A hybrid ensemble learning-based prediction model to minimise delay in air cargo transport using bagging and stacking

Author(s):  
Rosalin Sahoo ◽  
Ajit Kumar Pasayat ◽  
Bhaskar Bhowmick ◽  
Kiran Fernandes ◽  
Manoj Kumar Tiwari
Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (11) ◽  
pp. 3663
Author(s):  
Zun Shen ◽  
Qingfeng Wu ◽  
Zhi Wang ◽  
Guoyi Chen ◽  
Bin Lin

(1) Background: Diabetic retinopathy, one of the most serious complications of diabetes, is the primary cause of blindness in developed countries. Therefore, the prediction of diabetic retinopathy has a positive impact on its early detection and treatment. The prediction of diabetic retinopathy based on high-dimensional and small-sample-structured datasets (such as biochemical data and physical data) was the problem to be solved in this study. (2) Methods: This study proposed the XGB-Stacking model with the foundation of XGBoost and stacking. First, a wrapped feature selection algorithm, XGBIBS (Improved Backward Search Based on XGBoost), was used to reduce data feature redundancy and improve the effect of a single ensemble learning classifier. Second, in view of the slight limitation of a single classifier, a stacking model fusion method, Sel-Stacking (Select-Stacking), which keeps Label-Proba as the input matrix of meta-classifier and determines the optimal combination of learners by a global search, was used in the XGB-Stacking model. (3) Results: XGBIBS greatly improved the prediction accuracy and the feature reduction rate of a single classifier. Compared to a single classifier, the accuracy of the Sel-Stacking model was improved to varying degrees. Experiments proved that the prediction model of XGB-Stacking based on the XGBIBS algorithm and the Sel-Stacking method made effective predictions on diabetes retinopathy. (4) Conclusion: The XGB-Stacking prediction model of diabetic retinopathy based on biochemical and physical data had outstanding performance. This is highly significant to improve the screening efficiency of diabetes retinopathy and reduce the cost of diagnosis.


2021 ◽  
Vol 292 ◽  
pp. 01015
Author(s):  
Jinmei Ge

The business cycle of the Air cargo in China is investigated in this paper. Both the composite indicator (CI) and the diffusion indicator (DI) are derived and the benchmark date is determined. The composite index is synthesized by 10 indicators using correlation analysis and the method of NBER. Then the spectral method is adopted in use of the CI to identify the the major cycle of air cargo in China. By the CI, there is a major cycle with the length of 3,6 years. The major cycle of air cargo in China keeps pace with the the global trade fluctuation. The cycle of air cargo of China is compared with the United States, and the railway cargo of China. The author finds out that the major cycle of the air cargo is basically consistent with the USA in the same period. Combined with the prosperity index, it illustrates that the growth of air cargo in China will reach a peak in around 2021-2022, considering the growth of global trade and the leading prosperity index.


Author(s):  
Erdem Agbas ◽  
Ali Osman Kusakci

Air cargo transport is a growing industry in parallel with the growth in world trade and e-commerce. The global air cargo transport traffic getting busier, the importance of timely loading with minimum error is increasing. Therefore, digitalization of the air cargo loading process is needed. Assignment of Unit Load Devices (ULDs) to the specific positions on the freighter is performed by loadmasters by manual or semi-manual methods. This study aims to design a simulation model, which performs the ULD assignment automatically by simulating the loading process performed by the experienced loadmasters under the weight and balance constraints. The SEMMA (sample, explore, modify, model, assess) model is used while generating the simulation model. Fifty real-world loading orders were used to assess the performance of the model. The ULD assignment process by the simulation model and the loadmasters using semi-manual loading were compared with regard to time and center of gravity performance indicators. The results demonstrated that the simulation model can load all the given sets of ULDs, as efficiently as a loadmaster with a similar center of gravity in a shorter period of time. In conclusion, the proposed simulation model provides an efficient solution to the ULD assignment problem. However, the base model generated may be improved to address various real-world scenarios


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