HETEROSKEDASTICITY-AUTOCORRELATION ROBUST TESTING USING BANDWIDTH EQUAL TO SAMPLE SIZE

2002 ◽  
Vol 18 (6) ◽  
pp. 1350-1366 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicholas M. Kiefer ◽  
Timothy J. Vogelsang
Keyword(s):  
Sample Size ◽  
Covariance Matrix ◽  
Asymptotic Covariance Matrix ◽  
Finite Sample ◽  
New Approach ◽  
Robust Testing ◽  
Regression Parameters ◽  
Alternative Approach ◽  
Local Asymptotic Power ◽  
Finite Sample Simulations

Asymptotic theory for heteroskedasticity autocorrelation consistent (HAC) covariance matrix estimators requires the truncation lag, or bandwidth, to increase more slowly than the sample size. This paper considers an alternative approach covering the case with the asymptotic covariance matrix estimated by kernel methods with truncation lag equal to sample size. Although such estimators are inconsistent, valid tests (asymptotically pivotal) for regression parameters can be constructed. The limiting distributions explicitly capture the truncation lag and choice of kernel. A local asymptotic power analysis shows that the Bartlett kernel delivers the highest power within a group of popular kernels. Finite sample simulations suggest that, regardless of the kernel chosen, the null asymptotic approximation of the new tests is often more accurate than that for conventional HAC estimators and asymptotics. Finite sample results on power show that the new approach is competitive.

scholarly journals Ensemble-based estimates of eigenvector error for empirical covariance matrices

2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 289-312
Author(s):  
Dane Taylor ◽  
Juan G Restrepo ◽  
François G Meyer
Keyword(s):  
Sample Size ◽  
Covariance Matrix ◽  
Covariance Matrices ◽  
Finite Sample ◽  
Large Matrix ◽  
The Matrix ◽  
Negligible Probability ◽  
Finite Sample Size ◽  
Matrix Ensemble ◽  
Empirical Covariance

Abstract Covariance matrices are fundamental to the analysis and forecast of economic, physical and biological systems. Although the eigenvalues $\{\lambda _i\}$ and eigenvectors $\{\boldsymbol{u}_i\}$ of a covariance matrix are central to such endeavours, in practice one must inevitably approximate the covariance matrix based on data with finite sample size $n$ to obtain empirical eigenvalues $\{\tilde{\lambda }_i\}$ and eigenvectors $\{\tilde{\boldsymbol{u}}_i\}$, and therefore understanding the error so introduced is of central importance. We analyse eigenvector error $\|\boldsymbol{u}_i - \tilde{\boldsymbol{u}}_i \|^2$ while leveraging the assumption that the true covariance matrix having size $p$ is drawn from a matrix ensemble with known spectral properties—particularly, we assume the distribution of population eigenvalues weakly converges as $p\to \infty $ to a spectral density $\rho (\lambda )$ and that the spacing between population eigenvalues is similar to that for the Gaussian orthogonal ensemble. Our approach complements previous analyses of eigenvector error that require the full set of eigenvalues to be known, which can be computationally infeasible when $p$ is large. To provide a scalable approach for uncertainty quantification of eigenvector error, we consider a fixed eigenvalue $\lambda $ and approximate the distribution of the expected square error $r= \mathbb{E}\left [\| \boldsymbol{u}_i - \tilde{\boldsymbol{u}}_i \|^2\right ]$ across the matrix ensemble for all $\boldsymbol{u}_i$ associated with $\lambda _i=\lambda $. We find, for example, that for sufficiently large matrix size $p$ and sample size $n> p$, the probability density of $r$ scales as $1/nr^2$. This power-law scaling implies that the eigenvector error is extremely heterogeneous—even if $r$ is very small for most eigenvectors, it can be large for others with non-negligible probability. We support this and further results with numerical experiments.

scholarly journals Bartlett-corrected tests for varying precision beta regressions with application to environmental biometrics

PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (6) ◽  
pp. e0253349
Author(s):  
Ana C. Guedes ◽  
Francisco Cribari-Neto ◽  
Patrícia L. Espinheira
Keyword(s):  
Sample Size ◽  
Likelihood Ratio ◽  
Likelihood Ratio Test ◽  
Superior Performance ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Ratio Test ◽  
Test Statistics ◽  
Finite Sample ◽  
Alternative Approach ◽  
The Mean

Beta regressions are commonly used with responses that assume values in the standard unit interval, such as rates, proportions and concentration indices. Hypothesis testing inferences on the model parameters are typically performed using the likelihood ratio test. It delivers accurate inferences when the sample size is large, but can otherwise lead to unreliable conclusions. It is thus important to develop alternative tests with superior finite sample behavior. We derive the Bartlett correction to the likelihood ratio test under the more general formulation of the beta regression model, i.e. under varying precision. The model contains two submodels, one for the mean response and a separate one for the precision parameter. Our interest lies in performing testing inferences on the parameters that index both submodels. We use three Bartlett-corrected likelihood ratio test statistics that are expected to yield superior performance when the sample size is small. We present Monte Carlo simulation evidence on the finite sample behavior of the Bartlett-corrected tests relative to the standard likelihood ratio test and to two improved tests that are based on an alternative approach. The numerical evidence shows that one of the Bartlett-corrected typically delivers accurate inferences even when the sample is quite small. An empirical application related to behavioral biometrics is presented and discussed.

scholarly journals Adaptive Stochastic Filtration Based on the Estimation of the Covariance Matrix of Measurement Noises Using Irregular Accurate Observations

Inventions ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 10
Author(s):  
Sergey Sokolov ◽  
Arthur Novikov ◽  
Marianna Polyakova
Keyword(s):  
Covariance Matrix ◽  
Adaptive Estimation ◽  
Observation System ◽  
Mobile Object ◽  
New Approach ◽  
Measurement Systems ◽  
System Parameters ◽  
Traditional Scheme ◽  
Adaptive Filtration ◽  
Measurement Noises

In measurement systems operating under various disturbances the probabilistic characteristics of measurement noises are usually known approximately. To improve the observation accuracy, a new approach to the Kalman’s filter adaptation is proposed. In this approach, the Covariance Matrix of Measurement Noises (CMMN) is estimated by accurate measurements detected irregularly by the mobile object observation system (from radiofrequency identifiers, etalon reference, fixed points etc.). The problem of adaptive estimation of the observer’s noises covariance matrix in the Kalman filter is solved analytically for two cases: mutual noises correlation, and its absence. The numerical example for adaptive filtration of complexing navigation system parameters of a mobile object using irregular accurate measurements is given to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm. Coordinate estimating errors have changed in comparison with the traditional scheme from 100 m to 2 m in latitude, and from 200 m to 1.5 m in longitude.

scholarly journals On Asymptotic Efficiency of the M2M4 Signal-to-Noise Estimator for Deterministic Complex Sinusoids

Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (15) ◽  
pp. 4950
Author(s):  
Gianmarco Romano
Keyword(s):  
Covariance Matrix ◽  
Gaussian Noise ◽  
Asymptotic Efficiency ◽  
Noise Power ◽  
Finite Sample ◽  
Signal To Noise ◽  
Numerical Examples ◽  
Unknown Phase ◽  
The Moment ◽  
Asymptotically Efficient

The moment-based M2M4 signal-to-noise (SNR) estimator was proposed for a complex sinusoidal signal with a deterministic but unknown phase corrupted by additive Gaussian noise by Sekhar and Sreenivas. The authors studied its performances only through numerical examples and concluded that the proposed estimator is asymptotically efficient and exhibits finite sample super-efficiency for some combinations of signal and noise power. In this paper, we derive the analytical asymptotic performances of the proposed M2M4 SNR estimator, and we show that, contrary to what it has been concluded by Sekhar and Sreenivas, the proposed estimator is neither (asymptotically) efficient nor super-efficient. We also show that when dealing with deterministic signals, the covariance matrix needed to derive asymptotic performances must be explicitly derived as its known general form for random signals cannot be extended to deterministic signals. Numerical examples are provided whose results confirm the analytical findings.

ASYMPTOTICALLY UMP PANEL UNIT ROOT TESTS—THE EFFECT OF HETEROGENEITY IN THE ALTERNATIVES

2014 ◽  
Vol 31 (3) ◽  
pp. 539-559 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. Gaia Becheri ◽  
Feike C. Drost ◽  
Ramon van den Akker
Keyword(s):  
Unit Root ◽  
Generalized Least Squares ◽  
Applied Economics ◽  
Unit Root Tests ◽  
Finite Sample ◽  
Asymptotic Power ◽  
Optimal Tests ◽  
Independent Panel ◽  
Local Asymptotic Power ◽  
Uniformly Most Powerful

In a Gaussian, heterogeneous, cross-sectionally independent panel with incidental intercepts, Moon, Perron, and Phillips (2007, Journal of Econometrics 141, 416–459) present an asymptotic power envelope yielding an upper bound to the local asymptotic power of unit root tests. In case of homogeneous alternatives this envelope is known to be sharp, but this paper shows that it is not attainable for heterogeneous alternatives. Using limit experiment theory we derive a sharp power envelope. We also demonstrate that, among others, one of the likelihood ratio based tests in Moon et al. (2007, Journal of Econometrics 141, 416–459), a pooled generalized least squares (GLS) based test using the Breitung and Meyer (1994, Applied Economics 25, 353–361) device, and a new test based on the asymptotic structure of the model are all asymptotically UMP (Uniformly Most Powerful). Thus, perhaps somewhat surprisingly, pooled regression-based tests may yield optimal tests in case of heterogeneous alternatives. Although finite-sample powers are comparable, the new test is easy to implement and has superior size properties.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document