scholarly journals Prognostic nutritional index may not be a good prognostic indicator for acute myocardial infarction

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yisong Cheng ◽  
Hong Li ◽  
Dongze Li ◽  
Lianjing Liang ◽  
Yu Jia ◽  
...  

Abstract The prognostic nutritional index (PNI) has been applied in acute myocardial infarction (AMI) recently.However, the application of PNI in AMI needs verification. This was a prospective cohort study. Patients diagnosed with AMI were enrolled. PNI was calculated as (serum albumin (SA in g/L)) + (5 × total lymphocyte count (TLC) × 109/L). Modified PNI (mPNI) was analyzed by logistic regression analysis to reset the proportion of SA and TLC. The primary outcome was all-cause death. A total of 598 patients were enrolled; 73 patients died during follow-up. The coefficient of SA and TLC in the mPNI formula was approximately 2:1. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of SA, TLC, PNI, mPNI and GRACE in predicting death for patients with AMI was 0.718, 0.540, 0.636, 0.721 and 0.825, respectively. Net reclassification improvement (NRI) between PNI and mPNI was 0.230 (p < 0.001). Integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) was 0.042 (p = 0.001). Decision curve analysis revealed that mPNI had better prognostic value for patients with AMI than PNI; however, it was not superior to SA. Thus, PNI may not a reliable prognostic predictor of AMI; after resetting the formula, the value of PNI in predicting prognosis of AMI is almost entirely due to SA.

2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (8) ◽  
pp. 1112-1120
Author(s):  
Junjun Zhang ◽  
Bo Huang ◽  
Zhangsuo Liu ◽  
Xutong Wang ◽  
Minhua Xie ◽  
...  

Background and objectivesThe International IgA Nephropathy Network recently developed and externally validated two models to predict the risk of progression of IgA nephropathy: full models without and with race. This study sought to externally validate the International IgA Nephropathy Prediction Tool in a large, independent, and contemporary cohort in China.Design, setting, participants, & measurementsWe included 1373 patients with biopsy-confirmed primary IgA nephropathy from The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University from January 2012 to May 2018 and calculated predicted risks for each patient. The outcomes of interest were a 50% decline in eGFR or kidney failure. We assessed the performance of both models using discrimination (concordance statistics and Kaplan–Meier curves between subgroups), calibration (calibration plots), reclassification (net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement), and clinical utility (decision curve analysis).ResultsThe median follow-up was 29 months (interquartile range, 21–43 months; range, 1–95 months), and 186 (14%) patients reached the kidney outcomes of interest. Both models showed excellent discrimination (concordance statistics >0.85 and well separated survival curves). Overall, the full model without race generally underestimated the risk of primary outcome, whereas the full model with race was well calibrated for predicting 5-year risk. Compared with the full model without race, the full model with race had significant improvement in reclassification, as assessed by the net reclassification improvement (0.49; 95% confidence interval, 0.41 to 0.59) and integrated discrimination improvement (0.06; 95% confidence interval, 0.04 to 0.08). Decision curve analysis showed that both full models had a higher net benefit than default strategies, and the model with race performed better.ConclusionsIn this study, both full models demonstrated remarkable discrimination, acceptable calibration, and satisfactory clinical utility. The relatively short follow-up time may have limited the validation of these models.


BMC Cancer ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tatsuo Matsuda ◽  
Yuzo Umeda ◽  
Tadakazu Matsuda ◽  
Yoshikatsu Endo ◽  
Daisuke Sato ◽  
...  

Abstract Background In the surgical treatment of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC), postoperative complications may be predictive of long-term survival. This study aimed to identify an immune-nutritional index (INI) that can be used for preoperative prediction of complications. Patients and methods Multi-institutional data from 316 patients with ICC who had undergone surgical resection were retrospectively analysed, with a focus on various preoperative INIs. Results Severe complications (Clavien-Dindo grade III–V) were identified in 66 patients (20.8%), including Grade V complications in 7 patients (2.2%). Comparison of areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUCs) among various INIs identified the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) as offering the highest predictive value for severe complications (AUC = 0.609, cut-off = 50, P = 0.008). Multivariate analysis revealed PNI <  50 (odds ratio [OR] = 2.22, P = 0.013), hilar lesion (OR = 2.46, P = 0.026), and long operation time (OR = 1.003, P = 0.029) as independent risk factors for severe complications. In comparing a high-PNI group (PNI ≥ 50, n = 142) and a low-PNI group (PNI <  50, n = 174), the low-PNI group showed higher rates of both major complications (27% vs. 13.4%; P = 0.003) and infectious complications (14.9% vs. 3.5%; P = 0.0021). Furthermore, median survival time and 1- and 5-year overall survival rates were 34.2 months and 77.4 and 33.8% in the low-PNI group, respectively, and 52.4 months and 89.3 and 47.5% in the high-PNI group, respectively (P = 0.0017). Conclusion Preoperative PNI appears useful as an INI correlating with postoperative severe complications and as a prognostic indicator for ICC.


Cardiology ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 131 (2) ◽  
pp. 116-121 ◽  
Author(s):  
Antonio E.P. Pesaro ◽  
Marcelo Katz ◽  
Adriano Caixeta ◽  
Márcia R. Makdisse ◽  
Alessandra G. Correia ◽  
...  

Objectives: Elevated B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels following acute myocardial infarction (AMI) are associated with adverse outcomes. The role of serial BNP monitoring after AMI has been poorly investigated. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of in-hospital serial BNP measurements in AMI patients. Methods: Patients with AMI (n = 1,924) were retrospectively evaluated. We selected patients with at least 2 in-hospital BNP measurements. The association between in-hospital mortality and BNP measurements (earliest, highest follow-up and the variation between measurements) were tested in multivariate models. Results: Serial BNP levels were determined in 176 patients. Compared to the rest of the population, these patients were older and had higher mortality rates. In the adjusted models, only the highest follow-up BNP remained associated with in-hospital death (odds ratio 1.06; 95% confidence interval, CI, 1.01-1.15; p = 0.014). Receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis demonstrated that the highest follow-up BNP was the best predictor of in-hospital death (area under the curve = 0.75; 95% CI 0.64-0.86). Conclusions: Serial BNP monitoring was performed in a high-risk subgroup of AMI patients. The highest follow-up BNP was a better predictor of short-term death than the baseline and in-hospital variation values. In AMI patients, a later in-hospital BNP assessment may be more useful than an early measurement.


2021 ◽  
Vol 28 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
E Piotrowicz ◽  
P Orzechowski ◽  
I Kowalik ◽  
R Piotrowicz

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): National Health Fund Background. A novel comprehensive care program after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) „KOS-zawał" was implemented in Poland. It includes acute intervention, complex revascularization, implantation of cardiovascular electronic devices (in case of indications), rehabilitation or hybrid telerehabilitation (HTR) and scheduled outpatient follow-up. HTR is a unique component of this program. The purpose of the pilot study was to evaluate a feasibility, safety and patients’ acceptance of HTR as component of a novel care program after AMI and to assess mortality in a one-year follow-up. Methods The study included 55 patients (LVEF 55.6 ± 6.8%; aged 57.5 ± 10.5 years). Patients underwent a 5-week HTR based on Nordic walking, consisting of an initial stage (1 week) conducted within an outpatient center and a basic stage (4-week) home-based telerehabilitation five times weekly. HTR was telemonitored with a device adjusted to register electrocardiogram (ECG) recording and to transmit data via mobile phone network to the monitoring center. The moments of automatic ECG registration were pre-set and coordinated with exercise training. The influence on physical capacity was assessed by comparing changes in functional capacity (METs) from the beginning and the end of HTR. Patients filled in a questionnaire in order to assess their acceptance of HTR at the end of telerehabilitation. Results HTR resulted in a significant improvement in functional capacity and workload duration in exercise test (Table). Safety: there were neither deaths nor adverse events during HTR. Patients accepted HTR, including the need for interactive everyday collaboration with the monitoring center. Prognosis all patients survived in a one-year follow-up. Conclusions Hybrid telerehabilitation is a feasible, safe form of rehabilitation, well accepted by patients. There were no deaths in a one-year follow-up. Outcomes before and after HTR Before telerehabilitation After telerehabilitation P Exercise time [s] 381.5 ± 92.0 513.7 ± 120.2 &lt;0.001 Maximal workload [MET] 7.9 ± 1.8 10.1 ± 2.3 &lt;0.001 Heart rate rest [bpm] 68.6 ± 12.0 66.6 ± 10.9 0.123 Heart rate max effort [bpm] 119.7 ± 15.9 131.0 ± 20.1 &lt;0.001 SBP rest [mmHg] 115.6 ± 14.8 117.7 ± 13.8 0.295 DBP rest [mmHg] 74.3 ± 9.2 76.2 ± 7.3 0.079 SBP max effort [mm Hg] 159.5 ± 25.7 170.7 ± 25.5 0.003 DBP max effort [mm Hg] 84.5 ± 9.2 87.2 ± 9.3 0.043 SBP systolic blood pressure, DBP diastolic blood pressure.


Author(s):  
Yi-Wei Kao ◽  
Ben-Chang Shia ◽  
Huei-Chen Chiang ◽  
Mingchih Chen ◽  
Szu-Yuan Wu

Accumulating evidence has shown a significant correlation between periodontal diseases and systemic diseases. In this study, we investigated the association between the frequency of tooth scaling and acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Here, a group of 7164 participants who underwent tooth scaling was compared with another group of 7164 participants without tooth scaling through propensity score matching to assess AMI risk by Cox’s proportional hazard regression. The results show that the hazard ratio of AMI from the tooth scaling group was 0.543 (0.441, 0.670) and the average expenses of AMI in the follow up period was USD 265.76, while the average expenses of AMI in follow up period for control group was USD 292.47. The tooth scaling group was further divided into two subgroups, namely A and B, to check the influence of tooth scaling frequency on AMI risk. We observed that (1) the incidence rate of AMI in the group without any tooth scaling was 3.5%, which is significantly higher than the incidence of 1.9% in the group with tooth scaling; (2) the tooth scaling group had lower total medical expenditures than those of the other group because of the high medical expenditure associated with AMI; and (3) participants who underwent tooth scaling had a lower AMI risk than those who never underwent tooth scaling had. Therefore, the results of this study demonstrate the importance of preventive medicine.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Yini Wang ◽  
Xueqin Gao ◽  
Zhenjuan Zhao ◽  
Ling Li ◽  
Guojie Liu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Type D personality and depression are the independent psychological risk factors for adverse outcomes in cardiovascular patients. The aim of this study was to examine the combined effect of Type D personality and depression on clinical outcomes in patients suffering from acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Methods This prospective cohort study included 3568 patients diagnosed with AMI between February 2017 and September 2018. Type D personality and depression were assessed at baseline, while the major adverse cardiac event (MACE) rate (cardiac death, recurrent non-fatal myocardial infarction, revascularization, and stroke) and in-stent restenosis (ISR) rate were analyzed after a 2-year follow-up period. Results A total of 437 patients developed MACEs and 185 had ISR during the follow-up period. The Type D (+) depression (+) and Type D (+) depression (−) groups had a higher risk of MACE [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.74–6.07] (95% CI 1.25–2.96) and ISR (95% CI 3.09–8.28) (95% CI 1.85–6.22). Analysis of Type D and depression as continuous variables indicated that the main effect of Type D, depression and their combined effect were significantly associated with MACE and ISR. Moreover, Type D (+) depression (+) and Type D (+) depression (−) emerged as significant risk factors for MACE and ISR in males, while only Type D (+) depression (+) was associated with MACE and ISR in female patients. Conclusions These findings suggest that patients complicated with depression and Type D personality are at a higher risk of adverse cardiovascular outcomes. Individual assessments of Type D personality and depression, and comprehensive interventions are required.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
F Kahles ◽  
R.W Mertens ◽  
M.V Rueckbeil ◽  
M.C Arrivas ◽  
J Moellmann ◽  
...  

Abstract Background GLP-1 and GLP-2 (glucagon-like peptide-1/2) are gut derived hormones that are co-secreted from intestinal L-cells in response to food intake. While GLP-1 is known to induce postprandial insulin secretion, GLP-2 enhances intestinal nutrient absorption and is clinically used for the treatment of patients with short bowel syndrome. The relevance of the GLP-2 system for cardiovascular disease is unknown. Purpose The aim of this study was to assess the predictive capacity of GLP-2 for cardiovascular prognosis in patients with myocardial infarction. Methods Total GLP-2 levels, NT-proBNP concentrations and the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) score were assessed at time of admission in 918 patients with myocardial infarction, among them 597 patients with NSTEMI and 321 with STEMI. The primary composite outcome of the study was the first occurrence of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke (3-P-MACE) with a median follow-up of 311 days. Results Kaplan-Meier survival plots (separated by the median of GLP-2 with a cut-off value of 4.4 ng/mL) and univariable cox regression analyses found GLP-2 values to be associated with adverse outcome (logarithmized GLP-2 values HR: 2.87; 95% CI: 1.75–4.68; p&lt;0.0001). Further adjustment for age, sex, smoking, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, diabetes mellitus, family history of cardiovascular disease, hs-Troponin T, NT-proBNP and hs-CRP levels did not affect the association of GLP-2 with poor prognosis (logarithmized GLP-2 values HR: 2.96; 95% CI: 1.38–6.34; p=0.0053). Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analyses illustrated that GLP-2 is a strong indicator for cardiovascular events and proved to be comparable to other established risk markers (area under the curve of the combined endpoint at 6 months; GLP-2: 0.72; hs-Troponin: 0.56; NT-proBNP: 0.70; hs-CRP: 0.62). Adjustment of the GRACE risk estimate by GLP-2 increased the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve for the combined triple endpoint after 6 months from 0.70 (GRACE) to 0.75 (GRACE + GLP-2) in NSTEMI patients. Addition of GLP-2 to a model containing GRACE and NT-proBNP led to a further improvement in model performance (increase in AUC from 0.72 for GRACE + NT-proBNP to 0.77 for GRACE + NT-proBNP + GLP-2). Conclusions In patients admitted with acute myocardial infarction, GLP-2 levels are associated with adverse cardiovascular prognosis. This demonstrates a strong yet not appreciated crosstalk between the heart and the gut with relevance for cardiovascular outcome. Future studies are needed to further explore this crosstalk with the possibility of new treatment avenues for cardiovascular disease. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): German Society of Cardiology (DGK), German Research Foundation (DFG)


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
G Krljanac ◽  
D Trifunovic ◽  
M Asanin ◽  
L Savic ◽  
J Vratonjic ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Malignant arrhythmias, ventricular tachycardia or ventricular fibrillation (VT/VF) in acute myocardial infarction (AIM) carry ominous prognosis including sudden cardiac death (SCD). It is not clear whether the timing of VT/VF occurrence always affects the poor prognosis of patients with AMI. Aim To investigate the prognosis of patients who undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in accordance with timing of VT/VF and to find the power predictors of their occurrence. Methods 307 consecutive patients in PREDICT-VT study (NCT03263949), 57.9±10.6 year old, 72.3% males were analysed. Of these patients, 27.7% had VT/VF from the symptoms onset, within 48 hours of AIM (early VT/VF group). 8.1% of patients had VT/VF after 48h, during one year follow up (late VT/VF group). Results The frequency of VT/VF occurrence was high between symptoms onset and the end of 2nd month and during 5th and 6th month of AIM. The parameters of conventional echocardiography were significantly impaired in late VT/VF group, as well as parameters of longitudinal strain (LS) (table). Moreover, the MACE (cardiovascular mortality, SCD, new infarction, emergency revascularisation, and hospitalized heart failure) was the highest in late VT/VF group (p=0.000). The most significant predictor of late VT/VF was systolic LS (cut off −12.72%, ROC 0.680, Sen 71%, Sp 64%, p=0.006). Conclusions Although late VT/VF occurrence after primary PCI were less frequent than early VT/VF occurrence, patients with late VT/VF had a very poor prognosis. The most power predictor of late VT/VF were systolic longitudinal strain. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public hospital(s). Main funding source(s): Clinical Center of Serbia


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