Abstract
Background
Renal function is an important predictor of major adverse outcomes in the general population. In the setting of atrial fibrillation (AF), renal dysfunction may act both as a risk factor and a proxy of vascular risk factors and comorbidities.
Methods
We analyzed the association of renal function, as estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) using the CKD-EPI formula, with 1-year outcomes in a “real-world” cohort of European AF patients from the EORP-AF Long-Term General Registry.
Results
7725 were available for this analysis. Of these, 1294 (16.7%) had normal renal function (≥90 mL/min/1.73 m2), 3848 (49.8%) mildly reduced renal function (60–89 mL/min/1.73 m2), 2311 (29.9%) moderately reduced renal function (30–59 mL/min/1.73 m2) and 272 (3.5%) severely reduced renal function (<30 mL/min/1.73 m2). CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores values increased across eGFR strata (p<0.0001). Among patients qualifying for oral anticoagulant (OAC) therapy, those with severely impaired renal function were less often prescribed with any OAC (79.8%, p<0.0001), more likely with vitamin K antagonist (62.9%) than non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (16.9%) (p<0.0001). At 1-year follow-up the rates of any thromboembolic event (TE)/acute coronary syndrome (ACS)/cardiovascular (CV) death progressively increased with worsening renal function, up to 20.7% in patients with severe dysfunction (p<0.0001). Rates of CV death and all-cause death were higher in severe renal dysfunction (16.9% and 21.3%; p<0.0001). Cox regression analysis (adjusted for known predictors) showed that eGFR <30 mL/min/1.73 m2, compared to normal renal function was associated with an increased risk of all the adverse outcomes (Table). eGFR decrease by 10 mL/min/1.73 m2 was associated with increased risks (Table).
Any TE/ACS/CV Death CV Death All-Cause Death mL/min/1.73 m2 HR (95% CI) HR (95% CI) HR (95% CI) eGFR ≥90 (ref.) – – – eGFR 60–89 0.99 (0.67–1.46) 0.81 (0.44–1.51) 0.74 (0.47–1.19) eGFR 30–50 1.12 (0.74–1.69) 1.00 (0.53–1.89) 0.95 (0.59–1.54) eGFR <30 2.47 (1.52–3.99) 2.73 (1.36–5.49) 2.16 (1.25–3.72) eGFR (by 10 mL/min/1.73 m2 decrease) 1.11 (1.05–1.17) 1.18 (1.10–1.27) 1.11 (1.03–1.18) ACS = Acute coronary syndrome; CI = Confidence interval; CV = Cardiovascular; eGFR = estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate; HR = Hazard ratio; TE = Thromboembolic event.
Conclusions
In AF patients, impaired renal function at baseline is associated with a progressive increase in the risk of major adverse outcomes during follow up. Severe renal dysfunction is an independent predictor of all the adverse outcomes.
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