Real investment and stock prices in the USA

2008 ◽  
Vol 35 (1) ◽  
pp. 78-100 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nikiforos T. Laopodis
Keyword(s):  
The Usa ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 232102222110243
Author(s):  
Chong-Meng Chee ◽  
Nazrul Hisyam bin Ab Razak ◽  
Bany Ariffin bin Amin Noordin

Heavy share buyback years after the global finance crisis 2008–2009 drew criticism from scholars and financial press that share repurchases were being used by firms to manipulate their stock prices. This paper examines whether a greater firm’s repurchase intensity distorts stock prices reflecting to information. We analyse 2 sets of unbalanced panel data that contain a sample of 337 US and another sample of 167 Malaysian repurchasing firms between 2012 and 2016. Contrary to the criticism, we find that a greater firms’ share buyback intensity in the USA stimulates faster incorporation of information in price and results in more efficient stock prices. The main findings hold true and are robust when an alternative measure of share repurchase intensity was used. The findings of US sample support the notion that share repurchase serves as a signalling tool and price support to promote more efficient stock prices. We also find no strong evidence supporting the notion that shares repurchased by Malaysian firms distort stock prices. JEL Classification: G10, G14, G35


2016 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 169-174 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martha A Starr ◽  
Keith Drake

BackgroundIn 2010, the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) proposed requiring tobacco companies to add graphic warning labels (GWLs) to cigarette packs. GWLs are large prominently placed warnings that use both text and photographic images to depict health risks of smoking. The companies challenged FDA's authority on First Amendment grounds; the courts accepted that FDA could compel companies to add GWLs, but argued that FDA had not established that GWLs would significantly reduce smoking.ObjectiveThis paper adds new evidence on the question of whether GWLs would have reduced cigarette demand, by examining whether tobacco companies’ share prices fell unusually after news indicating a higher likelihood of having GWLs, and rose on the opposite news. Such findings would be expected if investors viewed GWLs as likely to reduce cigarette demand.MethodsAn event-study approach is used to determine whether the stock prices of US tobacco companies rose or fell unusually after news events in the period when GWLs were proposed, finalised, challenged and withdrawn.FindingsTobacco companies’ stock prices indeed realised significant abnormal returns after GWL news, consistent with expected negative effects on cigarette demand. Our estimates suggest investors expected GWLs to reduce the number of smokers by an extra 2.4–6.9 million in the 10 years after the rule took effect.ConclusionsThese findings support the view that the GWLs proposed by FDA would have curbed cigarette consumption in the USA in an appreciable way.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 201734
Author(s):  
Areejit Samal ◽  
Hirdesh K. Pharasi ◽  
Sarath Jyotsna Ramaia ◽  
Harish Kannan ◽  
Emil Saucan ◽  
...  

The complexity of financial markets arise from the strategic interactions among agents trading stocks, which manifest in the form of vibrant correlation patterns among stock prices. Over the past few decades, complex financial markets have often been represented as networks whose interacting pairs of nodes are stocks, connected by edges that signify the correlation strengths. However, we often have interactions that occur in groups of three or more nodes, and these cannot be described simply by pairwise interactions but we also need to take the relations between these interactions into account. Only recently, researchers have started devoting attention to the higher-order architecture of complex financial systems, that can significantly enhance our ability to estimate systemic risk as well as measure the robustness of financial systems in terms of market efficiency. Geometry-inspired network measures, such as the Ollivier–Ricci curvature and Forman–Ricci curvature, can be used to capture the network fragility and continuously monitor financial dynamics. Here, we explore the utility of such discrete Ricci curvatures in characterizing the structure of financial systems, and further, evaluate them as generic indicators of the market instability. For this purpose, we examine the daily returns from a set of stocks comprising the USA S&P-500 and the Japanese Nikkei-225 over a 32-year period, and monitor the changes in the edge-centric network curvatures. We find that the different geometric measures capture well the system-level features of the market and hence we can distinguish between the normal or ‘business-as-usual’ periods and all the major market crashes. This can be very useful in strategic designing of financial systems and regulating the markets in order to tackle financial instabilities.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 (5) ◽  
pp. 217-237
Author(s):  
Sergey Volodin ◽  
Ekaterina Zueva

Intensive development of the global pharmaceutical industry has led to a significant increase in its attractiveness to market investors. At the same time, there is a clear lack of academic work in world financial science that would reveal the specifics of the shares pricing for pharmaceutical companies, including the nature of the influence of various types of news information. The study made it possible to partially solve this problem, significantly expanding the range of available scientific conclusions. Based on a situational and econometric analysis, the authors characterized the influence of a wide range of news information on the dynamics of stock prices and trading volumes, assessed the possibility of insider trading. It is shown that usage of news information by investors can potentially lead to extra profit on market transactions. The findings of the study can be useful to both private and corporate investors, including portfolio managers, in transactions with shares of the world’s largest pharmaceutical companies.


Author(s):  
Paul Sergius Koku

Purpose This study aims to examine the effect of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (PPACA) on for-profit hospitals in the USA. Design/methodology/approach The study uses the event study methodology to examine the stock market’s reaction to the passage of the PPACA. Findings The results of the analysis do not show a negative effect; on the contrary, the stock prices of for-profit hospitals increased, on average, by 6%. The cumulative abnormal returns were 5.64% with a generalized z-value of 3.851 with a significance level of 0.001 (two-tailed test). This translates into an average gain of $230,537,096 for the four days (dates) that a positive step was taken in making the Affordable Care Act (ACA) a law of the country. Practical implications Because the study suggests that for-profit hospitals will be profitable under the PPACA, one could expect to see growth or, at the minimum, expansion in for-profit hospitals under the Act. Furthermore, and consistent with the principles of marketing, one would expect all the for-profit hospitals, at this nascent stage of the ACA, to pull resources together to promote the benefits of having the ACA. Originality/value To the best of the author’s knowledge, this is the first study to examine the effect of the PPACA on the operations of for-profit hospitals.


2017 ◽  
Vol 19 (5) ◽  
pp. 1152-1165
Author(s):  
Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad ◽  
Safwan Mohd Nor ◽  
Nur Azura Sanusi ◽  
Ronald Ravinesh Kumar

The study examines the cointegration and causal relationship between credit default swap spreads, stock prices, VIX, interest rate and slope of the yield curve for the 10 industries in the USA over the period 14 December 2007 to 30 September 2015. Due to the presence of cross-sectional dependence in the panel, we employ the Pesaran (2007, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22(2), 265–312) CIPS test to ascertain unit root properties. The cointegration test underscores the presence of a long-run association between the variables. The long-run heterogeneous panel elasticities are estimated via Dynamic OLS (DOLS) and the causality is examined by using the Dumitrescu and Hurlin (2012, Economic Modelling, 29(4), 1450–1460) Granger causality tests. The empirical results reveal that stock prices (volatility), interest rate and slope of the yield curve decrease (increase) the CDS premia; and stock prices, VIX and interest rate Granger-cause the CDS spreads for most of the industries.


Forests ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 428
Author(s):  
Dercilio Junior Verly Lopes ◽  
Gabrielly dos Santos Bobadilha ◽  
Amanda Peres Vieira Bedette

This manuscript confirms the feasibility of using a long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network (RNN) to forecast lumber stock prices during the great and Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic recessions in the USA. The database was composed of 5012 data entries divided into recession periods. We applied a timeseries cross-validation that divided the dataset into an 80:20 training/validation ratio. The network contained five LSTM layers with 50 units each followed by a dense output layer. We evaluated the performance of the network via mean squared error (MSE), root mean squared error (RMSE), and mean absolute error (MAE) for 30, 60, and 120 timesteps and the recession periods. The metrics results indicated that the network was able to capture the trend for both recession periods with a remarkably low degree of error. Timeseries forecasting may help the forest and forest product industries to manage their inventory, transportation costs, and response readiness to critical economic events.


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