Current and future projections of flood risk dynamics under seasonal precipitation regimes in the Hyrcanian Forest region

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-18
Author(s):  
Quoc Bao Pham ◽  
Subodh Chandra Pal ◽  
Asish Saha ◽  
Indrajit Chowdhuri ◽  
Jasem A Albanai ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Flood Risk ◽  
Seasonal Precipitation ◽  
Hyrcanian Forest ◽  
Future Projections ◽  
Forest Region ◽  
Precipitation Regimes ◽  
Risk Dynamics

scholarly journals Socio-hydrological modelling of flood-risk dynamics: comparing the resilience of green and technological systems

2017 ◽  
Vol 62 (6) ◽  
pp. 880-891 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alessio Ciullo ◽  
Alberto Viglione ◽  
Attilio Castellarin ◽  
Massimiliano Crisci ◽  
Giuliano Di Baldassarre
Keyword(s):  
Flood Risk ◽  
Hydrological Modelling ◽  
Technological Systems ◽  
Risk Dynamics

scholarly journals Optimal Ranking Regime Analysis of Intra- to Multidecadal U.S. Climate Variability. Part II: Precipitation and Streamflow*

2014 ◽  
Vol 27 (24) ◽  
pp. 9027-9049 ◽  
Author(s):  
Steven A. Mauget ◽  
Eugene C. Cordero
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Climate Variability ◽  
Analysis Data ◽  
Annual Precipitation ◽  
Climatic Data ◽  
Multiple Time ◽  
Seasonal Precipitation ◽  
Eastern United States ◽  
Precipitation Regimes ◽  
Optimal Ranking

Abstract In Part I of this paper, the optimal ranking regime (ORR) method was used to identify intradecadal to multidecadal (IMD) regimes in U.S. climate division temperature data during 1896–2012. Here, the method is used to test for annual and seasonal precipitation regimes during that same period. Water-year mean streamflow rankings at 125 U.S. Hydro-Climatic Data Network gauge stations are also evaluated during 1939–2011. The precipitation and streamflow regimes identified are compared with ORR-derived regimes in the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO), the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO), and indices derived from gridded SST anomaly (SSTA) analysis data. Using a graphic display approach that allows for the comparison of IMD climate regimes in multiple time series, an interdecadal cycle in western precipitation is apparent after 1980, as is a similar cycle in northwestern streamflow. Before 1980, IMD regimes in northwestern streamflow and annual precipitation are in approximate antiphase with the PDO. One of the clearest IMD climate signals found in this analysis are post-1970 wet regimes in eastern U.S streamflow and annual precipitation, as well as in fall [September–November (SON)] precipitation. Pearson correlations between time series of annual and seasonal precipitation averaged over the eastern United States and SSTA analysis data show relatively extensive positive correlations between warming tropical SSTA and increasing fall precipitation. The possible Pacific and northern Atlantic roots of the recent eastern U.S. wet regime, as well as the general characteristics of U.S. climate variability in recent decades that emerge from this analysis and that of Part I, are discussed.

scholarly journals Capturing flood-risk dynamics with a coupled agent-based and hydraulic modelling framework

2020 ◽  
Vol 65 (9) ◽  
pp. 1458-1473
Author(s):  
Tamara Michaelis ◽  
Luigia Brandimarte ◽  
Maurizio Mazzoleni
Keyword(s):  
Flood Risk ◽  
Hydraulic Modelling ◽  
Agent Based ◽  
Modelling Framework ◽  
Risk Dynamics

scholarly journals SAZONALIDADE DA PRECIPITAÇÃO SOBRE A AMAZÔNIA LEGAL BRASILEIRA: CLIMA ATUAL E PROJEÇÕES FUTURAS USANDO O MODELO REGCM4 (SEASONAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE BRAZILIAN LEGAL AMAZON: CLIMATE CURRENT AND FUTURE PROJECTIONS USING REGCM4 MODEL)

2016 ◽  
Vol 18 ◽  
Author(s):  
Everaldo Barreiros De Souza ◽  
Alexandre Melo Casseb Carmo ◽  
Bergson Cavalcante Moares ◽  
Adelaide Nacif ◽  
Douglas Batista da Silva Ferreira ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Seasonal Precipitation ◽  
Mato Grosso ◽  
Future Projections ◽  
Ipcc Ar4

Um downscaling dinâmico usando o modelo regional RegCM4 aninhado ao modelo global HadGEM2 com cenário RCP45 do IPCC-AR4 foi conduzido para a Amazônia, com a finalidade de investigar os aspectos regionais da precipitação sazonal durante o clima atual (últimos 25 anos, 1989/2013) e clima futuro (próximos 25 anos, 2015/2039). As simulações para o clima atual indicaram que o modelo regional é capaz de simular as principais características da variabilidade espacial da precipitação nos quatro trimestres ao longo do ano, contudo apresenta erros sistemáticos ao longo da região, especialmente a subestimativa de precipitação na porção nordeste da Amazônia (Amapá e norte/nordeste do Pará) no período chuvoso. As projeções regionais mostram que as mudanças mais expressivas no clima futuro devem ocorrer no setor sudeste/leste da Amazônia com indicações de reduções de até 30% no volume de chuva do trimestre JJA numa grande área que abrange o norte do Mato Grosso e Tocantins, sudeste do Pará e leste do Maranhão.

The potential impact of future climate on the distribution of European yew (Taxus baccata L.) in the Hyrcanian Forest region (Iran)

2020 ◽  
Vol 64 (9) ◽  
pp. 1451-1462 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kourosh Ahmadi ◽  
Seyed Jalil Alavi ◽  
Ghavamudin Zahedi Amiri ◽  
Seyed Mohsen Hosseini ◽  
Josep M. Serra-Diaz ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Future Climate ◽  
Taxus Baccata ◽  
Hyrcanian Forest ◽  
Forest Region ◽  
Potential Impact ◽  
European Yew
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