scholarly journals Comparison of validation and application on various cardiovascular disease mortality risk prediction models in Chinese rural population

2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Changqing Sun ◽  
Fei Xu ◽  
Xiaotian Liu ◽  
Mingwang Fang ◽  
Hao Zhou ◽  
...  
2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (48) ◽  
pp. 3889-3897 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kathleen M Sturgeon ◽  
Lei Deng ◽  
Shirley M Bluethmann ◽  
Shouhao Zhou ◽  
Daniel M Trifiletti ◽  
...  

Abstract Aims This observational study characterized cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality risk for multiple cancer sites, with respect to the following: (i) continuous calendar year, (ii) age at diagnosis, and (iii) follow-up time after diagnosis. Methods and results The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program was used to compare the US general population to 3 234 256 US cancer survivors (1973–2012). Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) were calculated using coded cause of death from CVDs (heart disease, hypertension, cerebrovascular disease, atherosclerosis, and aortic aneurysm/dissection). Analyses were adjusted by age, race, and sex. Among 28 cancer types, 1 228 328 patients (38.0%) died from cancer and 365 689 patients (11.3%) died from CVDs. Among CVDs, 76.3% of deaths were due to heart disease. In eight cancer sites, CVD mortality risk surpassed index-cancer mortality risk in at least one calendar year. Cardiovascular disease mortality risk was highest in survivors diagnosed at <35 years of age. Further, CVD mortality risk is highest (SMR 3.93, 95% confidence interval 3.89–3.97) within the first year after cancer diagnosis, and CVD mortality risk remains elevated throughout follow-up compared to the general population. Conclusion The majority of deaths from CVD occur in patients diagnosed with breast, prostate, or bladder cancer. We observed that from the point of cancer diagnosis forward into survivorship cancer patients (all sites) are at elevated risk of dying from CVDs compared to the general US population. In endometrial cancer, the first year after diagnosis poses a very high risk of dying from CVDs, supporting early involvement of cardiologists in such patients.


Author(s):  
Yi-tong Li ◽  
Yan Liu ◽  
Wei Yang ◽  
Xinlong Li ◽  
Deqiang Gao

Abstract Objective: To summarize the risk prediction models of chronic disease in Chinese medicine, describe their performance, and assess suitability of clinical or administrative use. Methods: The China National Knowledge Infrastructure and Wanfang Data were searched through February 2021, and hand searches were performed of the retrieved reference lists. Dual review was conducted to identify studies of prediction models of chronic disease in Chinese medicine. Results: From 399 citations reviewed, 17 studies were included in the analysis. Most of the studies were from single-centers (50%) or did not external validated (81.25%). The sample sizes were smaller and the models’ discrimination were larger compared with studies in fully western medicine. All the models used both laboratory findings and subjective judgements from doctors or patients. 9 models concentrated on diabetes mellitus or cardiovascular disease, and showed better performance and clinical application. Conclusions: The prediction models of chronic disease in Chinese medicine have unique advantages due to their considerations of doctors’ and patients’ subjective judgement. Diabetes mellitus and cardiovascular disease prediction models were in higher quality and clinical usability. Efforts to improve their quality are needed as use becomes more widespread.


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