scholarly journals Exploring the Feasibility of Using Real-World Data from a Large Clinical Data Research Network to Simulate Clinical Trials of Alzheimer’s Disease

Author(s):  
Zhaoyi Chen ◽  
Hansi Zhang ◽  
Yi Guo ◽  
Thomas J George ◽  
Mattia Prosperi ◽  
...  

AbstractClinical trials are essential but often have high financial costs and long execution time. Trial simulation using real world data (RWD) could potentially provide insights on a treatment’s efficacy and safety before running a large-scale trial. In this work, we explored the feasibility of using RWD from a large clinical data research network to simulate a randomized controlled trial of Alzheimer’s disease considering two different scenarios: an one-arm simulation of the standard-of-care control arm; and a two-arm simulation comparing treatment safety between the intervention and control arms with proper patient matching algorithms. We followed original trial’s design and addressed some key questions, including how to translate trial criteria to database queries and establish measures of safety (i.e., serious adverse events) from RWD. Our simulation generated results comparable to the original trial, but also exposed gaps in both trial simulation methodology and the generalizability issue of clinical trials.

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhaoyi Chen ◽  
Hansi Zhang ◽  
Yi Guo ◽  
Thomas J. George ◽  
Mattia Prosperi ◽  
...  

AbstractIn this study, we explored the feasibility of using real-world data (RWD) from a large clinical research network to simulate real-world clinical trials of Alzheimer’s disease (AD). The target trial (i.e., NCT00478205) is a Phase III double-blind, parallel-group trial that compared the 23 mg donepezil sustained release with the 10 mg donepezil immediate release formulation in patients with moderate to severe AD. We followed the target trial’s study protocol to identify the study population, treatment regimen assignments and outcome assessments, and to set up a number of different simulation scenarios and parameters. We considered two main scenarios: (1) a one-arm simulation: simulating a standard-of-care (SOC) arm that can serve as an external control arm; and (2) a two-arm simulation: simulating both intervention and control arms with proper patient matching algorithms for comparative effectiveness analysis. In the two-arm simulation scenario, we used propensity score matching controlling for baseline characteristics to simulate the randomization process. In the two-arm simulation, higher serious adverse event (SAE) rates were observed in the simulated trials than the rates reported in original trial, and a higher SAE rate was observed in the 23 mg arm than in the 10 mg SOC arm. In the one-arm simulation scenario, similar estimates of SAE rates were observed when proportional sampling was used to control demographic variables. In conclusion, trial simulation using RWD is feasible in this example of AD trial in terms of safety evaluation. Trial simulation using RWD could be a valuable tool for post-market comparative effectiveness studies and for informing future trials’ design. Nevertheless, such an approach may be limited, for example, by the availability of RWD that matches the target trials of interest, and further investigations are warranted.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Anna Ponjoan ◽  
Josep Garre-Olmo ◽  
Jordi Blanch ◽  
Ester Fages ◽  
Lia Alves-Cabratosa ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jie Xu ◽  
Hao Zhang ◽  
Hansi Zhang ◽  
Jiang Bian ◽  
Fei Wang

Restrictive eligibility criteria for clinical trials may limit the generalizability of treatment effectiveness and safety to real-world patients. In this paper, we propose a machine learning approach to derive patient subgroups from real-world data (RWD), such that the patients within the same subgroup share similar clinical characteristics and safety outcomes. The effectiveness of our approach was validated on two existing clinical trials with the electronic health records (EHRs) from a large clinical research network. One is the donepezil trial for Alzheimer's disease (AD), and the other is the Bevacizumab trial on colon cancer (CRC). The results show that our proposed algorithm can identify patient subgroups with coherent clinical manifestations and similar risk levels of encountering severe adverse events (SAEs). We further exemplify that potential rules for describing the patient subgroups with less SAEs can be derived to inform the design of clinical trial eligibility criteria.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mattia Prosperi ◽  
Shantanu Ghosh ◽  
Zhaoyi Chen ◽  
Marco Salemi ◽  
Tianchen Lyu ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Scott R. Evans ◽  
Dianne Paraoan ◽  
Jane Perlmutter ◽  
Sudha R. Raman ◽  
John J. Sheehan ◽  
...  

AbstractThe growing availability of real-world data (RWD) creates opportunities for new evidence generation and improved efficiency across the research enterprise. To varying degrees, sponsors now regularly use RWD to make data-driven decisions about trial feasibility, based on assessment of eligibility criteria for planned clinical trials. Increasingly, RWD are being used to support targeted, timely, and personalized outreach to potential trial participants that may improve the efficiency and effectiveness of the recruitment process. This paper highlights recommendations and resources, including specific case studies, developed by the Clinical Trials Transformation Initiative (CTTI) for applying RWD to planning eligibility criteria and recruiting for clinical trials. Developed through a multi-stakeholder, consensus- and evidence-driven process, these actionable tools support researchers in (1) determining whether RWD are fit for purpose with respect to study planning and recruitment, (2) engaging cross-functional teams in the use of RWD for study planning and recruitment, and (3) understanding patient and site needs to develop successful and patient-centric approaches to RWD-supported recruitment. Future considerations for the use of RWD are explored, including ensuring full patient understanding of data use and developing global datasets.


2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hao Sen Andrew Fang ◽  
Qiao Gao ◽  
Mong Li Lee ◽  
Wynne Hsu ◽  
Ngiap Chuan Tan

Abstract Background Clinical trials have demonstrated that either initiating or up-titrating a statin dose substantially reduce Low-Density Lipoprotein-Cholesterol (LDL-C) levels. However, statin adherence in actual practice tends to be suboptimal, leading to diminished effectiveness. This study aims to use real-world data to determine the effect on LDL-C levels and LDL-C goal attainment rates, when selected statins are titrated in Asian patients. Methods A retrospective cohort study over a 5-year period, from April 2014 to March 2019 was conducted on a cohort of multi-ethnic adult Asian patients with clinical diagnosis of Dyslipidaemia in a primary care clinic in Singapore. The statins were classified into low-intensity (LI), moderate-intensity (MI) and high-intensity (HI) groups according to the 2018 American College of Cardiology and American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) Blood Cholesterol Guidelines. Patients were grouped into “No statin”, “Non-titrators” and “Titrators” cohorts based on prescribing patterns. For the “Titrators” cohort, the mean percentage change in LDL-C and absolute change in LDL-C goal attainment rates were computed for each permutation of statin intensity titration. Results Among the cohort of 11,499 patients, with a total of 266,762 visits, there were 1962 pairs of LDL-C values associated with a statin titration. Initiation of LI, MI and HI statin resulted in a lowering of LDL-C by 21.6% (95%CI = 18.9–24.3%), 28.9% (95%CI = 25.0–32.7%) and 25.2% (95%CI = 12.8–37.7%) respectively. These were comparatively lower than results from clinical trials (30 to 63%). The change of LDL-C levels due to up-titration, down-titration, and discontinuation were − 12.4% to − 28.9%, + 13.2% to + 24.6%, and + 18.1% to + 32.1% respectively. The improvement in LDL-C goal attainment ranged from 26.5% to 47.1% when statin intensity was up-titrated. Conclusion In this study based on real-world data of Asian patients in primary care, it was shown that although statin titration substantially affected LDL-C levels and LDL-C goal attainment rates, the magnitude was lower than results reported from clinical trials. These results should be taken into consideration and provide further insight to clinicians when making statin adjustment recommendations in order to achieve LDL-C targets in clinical practice, particularly for Asian populations.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daphna Laifenfeld ◽  
Chen Yanover ◽  
Michal Ozery-Flato ◽  
Oded Shaham ◽  
Michal Rozen-Zvi ◽  
...  

AbstractReal-world healthcare data hold the potential to identify therapeutic solutions for progressive diseases by efficiently pinpointing safe and efficacious repurposing drug candidates. This approach circumvents key early clinical development challenges, particularly relevant for neurological diseases, concordant with the vision of the 21stCentury Cures Act. However, to-date, these data have been utilized mainly for confirmatory purposes rather than as drug discovery engines. Here, we demonstrate the usefulness of real-world data in identifying drug repurposing candidates for disease-modifying effects, specifically candidate marketed drugs that exhibit beneficial effects on Parkinson’s disease (PD) progression. We performed an observational study in cohorts of ascertained PD patients extracted from two large medical databases, Explorys SuperMart (N=88,867) and IBM MarketScan Research Databases (N=106,395); and applied two conceptually different, well-established causal inference methods to estimate the effect of hundreds of drugs on delaying dementia onset as a proxy for slowing PD progression. Using this approach, we identified two drugs that manifested significant beneficial effects on PD progression in both datasets: rasagiline, narrowly indicated for PD motor symptoms; and zolpidem, a psycholeptic. Each confers its effects through distinct mechanisms, which we explored via a comparison of estimated effects within the drug classification ontology. We conclude that analysis of observational healthcare data, emulating otherwise costly, large, and lengthy clinical trials, can highlight promising repurposing candidates, to be validated in prospective registration trials, for common, late-onset progressive diseases for which disease-modifying therapeutic solutions are scarce.


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