Electronic phenotyping of heart failure from a national clinical information database

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
M Nakayama ◽  
R Inoue

Abstract Introduction A database of clinical information collected from several medical institutions, including national university hospitals and private hospital groups, and the medical information database network, MID-NET, have been available to the public in Japan since 2018. To analyse clinical events, i.e., to perform electronic phenotyping, it is important to extract data from clinical information correctly, combine multiple pieces of information, and define the target disease. Herein, we investigated a study to find patients with heart failure and validated our findings using MID-NET data. Methods A criterion to describe heart failure cases was determined according to clinical guidelines released by the Japanese Circulation Society. The data studied were based on records from April 1–December 31, 2013. The initial rule was based on disease names, examinations, and medications pertaining to heart failure. We extracted and analysed clinical data from MID-NET and found patients with heart failure. Two doctors, including a cardiologist, reviewed the medical records and verified the legitimacy of the cases, following which we calculated precision and recall rates. Next, we examined a method to identify factors to extract true cases correctly using machine learning with XGBoost in R. Results A total of 5,282 cases extracted via disease names were related to heart failure. Of these, 2,799 cases corresponding to the initial rule were retrieved, and 200 cases were randomly sampled and assessed. A total of 70 cases were found to be true. Thus, a precision rate of 0.350 and a recall rate of 0.912 were determined. A machine learning method revealed the correlation of heart failure with several factors, including the serum b-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) value, link between commencement date of the disease and actual hospitalization date, and medications for the treatment of heart failure. Using this data, we could determine the conditions contributing to improving the validity of the cases with heart failure. In this manner, patient cases were extracted using the disease name as it is related to heart failure and hospitalisation within two weeks after the commencement date of the disease. Furthermore, the candidates were categorised into three groups according to serum BNP values (high, middle, and low ranges). The high group was labelled “heart failure”, and the low group was excluded. In the middle group, candidates were additionally categorised according to their prescribed medication for heart failure. Our analysis indicated that the precision rate increased to 0.878 while the recall rate decreased to 0.697. The F-measure also increased from 0.506 to 0.777. Conclusions To find target cases from a large clinical database, precise electronic phenotyping is required. A machine learning method can enable accurate identification of patients with heart failure. Leveraging large amounts of clinical data may be beneficial for medical research progress. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development

Author(s):  
Masaharu Nakayama ◽  
Ryusuke Inoue

Heart failure (HF) is a grave problem in the clinical and public health sectors. The aim of this study is to develop a phenotyping algorithm to identify patients with HF by using the medical information database network (MID-NET) in Japan. Methods: From April 1 to December 31, 2013, clinical data of patients with HF were obtained from MID-NET. A phenotyping algorithm was developed with machine learning by using disease names, examinations, and medications. Two doctors validated the cases by manually reviewing the medical records according to the Japanese HF guidelines. The algorithm was also validated with different cohorts from an inpatient database of the Department of Cardiovascular Medicine at Tohoku University Hospital. Results: The algorithm, which initially had low precision, was improved by incorporating the value of B-type natriuretic peptide and the combination of medications related to HF. Finally, the algorithm on a different cohort was verified with higher precision (35.0% → 87.8%). Conclusions: Proper algorithms can be used to identify patients with HF.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yan Gao ◽  
Xueke Bai ◽  
Jiapeng Lu ◽  
Lihua Zhang ◽  
Xiaofang Yan ◽  
...  

Background: Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is increasingly recognized as a major global public health burden and lacks effective risk stratification. We aimed to assess a multi-biomarker model in improving risk prediction in HFpEF.Methods: We analyzed 18 biomarkers from the main pathophysiological domains of HF in 380 patients hospitalized for HFpEF from a prospective cohort. The association between these biomarkers and 2-year risk of all-cause death was assessed by Cox proportional hazards model. Support vector machine (SVM), a supervised machine learning method, was used to develop a prediction model of 2-year all-cause and cardiovascular death using a combination of 18 biomarkers and clinical indicators. The improvement of this model was evaluated by c-statistics, net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI).Results: The median age of patients was 71-years, and 50.5% were female. Multiple biomarkers independently predicted the 2-year risk of death in Cox regression model, including N-terminal pro B-type brain-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-TnT), growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15), tumor necrosis factor-α (TNFα), endoglin, and 3 biomarkers of extracellular matrix turnover [tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinases (TIMP)-1, matrix metalloproteinase (MMP)-2, and MMP-9) (FDR < 0.05). The SVM model effectively predicted the 2-year risk of all-cause death in patients with acute HFpEF in training set (AUC 0.834, 95% CI: 0.771–0.895) and validation set (AUC 0.798, 95% CI: 0.719–0.877). The NRI and IDI indicated that the SVM model significantly improved patient classification compared to the reference model in both sets (p < 0.05).Conclusions: Multiple circulating biomarkers coupled with an appropriate machine-learning method could effectively predict the risk of long-term mortality in patients with acute HFpEF. It is a promising strategy for improving risk stratification in HFpEF.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hironori Takemoto ◽  
Tsubasa Goto ◽  
Yuya Hagihara ◽  
Sayaka Hamanaka ◽  
Tatsuya Kitamura ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
C Johnsen ◽  
M Sengeloev ◽  
P Joergensen ◽  
N Bruun ◽  
D Modin ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Novel echocardiographic software allows for layer-specific evaluation of myocardial deformation by 2-dimensional speckle tracking echocardiography. Endocardial, epicardial- and whole wall global longitudinal strain (GLS) may be superior to conventional echocardiographic parameters in predicting all-cause mortality in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). Purpose The purpose of this study was to investigate the prognostic value of endocardial-, epicardial- and whole wall GLS in patients with HFrEF in relation to all-cause mortality. Methods We included and analyzed transthoracic echocardiographic examinations from 1,015 patients with HFrEF. The echocardiographic images were analyzed, and conventional and novel echocardiographic parameters were obtained. A p value in a 2-sided test <0.05 was considered statistically significant. Cox proportional hazards regression models were constructed, and both univariable and multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated. Results During a median follow-up time of 40 months, 171 patients (16.8%) died. A lower endocardial (HR 1.17; 95% CI (1.11–1.23), per 1% decrease, p<0.001), epicardial (HR 1.20; 95% CI (1.13–1.27), per 1% decrease, p<0.001), and whole wall (HR 1.20; 95% CI (1.14–1.27), per 1% decrease, p<0.001) GLS were all associated with higher risk of death (Figure 1). Both endocardial (HR 1.12; 95% CI (1.01–1.23), p=0.027), epicardial (HR 1.13; 95% CI (1.01–1.26), p=0.040) and whole wall (HR 1.13; 95% CI (1.01–1.27), p=0.030) GLS remained independent predictors of mortality in the multivariable models after adjusting for significant clinical parameters (age, sex, total cholesterol, mean arterial pressure, heart rate, ischemic cardiomyopathy, percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty and diabetes) and conventional echocardiographic parameters (left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction, LV mass index, left atrial volume index, deceleration time, E/e', E-velocity, E/A ratio and tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion). No other echocardiographic parameters remained an independent predictors after adjusting. Furthermore, endocardial, epicardial and whole wall GLS had the highest C-statistics of all the echocardiographic parameters. Conclusion Endocardial, epicardial and whole wall GLS are independent predictors of all-cause mortality in patients with HFrEF. Furthermore, endocardial, epicardial and whole wall GLS were superior prognosticators of all-cause mortality compared with all other echocardiographic parameters. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public hospital(s). Main funding source(s): Herlev and Gentofte Hospital


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