scholarly journals Multiscale analysis of a non-periodic epidemic time series using wavelet transform

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jean Gaudart ◽  
Stanislas Rebaudet ◽  
Gaetan Texier ◽  
Robert Barrais ◽  
Renaud Piarroux ◽  
...  

SummaryThe aim of the present study was to develop a method for multiscale analysis of non-stationary and non-periodic epidemic time series. Indeed, the epidemiologists may need to know the features, at different resolutions, of short duration outbreaks that did not exhibit periodic cycles. Among of the large number of wavelets, we have developed a continuous wavelet that shows an analogous shape to the Haar wavelet, and leads to precise time localization. We applied the wavelet transform to the cholera epidemic, which began in October 2010 in Haiti. We determined the wavelet spectra of both the cholera case toll and rainfall time series, from September 01, 2010, to November 20, 2012 (812 days). The relationship between case toll and rainfall was analyzed using cross-wavelet spectra at different lags. Cholera case toll scalogram highlighted four epidemic bursts. Cross-wavelet analysis highlighted an absence of relationship between the first epidemic burst and rainfall, but a clear relationship between the following epidemic bursts and rainfall after a 3 to 8 day lag.


Fractals ◽  
2000 ◽  
Vol 08 (04) ◽  
pp. 337-348 ◽  
Author(s):  
BIRGER LAMMERING

We discuss the relationship between the multifractal functions of a plane measure and those of slices or sections of the measure with a line. Motivated by recent mathematical ideas about the relationship between measures and their slices, we formulate the "slice hypothesis," and consider the theoretical limitations of this hypothesis. We compute the multifractal functions of several standard self-similar and self-affine measures and their slices to examine the validity of the slice hypothesis. We are particularly interested in using the slice hypothesis to estimate multifractal properties of spatial rainfall fields by analyzing rainfall data representing slices of rainfall fields. We consider how rainfall time series at a fixed site and slices of composite radar images can be used for this purpose, testing this on field data from a radar composite in the USA and on appropriate time series.



2004 ◽  
Vol 11 (5/6) ◽  
pp. 561-566 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Grinsted ◽  
J. C. Moore ◽  
S. Jevrejeva

Abstract. Many scientists have made use of the wavelet method in analyzing time series, often using popular free software. However, at present there are no similar easy to use wavelet packages for analyzing two time series together. We discuss the cross wavelet transform and wavelet coherence for examining relationships in time frequency space between two time series. We demonstrate how phase angle statistics can be used to gain confidence in causal relationships and test mechanistic models of physical relationships between the time series. As an example of typical data where such analyses have proven useful, we apply the methods to the Arctic Oscillation index and the Baltic maximum sea ice extent record. Monte Carlo methods are used to assess the statistical significance against red noise backgrounds. A software package has been developed that allows users to perform the cross wavelet transform and wavelet coherence (www.pol.ac.uk/home/research/waveletcoherence/).



2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (5) ◽  
pp. 919-929
Author(s):  
Adriane Marques de Souza Franco ◽  
Ezequiel Echer ◽  
Mauricio José Alves Bolzan

Abstract. In this work a study of the effects of the high-intensity long-duration continuous AE activity (HILDCAAs) events in the magnetotail was conducted. The aim of this study was to search the main frequencies during HILDCAAs in the Bx component of the geomagnetic field in the magnetotail, as well as the main frequencies, at which the magnetotail responds to the solar wind during these events. In order to conduct this analysis the wavelet transform was employed during nine HILDCAA events that coincided with Cluster spacecraft mission crossing through the tail of the magnetosphere from 2003 to 2007. The most energetic periods for each event were identified. It was found that 76 % of them have periods ≤4 h. With the aim to search the periods that have the highest correlation between the IMF Bz (OMNI) component and the Cluster Bx geomagnetic field component, the cross wavelet analysis technique was also used in this study. The majority of correlation periods between the Bz (IMF) and Bx component of the geomagnetic field observed also were ≤4 h, with 62.9 % of the periods. Thus the magnetotail responds stronger to IMF fluctuations during HILDCCAS at 2–4 h scales, which are typical substorm periods. The results obtained in this work show that these scales are the ones on which the coupling of energy is stronger, as well as the modulation of the magnetotail by the solar wind during HILDCAA events.



2012 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 392-404 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chien-ming Chou

Wavelet transform (WT) is typically used to decompose time series data for only one hydrological feature at a time. This study applied WT for simultaneous decomposition of rainfall and runoff time series data. For the calibration data, the decomposed rainfall and runoff time series calibrate the subsystem response function using the least squares (LS) method at each scale. For the validation data, the decomposed rainfall time series are convoluted with the estimated subsystem response function to obtain the estimated runoff at each scale. The estimated runoff at the original scale can be obtained by wavelet reconstruction. The efficacy of the proposed method is evaluated in two case studies of the Feng-Hua Bridge and Wu-Tu watershed. The analytic results confirm that the proposed wavelet-based method slightly outperforms the conventional method of using data only at the original scale. The results also show that the runoff hydrograph estimated by using the proposed method is smoother than that obtained using a single scale.



2001 ◽  
Vol 295 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 215-218 ◽  
Author(s):  
C Rodrigues Neto ◽  
A Zanandrea ◽  
F.M Ramos ◽  
R.R Rosa ◽  
M.J.A Bolzan ◽  
...  


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sivapragasam Chandrasekaran ◽  
Saravanan Poomalai ◽  
Balamurali Saminathan ◽  
Sumila Suthanthiravel ◽  
Keerthi Sundaram ◽  
...  


MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 71 (2) ◽  
pp. 209-224
Author(s):  
RAJANI NIRAV V ◽  
TIWARI MUKESH K ◽  
CHINCHORKAR S S

Trend analysis has become one of the most important issues in hydro-meteorological variables study due to climate change and the focus given to it in the recent past from the scientific community. In this study, long-term trends of rainfall are analyzed in eight stations located in semi-arid central Gujarat region, India by considering time series data of 116 years (1901-2016). Discrete wavelet transform (DWT) as a dyadic arrangement of continuous wavelet transformation combined with the widely applied and acknowledged Mann-Kendall (MK) trend analysis method were applied for analysis of trend and dominant periodicities in rainfall time series at monthly, annual and monsoonal time scales. Initially, rainfall time series applied in this study were decomposed using DWT to generate sub-time series at high and low frequencies, before applying the MK trend test. Further, the Sequential Mann-Kendall (SQMK) test was also applied to find out the trend changing points. The result showed that at the monthly annual and monsoon time scales, the trends in rainfall were significantly decreasing in most of the station. The 4-month and 8-month components were found as dominant at the monthly time series and the 2-year and 4-year component were found as dominant at the monsoon time series, whereas the 2-year components were observed as dominant in the annual time scale.



Author(s):  
Roberto Tomás ◽  
José Luis Pastor ◽  
Marta Béjar-Pizarro ◽  
Roberta Bonì ◽  
Pablo Ezquerro ◽  
...  

Abstract. Interpretation of land subsidence time-series to understand the evolution of the phenomenon and the existing relationships between triggers and measured displacements is a great challenge. Continuous wavelet transform (CWT) is a powerful signal processing method mainly suitable for the analysis of individual nonstationary time-series. CWT expands time-series into the time-frequency space allowing identification of localized nonstationary periodicities. Complementarily, Cross Wavelet Transform (XWT) and Wavelet Coherence (WTC) methods allow the comparison of two time-series that may be expected to be related in order to identify regions in the time-frequency domain that exhibit large common cross-power and wavelet coherence, respectively, and therefore are evocative of causality. In this work we use CWT, XWT and WTC to analyze piezometric and InSAR (interferometric synthetic aperture radar) time-series from the Tertiary aquifer of Madrid (Spain) to illustrate their capabilities for interpreting land subsidence and piezometric time-series information.



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