Is China’s economic growth profit-led or wage-led? A re-estimation incorporating investment nonlinearity, sectoral change, and regional disparity

Author(s):  
Dun Liu
Author(s):  
Yi Sun ◽  
Chengjin Xu ◽  
Hailing Zhang ◽  
Zheng Wang

Purpose Climate change will have a significant impact on China’s potential agricultural production and change the distribution of the population in various regions of China, thus producing population migration. This paper aims to analyze China’s population migration in response to climate change and its socio-economic impact. Design/methodology/approach In this paper, the Potential Agriculture Production Index is introduced as an analytical tool with which to estimate the scale of the population migration induced by climate change. Also, this paper constructs a multi-regional computable general equilibrium (CGE) model and analyzes the effect of change in the population distribution pattern on regional economies, regional disparity and resident welfare. Findings The key finding of this paper is that, as a result of changes in potential agricultural production induced by climate change, the Circum-Bohai-Sea region, the industrialized region and the industrializing region, which are the main destination regions of the migrating population, will face a severe labor shortage. In response to population migration, the economic growth rate of the immigrating population regions has accelerated. Correspondingly, the economic growth rate of the emigrating population regions has decreased. In addition, the larger the scale of population migration is, the larger the economic impact is. Migration increases inner-regional disparity and decreases inter-regional disparity. However, overall regional disparity is only somewhat decreased. Originality/value This paper introduces a Potential Agriculture Production Index to estimate the scale of the population migration and introduce a multi-regional CGE model to analyze the correlated social-economic impacts.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 127
Author(s):  
Sawssen Nafti ◽  
Fatma Mrad ◽  
Ahlem Boubker

The present paper attempts to know if inclusive growth in Tunisia after revolution is a solution to poverty, social inequality and regional disparity or not. Firstly, by analyzing the concept of poverty and equality in Tunisia. Then via the determination of causes of unemployment and regional disparity. Finally through the study of the nexus relationship between economic growth, poverty reducing.According to our analysis, some issues necessed short-term solutions, others require a more long-term or structural change.In the long term, inclusive growth strategy could be adopted, providing for investment especially in infrastructure and public services and reducing regional disparity.


Author(s):  
Muthumurugan. P ◽  
Ganesasubramanian. R

<div><p><em>Regional disparity is a crucial problem. It has attained so much of concern from classical economists to recent development researchers and that has been creating more dilemmas among the planners to make plan for reducing the imbalances. Hitherto in India most of the studies have been identified the backwardness across the nations as well as states by different development index analysis and these studies were more ideal in the sense of disparity and they are found to be giving no clear picture about regional disparities and were not comprehensive in nature but only isolated manner. Within this premises, this paper tries to make an attempt to analyze the trend in regional economic disparities in economic growth of Southern states in India during the post reform period from 1991-92 to 2011-12 by measure of Hauser’s Index of relative economic growth.</em></p></div>


2007 ◽  
Vol 158 (12) ◽  
pp. 382-393
Author(s):  
Benjamin Buser

The regional economic development in Switzerland has taken different courses over the past 50 years. Peripheral and well-wooded regions have regressed, while regional disparity has increased. Currently, large sawmills are being intensively discussed as a development potential for such regions. In fact, such facilities release important economic impulses and can induce new economic growth. However, these facilities are not established within the periphery itself, but within centers close to the periphery. Therefore, state support for these establishments should focus on the creation of ideal conditions for the market.


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 4244
Author(s):  
Yong Bian ◽  
Zhi Yu ◽  
Xuelan Zeng ◽  
Jingchun Feng ◽  
Chao He

As China is the largest greenhouse gas emitter and has the characteristics of significant regional disparity, the issue of regional low-carbon development strategy is of vital importance for the achievement of the country’s long-term emission targets. This work focused on China’s long-term carbon emission abatement from the perspective of regional disparity. We firstly analyzed the national emission trajectories consistent with the current Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDCs), 2 °C, and 1.5 °C goals in two economic growth pathways by 2050 using a linear programming model, then classified the provinces into three categories, and compared results of different scenarios of regional disparity patterns, economic growth rates, and emission targets. Results showed that different regional patterns led to different required carbon reduction targets for all categories, and the regional emission reduction measures had to be stronger in a higher growth rate or a more stringent emission target, especially for the developed areas. A scheme of regionally coordinated low-carbon development was then recommended for the formulation of long-term regional emission targets, and carbon reduction strategies for categories were proposed in terms of energy mix optimization, industrial transformation, and technology innovation, which is of great policy implication for China in regional development and national emission targets enhancement.


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