoms visual analog scale (VAS), disease-specific quality of life (QOL), specific IgG4 level, specific IgE level, and adverse events. RESULTS: Eleven randomized controlled trials and 2 cohorts (483 participants) were included. Compared with placebo, short term benefits of ILIT for seasonal ARC improved CSMS, improved VAS and increased specific IgG4 level but did not change QOL or specific IgE level. Medium-term effect improved VAS. Data on the long-term benefit of ILIT remain unavailable and require longer term follow-up studies. There were no clinical benefits of ILIT for perennial ARC. ILIT was safe and well-tolerated. CONCLUSION: ILIT showed short-term benefits for seasonal ARC. The sustained effects of ILIT were inconclusive. It was well tolerated.

Download Full-text

A Study of Multi-Scale Relationship Between Investor Sentiment and Stock Index Fluctuation Based on the Analysis of BEMD Spillover Index

Journal of Systems Science and Information ◽

10.21078/jssi-2021-399-22 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 9 (4) ◽

pp. 399-420

Author(s):

Weiguo Chen ◽

Shufen Zhou ◽

Yin Zhang ◽

Yi Sun

Keyword(s):

Stock Price ◽

Composite Index ◽

Investor Sentiment ◽

Stock Index ◽

Financial Industry ◽

Medium Term ◽

Short Term ◽

Frequency Components ◽

Original Scale

Abstract According to behavioral finance theory, investor sentiment generally exists in investors’ trading activities and influences financial market. In order to investigate the interaction between investor sentiment and stock market as well as financial industry, this study decomposed investor sentiment, stock price index and SWS index of financial industry into IMF components at different scales by using BEMD algorithm. Moreover, the fluctuation characteristics of time series at different time scales were extracted, and the IMF components were reconstructed into short-term high-frequency components, medium-term important event low-frequency components and long-term trend components. The short-term interaction between investor sentiment and Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index and financial industries represented by SWS index was investigated based on the spillover index. The time difference correlation coefficient was employed to determine the medium-term and long-term correlation among variables. Results demonstrate that investor sentiment has a strong correlation with Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index and different financial industries represented by SWS index at the original scale, and the change of investor sentiment is mainly influenced by external market information. The interaction between most markets at the short-term scale is weaker than that at the original scale. Investor sentiment is more significantly correlated with SWS Bond, SWS Diversified Finance and Shanghai Composite Index at the long-term scale than that at the medium-term scale.

Download Full-text