Oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma: radiomic machine-learning classifiers from multiparametric MR images for determination of HPV infection status

We investigated the ability of machine-learning classifiers on radiomics from pre-treatment multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to accurately predict human papillomavirus (HPV) status in patients with oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC). This retrospective study collected data of 60 patients (48 HPV-positive and 12 HPV-negative) with newly diagnosed histopathologically proved OPSCC, who underwent head and neck MRIs consisting of axial T1WI, T2WI, CE-T1WI, and apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) maps from diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI). The median age was 59 years (the range being 35 to 85 years), and 83.3% of patients were male. The imaging data were randomised into a training set (32 HPV-positive and 8 HPV-negative OPSCC) and a test set (16 HPV-positive and 4 HPV-negative OPSCC) in each fold. 1618 quantitative features were extracted from manually delineated regions-of-interest of primary tumour and one definite lymph node in each sequence. After feature selection by using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), three different machine-learning classifiers (logistic regression, random forest, and XG boost) were trained and compared in the setting of various combinations between four sequences. The highest diagnostic accuracies were achieved when using all sequences, and the difference was significant only when the combination did not include the ADC map. Using all sequences, logistic regression and the random forest classifier yielded higher accuracy compared with the that of the XG boost classifier, with mean area under curve (AUC) values of 0.77, 0.76, and 0.71, respectively. The machine-learning classifier of non-invasive and quantitative radiomics signature could guide the classification of the HPV status.