scholarly journals Stock and Bond Market Liquidity: A Long-Run Empirical Analysis

2009 ◽  
Vol 44 (1) ◽  
pp. 189-212 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruslan Y. Goyenko ◽  
Andrey D. Ukhov
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Market Liquidity ◽  
Bond Markets ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Flight To Quality ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Treasury Bond ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Policy Impacts

AbstractThis paper establishes liquidity linkage between stock and Treasury bond markets. There is a lead-lag relationship between illiquidity of the two markets and bidirectional Granger causality. The effect of stock illiquidity on bond illiquidity is consistent with flight-to-quality or flight-to-liquidity episodes. Monetary policy impacts illiquidity. The evidence indicates that bond illiquidity acts as a channel through which monetary policy shocks are transferred into the stock market. These effects are observed across illiquidity of bonds of different maturities and are especially pronounced for illiquidity of short-term maturities. The paper provides evidence of illiquidity integration between stock and bond markets.

scholarly journals Pengaruh Guncangan Kebijakan Moneter dan Variabel Makro Terhadap Dana Pihak Ketiga (DPK) Bank Syariah di Indonesia

2017 ◽  
Vol 4 (8) ◽  
pp. 642
Author(s):  
Mohammad Abdul Adim ◽  
Raditya Sukmana
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Islamic Banks ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Financial Reports ◽  
Vector Autoregressive ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Effect Of Monetary Policy

The purpose of this research is to find out the effect of monetary policy shocks and macro variables towards Islamic banks deposits. The method that used in this researc his quantitative method and also using secondary data which obtained from financial reports and other reports started from 2005 until the end of 2015. Analysis technique used is Johansen Cointegration and Vector Autoregressive (VAR). The result are monetary policy shocks have affect significant on deposits Islamic banks in long run and short run. Furthermore, variables macroeckonomic like GDP and CPI have effect significant on deposits in Islamic banks. interestingly, the money supply in the long run have significant effect on Islaimc banks deposits, but in the short run does not have a significant effect on the deposits of Islamic banks.

Monetary Policy Spillovers across the Pacific when Interest Rates Are at the Zero Lower Bound

2016 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 1-27 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edda Claus ◽  
Iris Claus ◽  
Leo Krippner
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Lower Bound ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
The United States ◽  
Asset Markets ◽  
Zero Lower Bound ◽  
Unconventional Monetary Policy ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Policy Shocks

To conduct monetary policy effectively, central banks need to understand the transmission of monetary policy into financial markets. In this paper we investigate the effects of Japanese and U.S. monetary policy shocks on their own asset markets, and the spillovers into each other's markets. Because short-term nominal interest rates have been effectively zero in Japan since January 1998 and in the United States from late 2008, however, monetary policy shocks cannot be quantified by considering observable changes in short-term market interest rates. Therefore, in our analysis we use a shadow short rate―a quantitative measure of overall conventional and unconventional monetary policy that is estimated from the term structure of interest rates. Our results suggest that the operation of monetary policy at the zero lower bound of interest rates alters the transmission of shocks. In particular, we find a limited response of exchange rates during the first episode of unconventional monetary policy in Japan but a significant impact since 2006.

scholarly journals The Relation between Monetary Policy and the Stock Market in Europe

Econometrics ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 36 ◽  
Author(s):  
Helmut Lütkepohl ◽  
Aleksei Netšunajev
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Causal Relation ◽  
Order Moment ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Structural Shocks ◽  
Vector Autoregressive ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Policy Shocks

We use a cointegrated structural vector autoregressive model to investigate the relation between monetary policy in the euro area and the stock market. Since there may be an instantaneous causal relation, we consider long-run identifying restrictions for the structural shocks and also used (conditional) heteroscedasticity in the residuals for identification purposes. Heteroscedasticity is modelled by a Markov-switching mechanism. We find a plausible identification scheme for stock market and monetary policy shocks which is consistent with the second-order moment structure of the variables. The model indicates that contractionary monetary policy shocks lead to a long-lasting downturn of real stock prices.

scholarly journals A Bound Test Analysis of Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Output and Prices in Nigeria 2000-2010

2013 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 136-147
Author(s):  
Apanisile Olumuyiwa Tolulope
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Policy Instrument ◽  
Output Growth ◽  
Empirical Literature ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Test Analysis ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Bound Test

The study examined the effects of monetary policy shocks on output and prices in Nigeria. This is done through an empirical analysis of the effects of anticipated and unanticipated monetary policies on output and prices. Quarterly data from 2000:1 to 2010:4 were used. The long-run ARDL estimates indicate positive and significant effects of anticipated monetary policy on output and prices while unanticipated monetary policy was insignificant. Thus, the findings provide a significant departure from the existing diversity of evidences of empirical literature on the monetary policy actions and macroeconomic variables nexus. The study therefore suggested the use of a one fit for all policy instrument in stimulating output growth and prices in the economy rather than using one specific measure which could lead to the failure of monetary policy in Nigeria.

Time-varying response of treasury yields to monetary policy shocks

2019 ◽  
Vol 27 (4) ◽  
pp. 422-442
Author(s):  
Lassaâd Mbarek ◽  
Hardik A. Marfatia ◽  
Sonja Juko
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Yield Curve ◽  
Time Varying ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Treasury Bond ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Monetary Policy Effectiveness ◽  
The Impact

Purpose This paper aims to examine the Treasury bond yields response to monetary policy shocks in Tunisia under a heterogeneous economic environment. Design/methodology/approach Using a traditional fixed coefficient model, the impact of monetary policy changes on the term structure of interest rates for the whole period from January 2006 to December 2016 is estimated first. Then the stability of this relationship by distinguishing two sub-periods around the revolution of January 2011 is studies. To investigate how the relationship between the monetary policy and the Treasury yield curve evolves over time, a time-varying parameter model is estimated. Findings The results show that the impact of monetary policy is more pronounced at the short end of the yield curve relative to the longer end. Furthermore, this impact declines significantly across all maturities following the revolution and exhibits wide time variation. This evidence supports the negative influence of high levels of uncertainty on monetary policy effectiveness and highlights the desirability of more active monetary policy, especially in turbulent environment. Research limitations/implications The impact of uncertainty on the effectiveness of monetary policy shocks needs to be explored further in future research to understand the structural sources of uncertainty and their dynamic interactions with monetary policy and risk aversion in asset markets. Practical implications A more active role of the central bank to influence the yield curve mainly through Treasury bond purchases covering medium and long maturities may be warranted. Communication also needs to be reinforced to ensure predictability of the monetary policy stance. Originality/value This paper extends the empirical literature on the pass-through of monetary policy to interest rates for an emerging country in context of transition by estimating a state-space model to test the time-varying behavior and examine the influence of increased economic uncertainty on monetary policy effectiveness.

Macroeconomic Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks

2017 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-38 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kishan Abeygunawardana ◽  
Chandranath Amarasekara ◽  
C. D. Tilakaratne
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Informal Economy ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Market Liquidity ◽  
Securities Market ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the impact of monetary policy shocks on output, prices and interest rates in Sri Lanka during the period 2003–2012. It finds a strong transmission of policy rate shocks onto the money market rates and the government securities market yields. However, banking sector interest rates exhibit a smaller and slower impact compared to money and government securities market rates. The study also finds a weak policy interest rate transmission onto the real sector and prices. The direction of relationships between variables and policy shocks is in conformity with the existing theoretical and empirical priors. The existence of a large informal economy, volatile excess market liquidity, shallowness of financial markets, relatively less flexible interest rates on deposit and loan products, and fiscal accommodation by monetary policy at times are identified as reasons for weak transmission.

scholarly journals The Effect of Monetary Policy on Commodity Prices: Disentangling the Evidence for Individual Prices

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carolina Arteaga Cabrales ◽  
Joan Camilo Granados Castro ◽  
Jair Ojeda Joya
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Commodity Prices ◽  
Structural Var ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Us ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
The Individual ◽  
Effect Of Monetary Policy ◽  
Positive Effect

We study the effect of monetary policy shocks on commodity prices. While most of the literature has found that expansionary shocks have a positive effect on aggregate price indices, we study the effect on individual prices of a sample of four commodities. This set of commodity prices is essential to understand the dynamics of the balance of payments in Colombia. The analysis is based on structural VAR models; we identify monetary policy shocks following Kim (1999, 2003) upon quarterly data for commodity prices and their fundamentals for the period from 1980q1 to 2010q3. Our results show that commodity prices overshoot their long run equilibrium in response to a contractionary shock in the US monetary policy and, in contrast with literature, the response of the individual prices considered is stronger than what has been found in aggregate indices. Additionally, it is found that the monetary policy explains a substantial share of the fluctuations in prices.

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