scholarly journals Parkinson’s disease determinants, prediction and gene-environment interactions in the UK Biobank

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Benjamin M. Jacobs ◽  
Daniel Belete ◽  
Jonathan P Bestwick ◽  
Cornelis Blauwendraat ◽  
Sara Bandres-Ciga ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Family History ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Genetic Risk ◽  
Positive Family History ◽  
Polygenic Risk Score ◽  
Uk Biobank ◽  
Polygenic Risk ◽  
Gene Environment ◽  
History Of

AbstractObjectiveTo systematically investigate the association of environmental risk factors and prodromal features with incident Parkinson’s disease (PD) diagnosis and the interaction of genetic risk with these factors. To evaluate existing risk prediction algorithms and the impact of including addition genetic risk on the performance of prediction.MethodsWe identified individuals with incident PD diagnoses (n=1276) and unmatched controls (n=500,406) in UK Biobank. We determined the association of risk factors with incident PD using adjusted logistic regression models. A polygenic risk score (PRS) was constructed and used to examine gene-environment interactions. The PRS was also incorporated into a previously-developed prediction algorithm for finding incident cases.ResultsStrong evidence of association (Pcorr<0.05) was found between PD and a positive family history of PD, a positive family history of dementia, non-smoking, low alcohol consumption, depression, and daytime somnolence, and novel associations with epilepsy and earlier menarche. Individuals with the highest 10% of PRS scores had increased risk of PD (OR=3.30, 95% CI 2.57-4.24) compared to the lowest risk decile. Higher PRS scores were associated with earlier age at PD diagnosis and inclusion of the PRS in the PREDICT-PD algorithm improved model performance (Nagelkerke pseudo-R2 0.0053, p=6.87×10−14). We found evidence of interaction between the PRS and diabetes.InterpretationHere we used UK Biobank data to reproduce several well-known associations with PD, to demonstrate the validity and predictive power of a polygenic risk score, and to demonstrate a novel gene-environment interaction, whereby the effect of diabetes on PD risk appears to depend on prior genetic risk for PD.

scholarly journals Parkinson’s disease determinants, prediction and gene–environment interactions in the UK Biobank

2020 ◽  
Vol 91 (10) ◽  
pp. 1046-1054 ◽  
Author(s):  
Benjamin Meir Jacobs ◽  
Daniel Belete ◽  
Jonathan Bestwick ◽  
Cornelis Blauwendraat ◽  
Sara Bandres-Ciga ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Parkinson’S Disease ◽  
Parkinson's Disease ◽  
Family History ◽  
Genetic Risk ◽  
Positive Family History ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Uk Biobank ◽  
Gene Environment ◽  
History Of

ObjectiveTo systematically investigate the association of environmental risk factors and prodromal features with incident Parkinson’s disease (PD) diagnosis and the interaction of genetic risk with these factors. To evaluate whether existing risk prediction algorithms are improved by the inclusion of genetic risk scores.MethodsWe identified individuals with an incident diagnosis of PD (n=1276) and controls (n=500 406) in UK Biobank. We determined the association of risk factors with incident PD using adjusted logistic regression models. We constructed polygenic risk scores (PRSs) using external weights and selected the best PRS from a subset of the cohort (30%). The PRS was used in a separate testing set (70%) to examine gene–environment interactions and compare predictive models for PD.ResultsStrong evidence of association (false discovery rate <0.05) was found between PD and a positive family history of PD, a positive family history of dementia, non-smoking, low alcohol consumption, depression, daytime somnolence, epilepsy and earlier menarche. Individuals with the highest 10% of PRSs had increased risk of PD (OR 3.37, 95% CI 2.41 to 4.70) compared with the lowest risk decile. A higher PRS was associated with earlier age at PD diagnosis and inclusion of the PRS in the PREDICT-PD algorithm led to a modest improvement in model performance. We found evidence of an interaction between the PRS and diabetes.InterpretationHere, we used UK Biobank data to reproduce several well-known associations with PD, to demonstrate the validity of a PRS and to demonstrate a novel gene–environment interaction, whereby the effect of diabetes on PD risk appears to depend on background genetic risk for PD.

scholarly journals Polygenic Risk Score is a Predictor of Adenomatous Polyps at Screening Colonoscopy

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Northcutt ◽  
Zhuqing Shi ◽  
Michael Zijlstra ◽  
Ayush Shah ◽  
Siqun Zheng ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Family History ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Genetic Risk Score ◽  
Positive Family History ◽  
Snp Array ◽  
Adenomatous Polyps ◽  
Screening Colonoscopy ◽  
Polygenic Risk Score ◽  
Average Risk ◽  
Polygenic Risk

Abstract Background: Single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP)-based polygenic risk scoring is predictive of colorectal cancer (CRC) risk. However, few studies have investigated the association of genetic risk score (GRS) with detection of adenomatous polyps at screening colonoscopy. Methods: We randomly selected 1,769 Caucasian subjects who underwent screening colonoscopy from the Genomic Health Initiative (GHI), a biobank of NorthShore University HealthSystem. Outcomes from initial screening colonoscopy were recorded. Twenty-two CRC risk-associated SNPs were obtained from the Affymetrix™ SNP array and used to calculate an odds ratio (OR)-weighted and population-standardized GRS. Subjects with GRS of <0.5, 0.5-1.5, and >1.5 were categorized as low, average and elevated risk.Results: Among 1,769 subjects, 520 (29%) had 1 or more adenomatous polyps. GRS was significantly higher in subjects with adenomatous polyps than those without; mean (95% confidence interval) was 1.02 (1.00-1.05) and 0.97 (0.95-0.99), respectively, p<0.001. The association remained significant after adjusting for age, gender, body mass index, and family history, p<0.001. The detection rate of adenomatous polyps was 10.8%, 29.0% and 39.7% in subjects with low, average and elevated GRS, respectively, p-trend <0.001. Higher GRS was also associated with early age diagnosis of adenomatous polyps, p<0.001. In contrast, positive family history was not associated with risk and age of adenomatous polyps.Conclusions: GRS was significantly associated with adenomatous polyps in subjects undergoing screening colonoscopy. This result may help in stratifying average risk patients and facilitating personalized colonoscopy screening strategies.

scholarly journals Genetic Risk Score to Identify Risk of Venous Thromboembolism in Patients With Cardiometabolic Disease

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicholas A. Marston ◽  
Giorgio E.M. Melloni ◽  
Yared Gurmu ◽  
Marc P. Bonaca ◽  
Frederick K. Kamanu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Genetic Risk ◽  
Genetic Risk Score ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Clinical Risk Factors ◽  
Cardiometabolic Disease ◽  
Polygenic Risk Score ◽  
Clinical Risk ◽  
History Of

Background: Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a major cause of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality and has a known genetic contribution. We tested the performance of a genetic risk score for its ability to predict VTE in 3 cohorts of patients with cardiometabolic disease. Methods: We included patients from the FOURIER (Further Cardiovascular Outcomes Research With PCSK9 Inhibition in Patients With Elevated Risk), PEGASUS-TIMI 54 (Prevention of Cardiovascular Events in Patients With Prior Heart Attack Using Ticagrelor Compared to Placebo on a Background of Aspirin), and SAVOR-TIMI 53 (Saxagliptin Assessment of Vascular Outcomes Recorded in Patients with Diabetes Mellitus) trials (history of a major atherosclerotic cardiovascular event, myocardial infarction, and diabetes, respectively) who consented for genetic testing and were not on baseline anticoagulation. We calculated a VTE genetic risk score based on 297 single nucleotide polymorphisms with established genome-wide significance. Patients were divided into tertiles of genetic risk. Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate hazard ratios for VTE across genetic risk groups. The polygenic risk score was compared with available clinical risk factors (age, obesity, smoking, history of heart failure, and diabetes) and common monogenic mutations. Results: A total of 29 663 patients were included in the analysis with a median follow-up of 2.4 years, of whom 174 had a VTE event. There was a significantly increased gradient of risk across VTE genetic risk tertiles ( P -trend <0.0001). After adjustment for clinical risk factors, patients in the intermediate and high genetic risk groups had a 1.88-fold (95% CI, 1.23–2.89; P =0.004) and 2.70-fold (95% CI, 1.81–4.06; P <0.0001) higher risk of VTE compared with patients with low genetic risk. In a continuous model adjusted for clinical risk factors, each standard deviation increase in the genetic risk score was associated with a 47% (95% CI, 29–68) increased risk of VTE ( P <0.0001). Conclusions: In a broad spectrum of patients with cardiometabolic disease, a polygenic risk score is a strong, independent predictor of VTE after accounting for available clinical risk factors, identifying 1/3 of patients who have a risk of VTE comparable to that seen with established monogenic thrombophilia.

scholarly journals Polygenic Risk Score, Parental Socioeconomic Status, Family History of Psychiatric Disorders, and the Risk for Schizophrenia

2015 ◽  
Vol 72 (7) ◽  
pp. 635 ◽  
Author(s):  
Esben Agerbo ◽  
Patrick F. Sullivan ◽  
Bjarni J. Vilhjálmsson ◽  
Carsten B. Pedersen ◽  
Ole Mors ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Socioeconomic Status ◽  
Family History ◽  
Psychiatric Disorders ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Polygenic Risk Score ◽  
Polygenic Risk ◽  
History Of ◽  
Parental Socioeconomic Status

scholarly journals Diet quality indices, genetic risk and risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality: a longitudinal analysis of 77 004 UK Biobank participants

BMJ Open ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. e045362
Author(s):  
Katherine M Livingstone ◽  
Gavin Abbott ◽  
Steven J Bowe ◽  
Joey Ward ◽  
Catherine Milte ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Score ◽  
Diet Quality ◽  
Genetic Risk ◽  
Lower Risk ◽  
Polygenic Risk Score ◽  
Uk Biobank ◽  
Quality Indices ◽  
Polygenic Risk ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Cvd Mortality

ObjectivesTo examine associations of three diet quality indices and a polygenic risk score with incidence of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality, myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke.DesignProspective cohort study.SettingUK Biobank, UK.Participants77 004 men and women (40–70 years) recruited between 2006 and 2010.Main outcome measuresA polygenic risk score was created from 300 single nucleotide polymorphisms associated with CVD. Cox proportional HRs were used to estimate independent effects of diet quality and genetic risk on all-cause mortality, CVD mortality, MI and stroke risk. Dietary intake (Oxford WebQ) was used to calculate Recommended Food Score (RFS), Healthy Diet Indicator (HDI) and Mediterranean Diet Score (MDS).ResultsNew all-cause (n=2409) and CVD (n=364) deaths and MI (n=1141) and stroke (n=748) events were identified during mean follow-ups of 7.9 and 7.8 years, respectively. The adjusted HR associated with one-point higher RFS for all-cause mortality was 0.96 (95% CI: 0.94 to 0.98), CVD mortality was 0.94 (95% CI: 0.90 to 0.98), MI was 0.97 (95% CI: 0.95 to 1.00) and stroke was 0.94 (95% CI: 0.91 to 0.98). The adjusted HR for all-cause mortality associated with one-point higher HDI and MDS was 0.97 (95% CI: 0.93 to 0.99) and 0.95 (95% CI: 0.91 to 0.98), respectively. The adjusted HR associated with one-point higher MDS for stroke was 0.93 (95% CI: 0.87 to 1.00). There was little evidence of associations between HDI and risk of CVD mortality, MI or stroke. There was evidence of an interaction between diet quality and genetic risk score for MI.ConclusionHigher diet quality predicted lower risk of all-cause mortality, independent of genetic risk. Higher RFS was also associated with lower risk of CVD mortality and MI. These findings demonstrate the benefit of following a healthy diet, regardless of genetic risk.

scholarly journals Capturing additional genetic risk from family history for improved polygenic risk prediction

2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tianyuan Lu ◽  
Vincenzo Forgetta ◽  
J Brent Richards ◽  
Celia MT Greenwood
Keyword(s):  
Family History ◽  
Risk Prediction ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Genetic Risk ◽  
Adult Height ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
European Ancestry ◽  
Polygenic Risk Score ◽  
Parental History ◽  
Polygenic Risk

Family history of complex traits may reflect transmitted rare pathogenic variants, intrafamilial shared exposures to environmental and lifestyle factors, as well as a common genetic predisposition. We developed a latent factor model to quantify trait heritability in excess of that captured by a common variant-based polygenic risk score, but inferable from family history. We applied our model to predict adult height for 941 children in the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children cohort as well as 11 complex diseases for ~400,000 European ancestry participants in the UK Biobank. Parental history brought consistent significant improvements in the predictive power of polygenic risk prediction. For instance, a joint predictor was able to explain ~55% of the total variance in sex-adjusted adult height z-scores, close to the estimated heritability. Our work showcases an innovative paradigm for risk calculation, and supports incorporation of family history into polygenic risk score-based genetic risk prediction models.

scholarly journals Improving prediction of atrial fibrillation: the impact of polygenic risk scores over conventional risk factors amongst 270,000 individuals in UK Biobank

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
A Von Ende ◽  
B Casadei ◽  
J.C Hopewell
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Genetic Risk ◽  
Genetic Information ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Funding Source ◽  
Uk Biobank ◽  
Polygenic Risk ◽  
Conventional Risk Factors

Abstract Background Previous studies have suggested only modest benefits of adding genetic information to conventional risk factors for prediction of atrial fibrillation (AF). However, these studies have been based on limited numbers of AF cases and pre-date recent AF genetic discoveries. Purpose To examine the independent relevance of common genetic risk factors over and above established non-genetic risk factors for predicting AF amongst 270,000 participants from UK Biobank, and to determine potential clinical utility. Methods UK Biobank (UKB) is a large prospective study of over 500,000 British individuals aged 40 to 69 years at recruitment. Incident AF was ascertained using hospital episode statistics and death registry data. The CHARGE-AF score, which combines the relevance of age, height, weight, blood pressure, use of antihypertensives, diabetes, heart failure, and myocardial infarction (MI) was used to estimate 5-year risk of AF at baseline. A polygenic risk score (PRS) was constructed based on 142 independent variants previously associated with AF in a genome-wide meta-analysis of 60,620 AF cases from the AFGen Consortium, weighted by their published effect sizes. A total of 270,254 individuals were analysed after exclusions for genetic QC, non-White British ancestry, and prevalent AF. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate associations between risk scores (based on standard deviation [SD] units) and incident AF. Standard methods were used to assess predictive value. Results During a median follow-up of 8.1 years, 12,407 incident AF cases were identified. The CHARGE-AF risk score strongly predicted incident AF in UK Biobank, and was associated with a ∼3-fold higher risk of AF per SD (Hazard ratio [HR]=2.88; 95% CI: 2.82–2.94). The PRS was associated with a 54% higher risk of AF per SD (HR=1.54; 95% CI: 1.51–1.57). The independent impact of the PRS, after adjusting for the CHARGE-AF score, was unchanged and remained strongly predictive (HR=1.57, 95% CI: 1.54–1.60), with participants in the upper tertile of the PRS having more than a 2.5-fold higher risk (HR=2.59, 95% CI: 2.47–2.71) when compared with those in the lower tertile. The addition of the PRS improved the C-statistic from 0.758 (CHARGE-AF alone) to 0.783 (Δ=0.025) and correctly reclassified 8.7% of cases and 2.6% of controls at 5 years. Both non-genetic and genetic risk scores were well-calibrated in the UK Biobank participants, and sensitivity of the results to alternative PRS selection approaches and age at risk were also examined. Conclusion In a large prospective cohort, genetic determinants of AF were independent of conventional risk factors and significantly improved prediction over a well-validated clinical risk algorithm. This illustrates the potential added benefit of genetic information to identify higher-risk individuals who may benefit from earlier monitoring and personalised risk management strategies. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Foundation. Main funding source(s): British Heart Foundation

scholarly journals Polygenic risk score is a predictor of adenomatous polyps at screening colonoscopy

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael J. Northcutt ◽  
Zhuqing Shi ◽  
Michael Zijlstra ◽  
Ayush Shah ◽  
Siqun Zheng ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Family History ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Genetic Risk Score ◽  
Positive Family History ◽  
Snp Array ◽  
Adenomatous Polyps ◽  
Screening Colonoscopy ◽  
Polygenic Risk Score ◽  
Average Risk ◽  
Polygenic Risk

Abstract Background Single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP)-based polygenic risk scoring is predictive of colorectal cancer (CRC) risk. However, few studies have investigated the association of genetic risk score (GRS) with detection of adenomatous polyps at screening colonoscopy. Methods We randomly selected 1769 Caucasian subjects who underwent screening colonoscopy from the Genomic Health Initiative (GHI), a biobank of NorthShore University HealthSystem. Outcomes from initial screening colonoscopy were recorded. Twenty-two CRC risk-associated SNPs were obtained from the Affymetrix™ SNP array and used to calculate an odds ratio (OR)-weighted and population-standardized GRS. Subjects with GRS of < 0.5, 0.5–1.5, and > 1.5 were categorized as low, average and elevated risk. Results Among 1,769 subjects, 520 (29%) had 1 or more adenomatous polyps. GRS was significantly higher in subjects with adenomatous polyps than those without; mean (95% confidence interval) was 1.02 (1.00–1.05) and 0.97 (0.95–0.99), respectively, p < 0.001. The association remained significant after adjusting for age, gender, body mass index, and family history, p < 0.001. The detection rate of adenomatous polyps was 10.8%, 29.0% and 39.7% in subjects with low, average and elevated GRS, respectively, p-trend < 0.001. Higher GRS was also associated with early age diagnosis of adenomatous polyps, p < 0.001. In contrast, positive family history was not associated with risk and age of adenomatous polyps. Conclusions GRS was significantly associated with adenomatous polyps in subjects undergoing screening colonoscopy. This result may help in stratifying average risk patients and facilitating personalized colonoscopy screening strategies.

scholarly journals Genetic risk, incident stroke, and the benefits of adhering to a healthy lifestyle: cohort study of 306 473 UK Biobank participants

BMJ ◽  
2018 ◽  
pp. k4168 ◽  
Author(s):  
Loes CA Rutten-Jacobs ◽  
Susanna C Larsson ◽  
Rainer Malik ◽  
Kristiina Rannikmäe ◽  
Cathie L Sudlow ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cohort Study ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Genetic Risk ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Healthy Lifestyle ◽  
Lifestyle Factors ◽  
Polygenic Risk Score ◽  
Uk Biobank ◽  
Polygenic Risk ◽  
Increased Risk

AbstractObjectiveTo evaluate the associations of a polygenic risk score and healthy lifestyle with incident stroke.DesignProspective population based cohort study.SettingUK Biobank Study, UK.Participants306 473 men and women, aged 40-73 years, recruited between 2006 and 2010.Main outcome measureHazard ratios for a first stroke, estimated using Cox regression. A polygenic risk score of 90 single nucleotide polymorphisms previously associated with stroke was constructed at P<1×10−5to test for an association with incident stroke. Adherence to a healthy lifestyle was determined on the basis of four factors: non-smoker, healthy diet, body mass index <30 kg/m2, and regular physical exercise.ResultsDuring a median follow-up of 7.1 years (2 138 443 person years), 2077 incident strokes (1541 ischaemic stroke, 287 intracerebral haemorrhage, and 249 subarachnoid haemorrhage) were ascertained. The risk of incident stroke was 35% higher among those at high genetic risk (top third of polygenic score) compared with those at low genetic risk (bottom third): hazard ratio 1.35 (95% confidence interval 1.21 to 1.50), P=3.9×10−8. Unfavourable lifestyle (0 or 1 healthy lifestyle factors) was associated with a 66% increased risk of stroke compared with a favourable lifestyle (3 or 4 healthy lifestyle factors): 1.66 (1.45 to 1.89), P=1.19×10−13. The association with lifestyle was independent of genetic risk stratums.ConclusionIn this cohort study, genetic and lifestyle factors were independently associated with incident stroke. These results emphasise the benefit of entire populations adhering to a healthy lifestyle, independent of genetic risk.

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