scholarly journals Fine-Scale Temporal Dynamics of a Fragmented Lotic Microbial Ecosystem

2012 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Amitai Or ◽  
Lilach Shtrasler ◽  
Uri Gophna

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Marissa K. Grossman ◽  
Julian Rodriguez ◽  
Anuar Medina Barreiro ◽  
Audrey Lenhart ◽  
Pablo Manrique-Saide ◽  
...  


2019 ◽  
Vol 135 (2) ◽  
pp. 97-106 ◽  
Author(s):  
B Petton ◽  
J de Lorgeril ◽  
G Mitta ◽  
G Daigle ◽  
F Pernet ◽  
...  




2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Icíar Civantos ◽  
Javier García-Algarra ◽  
David García-Callejas ◽  
Javier Galeano ◽  
Oscar Godoy ◽  
...  

Prediction is one the last frontiers in ecology. Indeed, predicting fine scale species composition in natural systems is a complex challenge as multiple abiotic and biotic processes operate simultaneously to determine local species abundances. On the one hand, species intrinsic performance and their tolerance limits to different abiotic pressures modulate species abundances. On the other hand there is growing recognition that species interactions play an equally important role in limiting or promoting such abundances within ecological communities. Here, we present a joint effort between ecologists and data scientists to use data-driven models informed by ecological deterministic processes to predict species abundances using reasonably easy to obtain data. To overcome the classical procedure in ecology of parameterizing complex population models of multiple species interactions and poor predictive power, we followed instead a sequential data-driven modeling approach. We use this framework to predict species abundances over 5 years in a highly diverse annual plant community. Our models show a surprisingly high spatial predictive accuracy using only easy to measure variables in the field, yet such predictive power is lost when temporal dynamics are taken into account. This result suggest that predicting the temporal dimension of our system requires longer time series data. Such data would likely capture additional sources of variability that determine temporal patterns of species abundances. In addition, we show that these data-driven models can also inform back mechanistic models of important missing variables that affect species performance such as particular soil conditions (e.g. carbonate availability in our case). Being able to gain predictive power at fine-scale species composition while maintaining a mechanistic understanding of the underlying processes can be a pivotal tool for conservation, specially given the human induced rapid environmental changes we are experiencing. Here, we document how this objective can be achieved by promoting the interplay between classic modelling approaches in ecology and recently developed data-driven models.



2018 ◽  
Vol 51 (2) ◽  
pp. 231-237 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Quercia ◽  
F. Freccero ◽  
C. Castagnetti ◽  
M. Soverini ◽  
S. Turroni ◽  
...  


2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (12) ◽  
pp. e1008906
Author(s):  
Icíar Civantos-Gómez ◽  
Javier García-Algarra ◽  
David García-Callejas ◽  
Javier Galeano ◽  
Oscar Godoy ◽  
...  

Prediction is one of the last frontiers in ecology. Indeed, predicting fine-scale species composition in natural systems is a complex challenge as multiple abiotic and biotic processes operate simultaneously to determine local species abundances. On the one hand, species intrinsic performance and their tolerance limits to different abiotic pressures modulate species abundances. On the other hand there is growing recognition that species interactions play an equally important role in limiting or promoting such abundances within ecological communities. Here, we present a joint effort between ecologists and data scientists to use data-driven models to predict species abundances using reasonably easy to obtain data. We propose a sequential data-driven modeling approach that in a first step predicts the potential species abundances based on abiotic variables, and in a second step uses these predictions to model the realized abundances once accounting for species competition. Using a curated data set over five years we predict fine-scale species abundances in a highly diverse annual plant community. Our models show a remarkable spatial predictive accuracy using only easy-to-measure variables in the field, yet such predictive power is lost when temporal dynamics are taken into account. This result suggests that predicting future abundances requires longer time series analysis to capture enough variability. In addition, we show that these data-driven models can also suggest how to improve mechanistic models by adding missing variables that affect species performance such as particular soil conditions (e.g. carbonate availability in our case). Robust models for predicting fine-scale species composition informed by the mechanistic understanding of the underlying abiotic and biotic processes can be a pivotal tool for conservation, especially given the human-induced rapid environmental changes we are experiencing. This objective can be achieved by promoting the knowledge gained with classic modelling approaches in ecology and recently developed data-driven models.



2021 ◽  
Vol 168 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
G. J. Sutton ◽  
C. A. Bost ◽  
A. Z. Kouzani ◽  
S. D. Adams ◽  
K. Mitchell ◽  
...  


Author(s):  
Shinji Sumitani ◽  
Reiji Suzuki ◽  
Shiho Matsubayashi ◽  
Takaya Arita ◽  
Kazuhiro Nakadai ◽  
...  




2017 ◽  
Vol 107 (2) ◽  
pp. 231-239 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kathleen M. Burchhardt ◽  
Megan E. Miller ◽  
William O. Cline ◽  
Marc A. Cubeta

The fungus Monilinia vaccinii-corymbosi, a pathogen of Vaccinium spp., requires asexual and sexual spore production to complete its life cycle. A recent study found population structuring of M. vaccinii-corymbosi over a broad spatial scale in the United States. In this study, we examined fine-scale genetic structuring, temporal dynamics, and reproductive biology within a 125-by-132-m blueberry plot from 2010 to 2012. In total, 395 isolates of M. vaccinii-corymbosi were sampled from infected shoots and fruit to examine their multilocus haplotype (MLH) using microsatellite markers. The MLH of 190 single-ascospore isolates from 21 apothecia was also determined. Little to no genetic differentiation and unrestricted gene flow were detected among four sampled time points and between infected tissue types. Discriminant analysis of principal components suggested genetic structuring within the field, with at least K = 3 genetically distinct clusters maintained over four sampled time points. Single-ascospore progeny from eight apothecia had identical MLH and at least two distinct MLH were detected from 13 apothecia. Tests for linkage disequilibrium suggested that genetically diverse ascospore progeny were the product of recombination. This study supports the idea that the fine-scale dynamics of M. vaccinii-corymbosi may be complex, with genetic structuring, inbreeding, and outcrossing detected in the study area.



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