Dynamics of 2015 positive Indian Ocean Dipole

2019 ◽  
Vol 69 (1) ◽  
pp. 75
Author(s):  
Putri Adia Utari ◽  
Mokhamad Yusup Nur Khakim ◽  
Dedi Setiabudidaya ◽  
Iskhaq Iskandar
Keyword(s):  
Heat Flux ◽  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Indian Ocean Dipole ◽  
Tropical Indian Ocean ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
The South ◽  
South Eastern ◽  
Positive Indian Ocean Dipole ◽  
Sst Warming ◽  
Dipole Pattern

Evolution of typical positive Indian Ocean Dipole (pIOD) event was dominated by a significant sea-surface temperature (SST) cooling in the south-eastern tropical Indian Ocean. Interestingly, during the evolution of 2015 pIOD event, the SST in the south-eastern tropical Indian Ocean did not reveal significant cooling, instead anomalous strong SST warming took place in the western tropical Indian Ocean off the East African coast. This anomalous SST warming was associated with a weakening of the Asian summer monsoon. Furthermore, analysis on the mixed layer heat budget demonstrated that the evolution of the 2015 pIOD event could be attributed mainly to the air-sea heat flux. By decomposing the air-sea heat flux, it is found that reduced latent heat loss plays an important role on the SST warming in the western pole and keeping SST warm in the eastern pole. We note that a residual term also may play a role during the initial development of the event. In contrast to the SST pattern, the subsurface temperature revealed a clear positive dipole pattern. Shallow (deep) 20°C isothermal layer in the eastern (western) equatorial Indian Ocean was observed during boreal summer. This robust subsurface dipole pattern indicated that the subsurface ocean response was largely wind driven through the equatorial wave dynamics as previously suggested.

Inter-basin and Multi-time Scale Interactions in generating the 2019 Extreme Indian Ocean Dipole

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-39
Author(s):  
Lei Zhang ◽  
Weiqing Han ◽  
Zeng-Zhen Hu
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Indian Ocean Dipole ◽  
Intraseasonal Oscillation ◽  
Tropical Indian Ocean ◽  
Forecast Model ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
Indian Ocean Dipole Event ◽  
Easterly Wind ◽  
Western Tropical Pacific

AbstractAn unprecedented extreme positive Indian Ocean Dipole event (pIOD) occurred in 2019, which has caused widespread disastrous impacts on countries bordering the Indian Ocean, including the East African floods and vast bushfires in Australia. Here we investigate the causes for the 2019 pIOD by analyzing multiple observational datasets and performing numerical model experiments. We find that the 2019 pIOD is triggered in May by easterly wind bursts over the tropical Indian Ocean associated with the dry phase of the boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation, and sustained by the local atmosphere-ocean interaction thereafter. During September-November, warm sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) in the central-western tropical Pacific further enhance the Indian Ocean’s easterly winds, bringing the pIOD to an extreme magnitude. The central-western tropical Pacific warm SSTA is strengthened by two consecutive Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) events that originate from the tropical Indian Ocean. Our results highlight the important roles of cross-basin and cross-timescale interactions in generating extreme IOD events. The lack of accurate representation of these interactions may be the root for a short lead time in predicting this extreme pIOD with a state-of-the-art climate forecast model.

scholarly journals Positive Indian Ocean Dipole events prevent anoxia off the west coast of India

2017 ◽  
Vol 14 (6) ◽  
pp. 1541-1559 ◽  
Author(s):  
Parvathi Vallivattathillam ◽  
Suresh Iyyappan ◽  
Matthieu Lengaigne ◽  
Christian Ethé ◽  
Jérôme Vialard ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
West Coast ◽  
Indian Ocean Dipole ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
Low Oxygen ◽  
The West ◽  
Easterly Wind ◽  
West Coast Of India ◽  
Positive Indian Ocean Dipole ◽  
Subsurface Waters

Abstract. The seasonal upwelling along the west coast of India (WCI) brings nutrient-rich, oxygen-poor subsurface waters to the continental shelf, favoring very low oxygen concentrations in the surface waters during late boreal summer and fall. This yearly-recurring coastal hypoxia is more severe during some years, leading to coastal anoxia that has strong impacts on the living resources. In the present study, we analyze a 1/4° resolution coupled physical–biogeochemical regional oceanic simulation over the 1960–2012 period to investigate the physical processes influencing the oxycline interannual variability off the WCI, that being a proxy for the variability on the shelf in our model. Our analysis indicates a tight relationship between the oxycline and thermocline variations in this region on both seasonal and interannual timescales, thereby revealing a strong physical control of the oxycline variability. As in observations, our model exhibits a shallow oxycline and thermocline during fall that combines with interannual variations to create a window of opportunity for coastal anoxic events. We further demonstrate that the boreal fall oxycline fluctuations off the WCI are strongly related to the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), with an asymmetric influence of its positive and negative phases. Positive IODs are associated with easterly wind anomalies near the southern tip of India. These winds force downwelling coastal Kelvin waves that propagate along the WCI and deepen the thermocline and oxycline there, thus preventing the occurrence of coastal anoxia. On the other hand, negative IODs are associated with WCI thermocline and oxycline anomalies of opposite sign but of smaller amplitude, so that the negative or neutral IOD phases are necessary but not the sufficient condition for coastal anoxia. As the IODs generally start developing in summer, these findings suggest some predictability to the occurrence of coastal anoxia off the WCI a couple of months ahead.

scholarly journals Satellite and Argo Observed Surface Salinity Variations in the Tropical Indian Ocean and Their Association with the Indian Ocean Dipole Mode

2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (2) ◽  
pp. 695-713 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yan Du ◽  
Yuhong Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Ocean Circulation ◽  
Indian Ocean Dipole ◽  
Coastal Upwelling ◽  
Tropical Indian Ocean ◽  
Sea Surface Salinity ◽  
The South ◽  
Surface Salinity ◽  
Indian Ocean Dipole Mode ◽  
The Indian Ocean

Abstract This study investigates sea surface salinity (SSS) variations in the tropical Indian Ocean (IO) using the Aquarius/Satelite de Aplicaciones Cientificas-D (SAC-D) and the Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity (SMOS) satellite data and the Argo observations during July 2010–July 2014. Compared to the Argo observations, the satellite datasets generally provide SSS maps with higher space–time resolution, particularly in the regions where Argo floats are sparse. Both Aquarius and SMOS well captured the SSS variations associated with the Indian Ocean dipole (IOD) mode. Significant SSS changes occurred in the central equatorial IO, along the Java–Sumatra coast, and south of the equatorial IO, due to ocean circulation variations. During the negative IOD events in 2010, 2013, and 2014, westerly wind anomalies strengthened along the equator, weakening coastal upwelling off Java and Sumatra and decreasing SSS. South of the equatorial IO, an anomalous cyclonic gyre changed the tropical circulation, which favored the eastward high-salinity tongue along the equator and the westward low-saline tongue in the south. An upwelling Rossby wave favored the increase of SSS farther to the south. During the positive IOD events in 2011 and 2012, the above-mentioned processes reversed, although the decrease of SSS was weaker in magnitude.

scholarly journals How Does El Niño Affect Predictability Barrier of Its Accompanied Positive Indian Ocean Dipole Event?

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (11) ◽  
pp. 1169
Author(s):  
Da Liu ◽  
Wansuo Duan ◽  
Rong Feng
Keyword(s):  
Heat Flux ◽  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Latent Heat Flux ◽  
El Niño ◽  
Indian Ocean Dipole ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Sea Temperature ◽  
Positive Indian Ocean Dipole ◽  
Initial Errors ◽  
Temperature Errors

The effects of El Niño on the predictability of positive Indian Ocean dipole (pIOD) events are investigated by using the GFDL CM2p1 coupled model from the perspective of error growth. The results show that, under the influence of El Niño, the summer predictability barrier (SPB) for pIOD tends to intensify and the winter predictability barrier (WPB) is weakened. Since the reason for the weakening of WPB has been explained in a previous study, the present study attempts to explore why the SPB is enhanced. The results demonstrate that the initial sea temperature errors, which are most likely to induce SPB for pIOD with El Niño, possess patterns similar to those for pIOD without El Niño, whose dominant errors concentrate in the tropical Pacific Ocean (PO), with a pattern of negative SST errors occurring in the eastern and central PO and subsurface sea temperature errors being negative in the eastern PO and positive in the western PO. By tracking the development of such initial errors, it is found that the initial errors over PO lead to anomalous westerlies in the southeastern Indian Ocean (IO) through the effect of double-cell Walker circulation. Such westerly anomalies are inhibited by the strongest climatological easterly wind and the southeasterlies related to the pIOD event itself in summer, while they are enhanced by El Niño. This competing effect causes the intensified seasonal variation in latent heat flux, with much less loss in summer under the effect of El Niño. The greater suppression of the loss of latent heat flux favors the positive sea surface temperature (SST) errors developing much faster in the eastern Indian Ocean in summer, and eventually induces an enhanced SPB for pIOD due to El Niño.

Thermocline warming induced extreme Indian Ocean Dipole in 2019

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yan Du ◽  
Yuhong Zhang ◽  
Lian-Yi Zhang ◽  
Tomoki Tozuka ◽  
Wenju Cai
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Indian Ocean Dipole ◽  
Rossby Waves ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Tropical Indian Ocean ◽  
Triggering Mechanism ◽  
Bjerknes Feedback ◽  
Easterly Wind ◽  
Positive Indian Ocean Dipole ◽  
The 1960S

<p>The 2019 positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) was the strongest event since the 1960s which developed independently without coinciding El Niño. The dynamics is not fully understood. Here we show that in March-May, westward propagating oceanic Rossby waves, a remnant consequence of the weak 2018 Pacific warm condition, led to anomalous sea surface temperature warming in the southwest tropical Indian Ocean (TIO), inducing deep convection and anomalous easterly winds along the equator, which triggered the initial cooling in the east. In June-August, the easterly wind anomalies continued to evolve through ocean-atmosphere coupling involving Bjerknes feedback and equatorial nonlinear ocean advection, until its maturity in September-November. This study clarifies the contribution of oceanic Rossby waves in the south TIO in different dynamic settings and reveals a new triggering mechanism for extreme IOD events that will help to understand IOD diversity.</p>

scholarly journals Positive Indian Ocean Dipole events prevent anoxia along coast of India

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Parvathi ◽  
I. Suresh ◽  
Matthieu Lengaigne ◽  
Christian Ethé ◽  
Jérôme Vialard ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Interannual Variability ◽  
Indian Ocean Dipole ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
Low Oxygen ◽  
Easterly Wind ◽  
Positive Indian Ocean Dipole ◽  
Subsurface Waters ◽  
Anoxic Events ◽  
The Indian Ocean

Abstract. The seasonal upwelling along the west coast of India (WCI) brings nutrient-rich, oxygen-poor subsurface waters to the continental shelf, leading to very low oxygen concentrations at shallow depths during late boreal summer and fall. This yearly-recurring coastal hypoxia is sometimes more severe, leading to coastal anoxia that has strong impacts on the living resources. In the present study, we analyze a 1/4°-resolution coupled physical-biogeochemical regional oceanic simulation over the 1960–2012 period to investigate the physical processes influencing oxycline interannual variability off the WCI. Our analysis indicates a tight relationship between the oxycline and thermocline variations along the WCI at both seasonal and interannual timescales, thereby revealing a strong physical control of the WCI oxycline variability. As in observations, our model exhibits a shallow oxycline/thermocline along the WCI during fall that combines with interannual variability to create a window of opportunity for coastal anoxic events at this time of the year. We further demonstrate that boreal fall WCI oxycline fluctuations are strongly related to the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), with an asymmetric influence of positive and negative IOD phases. Positive IODs are associated with easterly wind anomalies near the southern tip of India. These winds force downwelling coastal Kelvin waves that propagate along the WCI and deepen the thermocline and oxycline there, thus preventing the occurrence of coastal anoxia. On the other hand, negative IOD events are associated with WCI thermocline and oxycline anomalies of opposite sign, but of smaller amplitude, and are hence a necessary, but not sufficient condition for coastal anoxia. As the IODs generally start developing in summer, these findings suggest some predictability to the occurrence of WCI coastal anoxia a couple of months ahead.

scholarly journals On the Weakening of Northward Propagation of Intraseasonal Oscillations During Positive Indian Ocean Dipole Events.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aditya Kottapalli ◽  
Vinayachandran P N
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Zonal Wind ◽  
Indian Ocean Dipole ◽  
Monsoon Rainfall ◽  
Equatorial Indian Ocean ◽  
Summer Monsoon Rainfall ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
Positive Indian Ocean Dipole ◽  
Northward Propagation ◽  
Intraseasonal Oscillations

Abstract The northward propagation of intraseasonal oscillations (ISO) is one of the major modes of variability in the tropics during boreal summer, associated with active and break spells of monsoon rainfall over the Indian region, and modulate the Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR). The northward march starts close to the equator over warm waters of the Indian Ocean and continues till the foothills of the Himalayas. The northward propagations tend to be weaker during positive Indian Ocean Dipole (pIOD) years. We have used the "moisture mode" framework to understand the processes responsible for the weakening of northward propagations during IOD years. Our analyses show that moistening caused by the horizontal advection was the major contributor for the northward propagations during negative IOD (nIOD) years, and its amplitude is much smaller during pIOD years. The reduction in the zonal advection during pIOD is responsible for the weakening of northward propagations. Also, the mean structure of entropy between 925hpa – 500hpa levels remained similar over most of the monsoon region across the contrasting IOD years. The reason for weaker northward propagations can be attributed to the weaker zonal wind perturbations at intraseasonal timescales. The weaker zonal wind perturbations during ISO events in pIOD years owing to cooler sea surface temperatures (SST) in the South-East Equatorial Indian Ocean (SEIO) and warmer West Equatorial Indian Ocean (WEIO) and South-East Arabian Sea (SEAS) is proposed to be the possible reason for the weakening of northward propagations during pIOD years.

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