Root zone soil moisture from the assimilation of screen-level variables and remotely sensed soil moisture

Author(s):  
C. S. Draper ◽  
J.-F. Mahfouf ◽  
J. P. Walker
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Noemi Vergopolan ◽  
Sitian Xiong ◽  
Lyndon Estes ◽  
Niko Wanders ◽  
Nathaniel W. Chaney ◽  
...  

Abstract. Soil moisture is highly variable in space, and its deficits (i.e. droughts) plays an important role in modulating crop yields and its variability across landscapes. Limited hydroclimate and yield data, however, hampers drought impact monitoring and assessment at the farmer field-scale. This study demonstrates the potential of field-scale soil moisture simulations to advance high-resolution agricultural yield prediction and drought monitoring at the smallholder farm field-scale. We present a multi-scale modeling approach that combines HydroBlocks, a physically-based hyper-resolution Land Surface Model (LSM), and machine learning. We applied HydroBlocks to simulate root zone soil moisture and soil temperature in Zambia at 3-hourly 30-m resolution. These simulations along with remotely sensed vegetation indices, meteorological conditions, and data describing the physical properties of the landscape (topography, land cover, soil properties) were combined with district-level maize data to train a random forest model (RF) to predict maize yields at the district- and field-scale (250-m) levels. Our model predicted yields with a coefficient of variation (R2) of 0.61, Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 349 kg ha−1, and mean normalized error of 22 %. We captured maize losses due to the 2015/2016 El Niño drought at similar levels to losses reported by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO). Our results revealed that soil moisture is the strongest and most reliable predictor of maize yield, driving its spatial and temporal variability. Consequently, soil moisture was also the most effective indicator of drought impacts in crops when compared with precipitation, soil and air temperatures, and remotely-sensed NDVI-based drought indices. By combining field-scale root zone soil moisture estimates with observed maize yield data, this research demonstrates how field-scale modeling can help bridge the spatial scale discontinuity gap between drought monitoring and agricultural impacts.


2014 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 931-946 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Szczypta ◽  
J.-C. Calvet ◽  
F. Maignan ◽  
W. Dorigo ◽  
F. Baret ◽  
...  

Abstract. Two new remotely sensed leaf area index (LAI) and surface soil moisture (SSM) satellite-derived products are compared with two sets of simulations of the ORganizing Carbon and Hydrology In Dynamic EcosystEms (ORCHIDEE) and Interactions between Soil, Biosphere and Atmosphere, CO2-reactive (ISBA-A-gs) land surface models. We analyse the interannual variability over the period 1991–2008. The leaf onset and the length of the vegetation growing period (LGP) are derived from both the satellite-derived LAI and modelled LAI. The LGP values produced by the photosynthesis-driven phenology model of ISBA-A-gs are closer to the satellite-derived LAI and LGP than those produced by ORCHIDEE. In the latter, the phenology is based on a growing degree day model for leaf onset, and on both climatic conditions and leaf life span for senescence. Further, the interannual variability of LAI is better captured by ISBA-A-gs than by ORCHIDEE. In order to investigate how recent droughts affected vegetation over the Euro-Mediterranean area, a case study addressing the summer 2003 drought is presented. It shows a relatively good agreement of the modelled LAI anomalies with the observations, but the two models underestimate plant regrowth in the autumn. A better representation of the root-zone soil moisture profile could improve the simulations of both models. The satellite-derived SSM is compared with SSM simulations of ISBA-A-gs only, as ORCHIDEE has no explicit representation of SSM. Overall, the ISBA-A-gs simulations of SSM agree well with the satellite-derived SSM and are used to detect regions where the satellite-derived product could be improved. Finally, a correspondence is found between the interannual variability of detrended SSM and LAI. The predictability of LAI is less pronounced using remote sensing observations than using simulated variables. However, consistent results are found in July for the croplands of the Ukraine and southern Russia.


2010 ◽  
Vol 14 (11) ◽  
pp. 2177-2191 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Albergel ◽  
J.-C. Calvet ◽  
P. de Rosnay ◽  
G. Balsamo ◽  
W. Wagner ◽  
...  

Abstract. The SMOSMANIA soil moisture network in Southwestern France is used to evaluate modelled and remotely sensed soil moisture products. The surface soil moisture (SSM) measured in situ at 5 cm permits to evaluate SSM from the SIM operational hydrometeorological model of Météo-France and to perform a cross-evaluation of the normalised SSM estimates derived from coarse-resolution (25 km) active microwave observations from the ASCAT scatterometer instrument (C-band, onboard METOP), issued by EUMETSAT and resampled to the Discrete Global Grid (DGG, 12.5 km gridspacing) by TU-Wien (Vienna University of Technology) over a two year period (2007–2008). A downscaled ASCAT product at one kilometre scale is evaluated as well, together with operational soil moisture products of two meteorological services, namely the ALADIN numerical weather prediction model (NWP) and the Integrated Forecasting System (IFS) analysis of Météo-France and ECMWF, respectively. In addition to the operational SSM analysis of ECMWF, a second analysis using a simplified extended Kalman filter and assimilating the ASCAT SSM estimates is tested. The ECMWF SSM estimates correlate better with the in situ observations than the Météo-France products. This may be due to the higher ability of the multi-layer land surface model used at ECMWF to represent the soil moisture profile. However, the SSM derived from SIM corresponds to a thin soil surface layer and presents good correlations with ASCAT SSM estimates for the very first centimetres of soil. At ECMWF, the use of a new data assimilation technique, which is able to use the ASCAT SSM, improves the SSM and the root-zone soil moisture analyses.


2015 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 505-535 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. Dharssi ◽  
B. Candy ◽  
P. Steinle

Abstract. Several weather forecasting agencies have developed advanced land data assimilation systems that, in principle, can analyse any model land variable. Such systems can make use of a wide variety of observation types, such as screen level (2 m above the surface) observations and satellite based measurements of surface soil moisture and skin temperature. Indirect measurements can be used and information propagated from the surface into the deeper soil layers. A key component of the system is the calculation of the linearised observation operator matrix (Jacobian matrix) which describes the link between the observations and the land surface model variables. The elements of the Jacobian matrix (Jacobians) are estimated using finite difference by performing short model forecasts with perturbed initial conditions. The calculated Jacobians show that there can be strong coupling between the screen level and the soil. The coupling between the screen level and surface soil moisture is found to be due to a number of processes including bare soil evaporation, soil thermal conductivity as well as transpiration by plants. Therefore, there is significant coupling both during the day and at night. The coupling between the screen level and root-zone soil moisture is primarily through transpiration by plants. Therefore the coupling is only significant during the day and the vertical variation of the coupling is modulated by the vegetation root depths. The calculated Jacobians that link screen level temperature to model soil temperature are found to be largest for the topmost model soil layer and become very small for the lower soil layers. These values are largest during the night and generally positive in value. It is found that the Jacobians that link observations of surface soil moisture to model soil moisture are strongly affected by the soil hydraulic conductivity. Generally, for the Joint UK Land Environment Simulator (JULES) land surface model, the coupling between the surface and root zone soil moisture is weak. Finally, the Jacobians linking observations of skin temperature to model soil temperature and moisture are calculated. These Jacobians are found to have a similar spatial pattern to the Jacobians for observations of screen level temperature. Analysis is also performed of the sensitivity of the calculated Jacobians to the magnitude of the perturbations used.


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