scholarly journals Macroseismic intensity attenuation equations for Central Asia earthquakes

2021 ◽  
Vol 929 (1) ◽  
pp. 012029
Author(s):  
T U Artikov ◽  
R S Ibragimov ◽  
T L Ibragimova ◽  
M A Mirzaev
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Central Asia ◽  
Seismic Intensity ◽  
Macroseismic Intensity ◽  
Earthquake Magnitude ◽  
Source Depth ◽  
Strong Earthquakes ◽  
Intensity Attenuation ◽  
Hazard Assessments ◽  
Macroseismic Survey

Abstract Based on macroseismic survey data for strong earthquakes in Central Asia, the coefficients of attenuation of seismic intensities with distance in the Blake-Shebalin- and Kovesligethy -type equations were refined. A new generalized dependence of macroseismic intensity attenuation on distance, taking into account the depth of the earthquake hypocentre, were obtained. Relations between the minor and major axes of the ellipse approximating real isoseists depending on the shaking strength, source depth and earthquake magnitude were found. With the example of the territory of eastern Uzbekistan, the influence of the choice of the law of seismic intensity attenuation with distance on the obtained seismic hazard assessments is investigated.

scholarly journals Models of the macroseismic field earthquakes and their influence on seismic hazard assessment values for Central Asia

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 606-623
Author(s):  
T. U. Artikov ◽  
R. S. Ibragimov ◽  
T. L. Ibragimova ◽  
M. A. Mirzaev
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Central Asia ◽  
Hazard Assessment ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Seismic Intensity ◽  
Seismic Load ◽  
Macroseismic Data ◽  
Intensity Attenuation ◽  
Macroseismic Field ◽  
Macroseismic Scale

Seismic intensity assessment in points of a macroseismic scale plays an important role for researching the seismic history of areas characterized by active seismicity, as well as for construction (and updating) of seismic zoning maps in various scales. Macroseismic scale points are generally referred to in construction standards applied in the majority of post-Soviet states. In our study aimed to model the macroseismic field of earthquakes, a large volume of macroseismic data on Central Asia was analyzed, and coefficients used in Blake–Shebalin and Covesligeti equations were aligned. This article presents a generalized dependence model of macroseismic intensity attenuation with distance. The model takes into account seismic load features determined by various depths of earthquakes. The ratios of small and big axes of the ellipse, that approximates real isoseists, are estimated with respect to seismic scale points, earthquake depths and magnitudes. The East Uzbekistan area is studied as an example to investigate whether seismic hazard assessment values may differ depending on a chosen law of seismic influence intensity attenuation with distance.

scholarly journals New Perspectives in the Definition/Evaluation of Seismic Hazard through Analysis of the Environmental Effects Induced by Earthquakes

Geosciences ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 58 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sabina Porfido ◽  
Giuliana Alessio ◽  
Germana Gaudiosi ◽  
Rosa Nappi
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Environmental Effects ◽  
State Of The Art ◽  
Seismic Intensity ◽  
Seismic Hazards ◽  
Special Issue ◽  
Strong Earthquakes ◽  
Innovative Methods ◽  
Esi Scale ◽  
Earthquake Environmental Effects

The application of the Environmental Seismic Intensity (ESI) scale 2007 to moderate and strong earthquakes, in different geological context all over the word, highlights the importance of Earthquake Environmental Effects (EEEs) for the assessment of seismic hazards. This Special Issue “New Perspectives in the Definition/Evaluation of Seismic Hazard through Analysis of the Environmental Effects Induced by Earthquakes” presents a collection of scientific contributions that provide a sample of the state-of-the-art in this field. Moreover the collected papers also analyze new data produced with multi-disciplinary and innovative methods essential for development of new seismic hazard models.

scholarly journals Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment for Central Asia

2015 ◽  
Vol 58 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Shahid Ullah ◽  
Dino Bindi ◽  
Marco Pilz ◽  
Laurentiu Danciu ◽  
Graeme Weatherill ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Central Asia ◽  
Hazard Assessment ◽  
Return Period ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Macroseismic Intensity ◽  
Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Probabilistic Seismic Hazard ◽  
Earthquake Model ◽  
Mean Return Period

<p>Central Asia is one of the seismically most active regions in the world. Its complex seismicity due to the collision of the Eurasian and Indian plates has resulted in some of the world’s largest intra-plate events over history. The region is dominated by reverse faulting over strike slip and normal faulting events. The GSHAP project (1999), aiming at a hazard assessment on a global scale, indicated that the region of Central Asia is characterized by peak ground accelerations for 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years as high as 9 m/s<sup>2</sup>. In this study, carried out within the framework of the EMCA project (Earthquake Model Central Asia), the area source model and different kernel approaches are used for a probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA) for Central Asia. The seismic hazard is assessed considering shallow (depth &lt; 50 km) seismicity only and employs an updated (with respect to previous projects) earthquake catalog for the region. The seismic hazard is calculated in terms of macroseismic intensity (MSK-64), intended to be used for the seismic risk maps of the region. The hazard maps, shown in terms of 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years, are derived by using the OpenQuake software [Pagani et al. 2014], which is an open source software tool developed by the GEM (Global Earthquake Model) foundation. The maximum hazard observed in the region reaches an intensity of around 8 in southern Tien Shan for 475 years mean return period. The maximum hazard estimated for some of the cities in the region, Bishkek, Dushanbe, Tashkent and Almaty, is between 7 and 8 (7-8), 8.0, 7.0 and 8.0 macroseismic Intensity, respectively, for 475 years mean return period, using different approaches. The results of different methods for assessing the level of seismic hazard are compared and their underlying methodologies are discussed.</p>

Application of the bootstrap method to quantify uncertainty in seismic hazard estimates

1992 ◽  
Vol 82 (1) ◽  
pp. 104-119
Author(s):  
Michéle Lamarre ◽  
Brent Townshend ◽  
Haresh C. Shah
Keyword(s):  
Confidence Interval ◽  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Statistical Method ◽  
Bootstrap Method ◽  
Earthquake Magnitude ◽  
Earthquake Catalog ◽  
Uncertainty Measure ◽  
Attenuation Models ◽  
The Bootstrap Method

Abstract This paper describes a methodology to assess the uncertainty in seismic hazard estimates at particular sites. A variant of the bootstrap statistical method is used to combine the uncertainty due to earthquake catalog incompleteness, earthquake magnitude, and recurrence and attenuation models used. The uncertainty measure is provided in the form of a confidence interval. Comparisons of this method applied to various sites in California with previous studies are used to confirm the validity of the method.

scholarly journals 3-D visualisation of palaeoseismic trench stratigraphy and trench logging using terrestrial remote sensing and GPR – a multiparametric interpretation

Solid Earth ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 323-340 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sascha Schneiderwind ◽  
Jack Mason ◽  
Thomas Wiatr ◽  
Ioannis Papanikolaou ◽  
Klaus Reicherter
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Near Infrared ◽  
Normal Faults ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Backscatter Signal ◽  
Multispectral Data ◽  
Sedimentary Architecture ◽  
Hazard Assessments ◽  
Multispectral Analysis

Abstract. Two normal faults on the island of Crete and mainland Greece were studied to test an innovative workflow with the goal of obtaining a more objective palaeoseismic trench log, and a 3-D view of the sedimentary architecture within the trench walls. Sedimentary feature geometries in palaeoseismic trenches are related to palaeoearthquake magnitudes which are used in seismic hazard assessments. If the geometry of these sedimentary features can be more representatively measured, seismic hazard assessments can be improved. In this study more representative measurements of sedimentary features are achieved by combining classical palaeoseismic trenching techniques with multispectral approaches. A conventional trench log was firstly compared to results of ISO (iterative self-organising) cluster analysis of a true colour photomosaic representing the spectrum of visible light. Photomosaic acquisition disadvantages (e.g. illumination) were addressed by complementing the data set with active near-infrared backscatter signal image from t-LiDAR measurements. The multispectral analysis shows that distinct layers can be identified and it compares well with the conventional trench log. According to this, a distinction of adjacent stratigraphic units was enabled by their particular multispectral composition signature. Based on the trench log, a 3-D interpretation of attached 2-D ground-penetrating radar (GPR) profiles collected on the vertical trench wall was then possible. This is highly beneficial for measuring representative layer thicknesses, displacements, and geometries at depth within the trench wall. Thus, misinterpretation due to cutting effects is minimised. This manuscript combines multiparametric approaches and shows (i) how a 3-D visualisation of palaeoseismic trench stratigraphy and logging can be accomplished by combining t-LiDAR and GPR techniques, and (ii) how a multispectral digital analysis can offer additional advantages to interpret palaeoseismic and stratigraphic data. The multispectral data sets are stored allowing unbiased input for future (re)investigations.

scholarly journals The intensity attenuation of Colfiorito and other strong earthquakes: the viewpoint of forecasters and data gatherers

2009 ◽  
Vol 51 (2-3) ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Rotondi ◽  
A. Tertulliani ◽  
C. Brambilla ◽  
G. Zonno
Keyword(s):  
Strong Earthquakes ◽  
Intensity Attenuation

scholarly journals KAMCHATKA AND COMMANDER ISLANDS

2020 ◽  
pp. 172-182
Author(s):  
D. Chebrov ◽  
A. Chebrova ◽  
I. Abubakirov ◽  
E. Matveenko ◽  
S. Mityushkina ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Moment Tensor ◽  
Seismic Intensity ◽  
Earthquake Catalogue ◽  
Seismic Moment Tensor ◽  
Magnitude Of Completeness ◽  
Commander Islands ◽  
Strong Earthquakes ◽  
Double Couple ◽  
Kamchatka Earthquake ◽  
Surrounding Areas

The seismicity review of Kamchatka and surrounding territories for 2014 is given. In Kamchatka earthquake catalogue minimum local magnitude of completeness is MLmin=3.5, and for earthquakes under the Okhotsk sea with h≥350 kmMLmin=3.6. The Kamchatka earthquake catalogue for 2014 with ML3.5, published in the Appendix to this annual, includes 1114 events. 86 earthquakes of the catalogue with ML=3.35–6.2 were felt in Kamchatka and surrounding areas with seismic intensity I ranged from 2 to 5 according the MSK-64 scale. For all events with ML5.0 occurred in the area of responsibility of the KB GS RAS in 2014, an attempt to calculate the seismic moment tensor (SMT) was made. There are 40 such events in the regional catalogue. For 36 earthquakes, the SMT and depth h of the equivalent point source were calculated successfully. The calcu-lations were performed for the SMT double-couple model using a nonlinear algorithm. In 2014, a typical location of the earthquake epicenters was observed in the Kamchatka zone. In 2014, the seismicity level in all selected zones and in the region as a whole corresponded to the background one according to the “SESL’09” scale. The number of recorded events with ML3.6 and strong earthquakes with ML5.1 is close to the average annual value. Anomalous and outstanding events were not recorded.

scholarly journals Identification of Precursory Anomalies before Moderate-strong Earthquakes in Junction of Shanxi-Hebei-Inner Mongolia Area

2020 ◽  
Vol 206 ◽  
pp. 01011
Author(s):  
Li Hong
Keyword(s):  
Standard Deviation ◽  
Inner Mongolia ◽  
Strong Earthquake ◽  
Earthquake Magnitude ◽  
Parameter Analysis ◽  
Time Interval ◽  
Study Region ◽  
Strong Earthquakes ◽  
Spectrum Method ◽  
Prediction Efficiency

In this paper, we take the Junction of Shanxi-Hebei-Inner Mongolia area as study region using earthquake corresponding relevancy spectrum method (ECRS method) to identify comprehensive precursory anomalies before moderate-strong earthquake. On base of single-parameter relevancy spectrum database with target earthquake magnitude as Ms4.7 and initial earthquake magnitude as Ms1, we carry on multi-parameter analysis and find that result with time interval of 9 months and anomaly threshold with 0.40 times standard deviation has better prediction efficiency. Its anomaly corresponding rate and earthquake corresponding rate are 6/10 and 9/9 respectively.

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