scholarly journals Time-scale dependence of solar wind-based regression models of ionospheric electrodynamics

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Karl M. Laundal ◽  
Jone P. Reistad ◽  
Spencer M. Hatch ◽  
Therese Moretto ◽  
Anders Ohma ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Solar Wind ◽  
Time Scale ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Magnetic Energy ◽  
Current System ◽  
Time Windows ◽  
Linear Regression Models ◽  
Geomagnetic Indices ◽  
Ionospheric Electrodynamics ◽  
Long Time

Abstract The solar wind influence on geospace can be described as the sum of a directly driven component, or dayside reconnection, and an unloading component, associated with the release of magnetic energy via nightside reconnection. The two processes are poorly correlated on short time scales, but exactly equal when averaged over long time windows. Because of this peculiar property, regression models of ionospheric electrodynamics that are based on solar wind data are time scale specific: Models derived from 1 min resolution data will be different from models derived from hourly, daily, or monthly data. We explain and quantify this effect on simple linear regression models of various geomagnetic indices. We also derive a time scale-dependent correction factor that can be used with the Average Magnetic field and Polar current System model. Finally, we show how absolute estimates of the nightside reconnection rate can be calculated from solar wind measurements and geomagnetic indices.

scholarly journals Interplanetary Response to Solar Long Time-Scale Phenomena

1980 ◽  
Vol 91 ◽  
pp. 105-125
Author(s):  
C. D'Uston ◽  
J. M. Bosqued
Keyword(s):  
Solar Wind ◽  
Time Scale ◽  
High Speed ◽  
Coronal Holes ◽  
Observational Evidence ◽  
Solar Wind Flow ◽  
Speed Solar Wind ◽  
Long Time ◽  
Outer Corona ◽  
High Speed Solar Wind

In this paper, we briefly review the experimental knowledge gained in the recent years on the interplanetary response to solar long-time scale phenomena such as the coronal magnetic structure and its evolution. Observational evidence that solar wind flow in the outer corona comes from the unipolar diverging magnetic regions of the photosphere is discussed along with relations to coronal holes. High-speed solar wind streams observed within the boundary of interplanetary magnetic sectors are associated with these structures. Their boundaries appear as very narrow velocity shears.

scholarly journals Mathematical Analysis of the 08 May 2014 Weak Storm

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Kevser Köklü
Keyword(s):  
Magnetic Field ◽  
Solar Wind ◽  
Mathematical Models ◽  
Mathematical Analysis ◽  
Time Scale ◽  
Dynamic Structure ◽  
Geomagnetic Indices ◽  
Solar Wind Parameters ◽  
Short Time ◽  
Physical Principles

Since the time scale of weak storms is about half the time scale of intense storms, it is troublesome and important to examine the solar wind parameters/interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) (E, v , P , T, N, and Bz) to evolve and affect to zonal geomagnetic indices (Kp, Dst, AE, and ap). In a severe storm, which usually has two main phases, solar parameters have enough time to react, but weak storms cannot find this time. They have to yield their reaction in a short time. One can find a weak storm in order to reveal and discuss the consistency of models that have proven themselves in severe and moderate storms in this study. I discuss weak storm (Dst = −46) on May 8, 2014, via solar wind parameters and zonal geomagnetic indices. The goal of the work is to realize the models applicable to the moderate and the strong storms for a weak storm. Hereby, all possible correlations between solar parameters and zonal indices are discussed in depth. I tried to obey the cause-effect relationship while creating mathematical models while not ignoring the physical principles. Therefore, the physical principles govern the study. The results are visualized with tables and graphs for the understanding of the dynamic structure of the storm.

FAKTOR DETERMINAN PENYALURAN KREDIT BANK PERSERO

2018 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 60-71
Author(s):  
Wigiyanti Masodah
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Linear Regression Models ◽  
Negative Impacts ◽  
Main Activity ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Given ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression Models

Offering credit is the main activity of a Bank. There are some considerations when a bank offers credit, that includes Interest Rates, Inflation, and NPL. This study aims to find out the impact of Variable Interest Rates, Inflation variables and NPL variables on credit disbursed. The object in this study is state-owned banks. The method of analysis in this study uses multiple linear regression models. The results of the study have shown that Interest Rates and NPL gave some negative impacts on the given credit. Meanwhile, Inflation variable does not have a significant effect on credit given. Keywords: Interest Rate, Inflation, NPL, offered Credit.

Linear Regression Models for Interval-Valued Data using Log-transformation

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nykolas Mayko Maia Barbosa ◽  
João Paulo Pordeus Gomes ◽  
César Lincoln Cavalcante Mattos ◽  
Diêgo Farias Oliveira
Keyword(s):  
Linear Regression ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Linear Regression Models ◽  
Log Transformation ◽  
Interval Valued

THE PREDICTIVE CONTENT OF DISAGGREGATED NORMAL INCOME: An Empirical Study in the JSX

2003 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 363 ◽  
Author(s):  
Slamet Sugiri
Keyword(s):  
Linear Regression ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Manufacturing Firms ◽  
Single Step ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Linear Regression Models ◽  
Operating Income ◽  
Predictive Content ◽  
Multiple Step

The main objective of this study is to examine a hypothesis that the predictive content of normal income disaggregated into operating income and nonoperating income outperforms that of aggregated normal income in predicting future cash flow. To test the hypothesis, linear regression models are developed. The model parameters are estimated based on fifty-five manufacturing firms listed in the Jakarta Stock Exchange (JSX) up to the end of 1997.This study finds that empirical evidence supports the hypothesis. This evidence supports arguments that, in reporting income from continuing operations, multiple-step approach is preferred to single-step one.

scholarly journals Relationships between test positivity rate, total laboratory confirmed cases of malaria, and malaria incidence in high burden settings of Uganda: an ecological analysis

2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jaffer Okiring ◽  
Adrienne Epstein ◽  
Jane F. Namuganga ◽  
Victor Kamya ◽  
Asadu Sserwanga ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Regression Models ◽  
Malaria Incidence ◽  
Temporal Changes ◽  
Linear Regression Models ◽  
High Burden ◽  
Exponential Regression ◽  
Malaria Morbidity ◽  
Laboratory Test Results ◽  
Combining Data ◽  
Catchment Areas

Abstract Background Malaria surveillance is critical for monitoring changes in malaria morbidity over time. National Malaria Control Programmes often rely on surrogate measures of malaria incidence, including the test positivity rate (TPR) and total laboratory confirmed cases of malaria (TCM), to monitor trends in malaria morbidity. However, there are limited data on the accuracy of TPR and TCM for predicting temporal changes in malaria incidence, especially in high burden settings. Methods This study leveraged data from 5 malaria reference centres (MRCs) located in high burden settings over a 15-month period from November 2018 through January 2020 as part of an enhanced health facility-based surveillance system established in Uganda. Individual level data were collected from all outpatients including demographics, laboratory test results, and village of residence. Estimates of malaria incidence were derived from catchment areas around the MRCs. Temporal relationships between monthly aggregate measures of TPR and TCM relative to estimates of malaria incidence were examined using linear and exponential regression models. Results A total of 149,739 outpatient visits to the 5 MRCs were recorded. Overall, malaria was suspected in 73.4% of visits, 99.1% of patients with suspected malaria received a diagnostic test, and 69.7% of those tested for malaria were positive. Temporal correlations between monthly measures of TPR and malaria incidence using linear and exponential regression models were relatively poor, with small changes in TPR frequently associated with large changes in malaria incidence. Linear regression models of temporal changes in TCM provided the most parsimonious and accurate predictor of changes in malaria incidence, with adjusted R2 values ranging from 0.81 to 0.98 across the 5 MRCs. However, the slope of the regression lines indicating the change in malaria incidence per unit change in TCM varied from 0.57 to 2.13 across the 5 MRCs, and when combining data across all 5 sites, the R2 value reduced to 0.38. Conclusions In high malaria burden areas of Uganda, site-specific temporal changes in TCM had a strong linear relationship with malaria incidence and were a more useful metric than TPR. However, caution should be taken when comparing changes in TCM across sites.

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