scholarly journals Understanding user needs: a practice-based approach to exploring the role of weather and sea ice services in European Arctic expedition cruising

2018 ◽  
Vol 41 (4) ◽  
pp. 262-278 ◽  
Author(s):  
Machiel Lamers ◽  
Paula Duske ◽  
Linde van Bets
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
User Needs ◽  
European Arctic

ICEWISE: A game to test the effects of sea ice forecast reliability on voyage planners’ confidence

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Berill Blair ◽  
Malte Muller ◽  
Cyril Palerme ◽  
Rayne Blair ◽  
David Crookall ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Service Providers ◽  
Self Report ◽  
Simulation Game ◽  
Arctic Seas ◽  
Climate Services ◽  
Novel Approach ◽  
Participatory Simulation ◽  
European Arctic

<p>A group of scientists in a multi-national consortium have worked together to improve climate services for maritime actors in Arctic waters. The consortium under the project Enhancing the Saliency of climate services for marine mobility Sectors in European Arctic Seas (SALIENSEAS) running 2017-2020, has aimed to coproduce improved (sub)seasonal sea ice forecast and iceberg detection services. The project involved metservice experts and end users to collaboratively explore ways in which forecast services can reduce uncertainties for stakeholders.</p><p>However, direct questioning about perceived risks and uncertainties during operations do not always lend themselves well to traditional inquiries such as self-report surveys. Stakeholders can and do experience difficulty accurately recalling and rating past perceptions and connecting them to varying environmental conditions. As an alternative, experiential approaches such as participatory simulation are able to furnish a reliable environment that facilitates replication, experimenting and learning.</p><p>We present a novel approach with which to explore effects from the reliability of sub-seasonal sea ice forecasts on the user’s perception of uncertainties. Our methods combine anticipatory methods through the use of scenarios with participatory simulation in a computerized simulation/game called ICEWISE. In our paper we will:</p><ul><li>introduce the game and the newly developed seasonal sea ice forecast</li> <li>present results from a gaming workshop conducted with experts in Arctic marine operations</li> <li>discuss the role of full and structured debriefing in maximizing the learning that takes place during gaming sessions</li> </ul><p>To conclude, we reflect on the upcoming stages of data collection, which will culminate in an exploratory model. The model will serve to inform sea ice service providers about the potential mediating effects deriving from the reliability of sea ice forecasts on the user’s own perceived confidence in successful voyage planning.   </p>

Trends in Arctic sea ice and the role of atmospheric circulation

2013 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 97-101 ◽  
Author(s):  
Masayo Ogi ◽  
Ignatius G. Rigor
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Atmospheric Circulation ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
Arctic Sea

scholarly journals On the effect of rheology on seasonal sea-ice simulations

1991 ◽  
Vol 15 ◽  
pp. 17-25 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chi F. Ip ◽  
William D. Hibler ◽  
Gregory M. Flato
Keyword(s):  
Shear Stress ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Correlation Coefficients ◽  
Arctic Basin ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Flow Rule ◽  
Average Model ◽  
Ice Drift ◽  
Cavitating Fluid

A generalized numerical model which allows for a variety of non-linear rheologies is developed for the seasonal simulation of sea-ice circulation and thickness. The model is used to investigate the effects (such as the role of shear stress and the existence of a flow rule) of different rheologies on the ice-drift pattern and build-up in the Arctic Basin. Differences in local drift seem to be closely related to the amount of allowable shear stress. Similarities are found between the elliptical and square cases and between the Mohr-Coulomb and cavitating fluid cases. Comparisons between observed and simulated buoy drift are made for several buoy tracks in the Arctic Basin. Correlation coefficients to the observed buoy drift range from 0.83 for the cavitating fluid to 0.86 for the square rheology. The average ratio of buoy-drift distance to average model-drift distance for several buoys is 1.15 (square), 1.18 (elliptical), 1.30 (Mohr-Coulomb) and 1.40 (cavitating fluid).

Influence of Nordic Seas dynamics on the Atlantic Water propagation and its impacts on sea ice concentration.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sourav Chatterjee ◽  
Roshin P Raj ◽  
Laurent Bertino ◽  
Nuncio Murukesh
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Deep Water ◽  
Atlantic Water ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Deep Water Formation ◽  
Sea Ice Concentration ◽  
Nordic Seas ◽  
Ice Concentration ◽  
Water Formation

<p>Enhanced intrusion of warm and saline Atlantic Water (AW) to the Arctic Ocean (AO) in recent years has drawn wide interest of the scientific community owing to its potential role in ‘Arctic Amplification’. Not only the AW has warmed over the last few decades , but its transfer efficiency have also undergone significant modifications due to changes in atmosphere and ocean dynamics at regional to large scales. The Nordic Seas (NS), in this regard, play a vital role as the major exchange of polar and sub-polar waters takes place in this region. Further, the AW and its significant modification on its way to AO via the Nordic Seas has large scale implications on e.g., deep water formation, air-sea heat fluxes. Previous studies have suggested that a change in the sub-polar gyre dynamics in the North Atlantic controls the AW anomalies that enter the NS and eventually end up in the AO. However, the role of NS dynamics in resulting in the modifications of these AW anomalies are not well studied. Here in this study, we show that the Nordic Seas are not only a passive conduit of AW anomalies but the ocean circulations in the Nordic Seas, particularly the Greenland Sea Gyre (GSG) circulation can significantly change the AW characteristics between the entry and exit point of AW in the NS. Further, it is shown that the change in GSG circulation can modify the AW heat distribution in the Nordic Seas and can potentially influence the sea ice concentration therein. Projected enhanced atmospheric forcing in the NS in a warming Arctic scenario and the warming trend of the AW can amplify the role of NS circulation in AW propagation and its impact on sea ice, freshwater budget and deep water formation.</p>

Arctic sea ice variability and trends in the last four decades: role of ocean-atmospheric forcing

2021 ◽  
pp. 301-324
Author(s):  
Avinash Kumar ◽  
Juhi Yadav ◽  
Rohit Srivastava ◽  
Rahul Mohan
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
Atmospheric Forcing ◽  
Arctic Sea

2. The physical environment

2021 ◽  
pp. 14-38
Author(s):  
Klaus Dodds ◽  
Jamie Woodward
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Physical Environment ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Far North ◽  
Sea Ice Decline ◽  
Antarctic Continent ◽  
Polar Opposite ◽  
The Antarctic

‘The physical environment’ describes the Arctic as the polar opposite of the Antarctic continent as it is an ocean semi-enclosed by land. The rocks of the Arctic record key periods in Earth history. The Arctic environment has had an interesting path of evolution. Why is the Arctic cold today? The polar latitudes actually receive less solar energy than the rest of the Earth's surface. What is the key role of sea ice in the Arctic climate system? How does sea ice decline impact upon the Arctic Ocean? The Greenland ice sheet, high latitude glaciers, and the importance of permafrost in the far north are also important topics related to the physical environment.

scholarly journals The role of cyclone activity in snow accumulation on Arctic sea ice

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
M. A. Webster ◽  
C. Parker ◽  
L. Boisvert ◽  
R. Kwok
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Snow Accumulation ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
Surface Energy Budget ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Cyclone Activity ◽  
In Situ Data ◽  
Arctic Sea ◽  
Spatio Temporal

AbstractIdentifying the mechanisms controlling the timing and magnitude of snow accumulation on sea ice is crucial for understanding snow’s net effect on the surface energy budget and sea-ice mass balance. Here, we analyze the role of cyclone activity on the seasonal buildup of snow on Arctic sea ice using model, satellite, and in situ data over 1979–2016. On average, 44% of the variability in monthly snow accumulation was controlled by cyclone snowfall and 29% by sea-ice freeze-up. However, there were strong spatio-temporal differences. Cyclone snowfall comprised ~50% of total snowfall in the Pacific compared to 83% in the Atlantic. While cyclones are stronger in the Atlantic, Pacific snow accumulation is more sensitive to cyclone strength. These findings highlight the heterogeneity in atmosphere-snow-ice interactions across the Arctic, and emphasize the need to scrutinize mechanisms governing cyclone activity to better understand their effects on the Arctic snow-ice system with anthropogenic warming.

scholarly journals Antarctic Sea Ice Control on the Depth of North Atlantic Deep Water

2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (9) ◽  
pp. 2537-2551 ◽  
Author(s):  
Louis-Philippe Nadeau ◽  
Raffaele Ferrari ◽  
Malte F. Jansen
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Deep Water ◽  
Formation Rate ◽  
Deep Ocean ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Ice Formation ◽  
Overturning Circulation ◽  
Antarctic Sea Ice ◽  
Meridional Overturning

Abstract Changes in deep-ocean circulation and stratification have been argued to contribute to climatic shifts between glacial and interglacial climates by affecting the atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations. It has been recently proposed that such changes are associated with variations in Antarctic sea ice through two possible mechanisms: an increased latitudinal extent of Antarctic sea ice and an increased rate of Antarctic sea ice formation. Both mechanisms lead to an upward shift of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) above depths where diapycnal mixing is strong (above 2000 m), thus decoupling the AMOC from the abyssal overturning circulation. Here, these two hypotheses are tested using a series of idealized two-basin ocean simulations. To investigate independently the effect of an increased latitudinal ice extent from the effect of an increased ice formation rate, sea ice is parameterized as a latitude strip over which the buoyancy flux is negative. The results suggest that both mechanisms can effectively decouple the two cells of the meridional overturning circulation (MOC), and that their effects are additive. To illustrate the role of Antarctic sea ice in decoupling the AMOC and the abyssal overturning cell, the age of deep-water masses is estimated. An increase in both the sea ice extent and its formation rate yields a dramatic “aging” of deep-water masses if the sea ice is thick and acts as a lid, suppressing air–sea fluxes. The key role of vertical mixing is highlighted by comparing results using different profiles of vertical diffusivity. The implications of an increase in water mass ages for storing carbon in the deep ocean are discussed.

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