scholarly journals Prediction of the electrical load of the power system using neural networks

2019 ◽  
Vol 124 ◽  
pp. 05026 ◽  
Author(s):  
D.I. Nabiullin ◽  
R.N. Balobanov

Prediction of the electrical load schedule of an electrical system is an important aspect for determining electrical loads, which ensures the correct selection and cost-effective operation of reactive power compensation devices and voltage control devices, as well as relay protection and automation. This article discusses methods for predicting electrical load using an artificial neural network. The problems of choosing the optimal architecture and algorithm of neural network training are considered. The methods of the best forecast accuracy are determined. A genetic algorithm based on the group method of data handling was chosen as the main calculation.

Author(s):  
P. Shymaniuk ◽  
V Miroshnyk ◽  
I. Blinov ◽  
P. Chernenko

The peculiarities of the influence of air temperature data on the accuracy of forecasting of nodal loads in power systems and how the accuracy of such forecasting changes depending on the training sample and its volume are considered. The application of the data analysis method to detect anomalous values ​​and omissions to reduce data distortion and improve forecasting results is considered. A neural network of deep learning of the LSTM type was used for multifactor prediction of nodal loads. To evaluate the effectiveness of the forecast accuracy, various variants of data samples for neural network training are considered.


2020 ◽  
Vol 71 (6) ◽  
pp. 66-74
Author(s):  
Younis M. Younis ◽  
Salman H. Abbas ◽  
Farqad T. Najim ◽  
Firas Hashim Kamar ◽  
Gheorghe Nechifor

A comparison between artificial neural network (ANN) and multiple linear regression (MLR) models was employed to predict the heat of combustion, and the gross and net heat values, of a diesel fuel engine, based on the chemical composition of the diesel fuel. One hundred and fifty samples of Iraqi diesel provided data from chromatographic analysis. Eight parameters were applied as inputs in order to predict the gross and net heat combustion of the diesel fuel. A trial-and-error method was used to determine the shape of the individual ANN. The results showed that the prediction accuracy of the ANN model was greater than that of the MLR model in predicting the gross heat value. The best neural network for predicting the gross heating value was a back-propagation network (8-8-1), using the Levenberg�Marquardt algorithm for the second step of network training. R = 0.98502 for the test data. In the same way, the best neural network for predicting the net heating value was a back-propagation network (8-5-1), using the Levenberg�Marquardt algorithm for the second step of network training. R = 0.95112 for the test data.


2015 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 363-367
Author(s):  
Qingshan Xu ◽  
Xufang Wang ◽  
Chenxing Yang ◽  
Hong Zhu ◽  
Qingguo Yan

It has great significance to estimate the schedulable capacity of air-conditioning load of public building for participating the power network regulation by forecasting the air-conditioning load accurately. A novel forecast method considering the accumulated temperature effect is proposed in this paper based on Elman neural network. Firstly, the starting and ending date for forecast considering the accumulated temperature effect are determined by providing the five day sliding average thermometer algorithm which is usually adopted in aerology research. Then, the effective accumulated temperature of each day is calculated. Finally, take the effective accumulated temperature, temperature and humidity into consideration, the air-conditioning load of public building in the forecast day is acquired by Elman neural network. Simulated results show that the higher forecast accuracy can be achieved by considering the accumulated temperature effect.


Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (6) ◽  
pp. 1527
Author(s):  
R. Senthil Kumar ◽  
K. Mohana Sundaram ◽  
K. S. Tamilselvan

The extensive usage of power electronic components creates harmonics in the voltage and current, because of which, the quality of delivered power gets affected. Therefore, it is essential to improve the quality of power, as we reveal in this paper. The problems of load voltage, source current, and power factors are mitigated by utilizing the unified power flow controller (UPFC), in which a combination of series and shunt converters are combined through a DC-link capacitor. To retain the link voltage and to maximize the delivered power, a PV module is introduced with a high gain converter, named the switched clamped diode boost (SCDB) converter, in which the grey wolf optimization (GWO) algorithm is instigated for tracking the maximum power. To retain the link-voltage of the capacitor, the artificial neural network (ANN) is implemented. A proper control of UPFC is highly essential, which is achieved by the reference current generation with the aid of a hybrid algorithm. A genetic algorithm, hybridized with the radial basis function neural network (RBFNN), is utilized for the generation of a switching sequence, and the generated pulse has been given to both the series and shunt converters through the PWM generator. Thus, the source current and load voltage harmonics are mitigated with reactive power compensation, which results in attaining a unity power factor. The projected methodology is simulated by MATLAB and it is perceived that the total harmonic distortion (THD) of 0.84% is attained, with almost a unity power factor, and this is validated with FPGA Spartan 6E hardware.


Entropy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (6) ◽  
pp. 711
Author(s):  
Mina Basirat ◽  
Bernhard C. Geiger ◽  
Peter M. Roth

Information plane analysis, describing the mutual information between the input and a hidden layer and between a hidden layer and the target over time, has recently been proposed to analyze the training of neural networks. Since the activations of a hidden layer are typically continuous-valued, this mutual information cannot be computed analytically and must thus be estimated, resulting in apparently inconsistent or even contradicting results in the literature. The goal of this paper is to demonstrate how information plane analysis can still be a valuable tool for analyzing neural network training. To this end, we complement the prevailing binning estimator for mutual information with a geometric interpretation. With this geometric interpretation in mind, we evaluate the impact of regularization and interpret phenomena such as underfitting and overfitting. In addition, we investigate neural network learning in the presence of noisy data and noisy labels.


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